Displaying items by tag: Demonetisation
Demonetisation halves cement demand in November 2016
09 December 2016India: Demonetisation of high value Indian rupee currency notes reduced cement demand by 45 – 50% in November 2016. Demand for cement fell across regions with the central region including Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh suffering the least, according to the Hindu newspaper. The decline has hit the industry when it was expecting an increase in demand stimulated by infrastructure development following the monsoon season.
A slowdown in real estate activity has particularly affected the cement industry as the majority of cement in the country is used by the realty sector. RP Gupta, chairman and managing director of Shiva Cement, said that contractors are finding it difficult to make cash payments for buying raw materials such as sand, bricks and stones as well as paying wages. Cement companies are reportedly trying to help dealers install bank or credit card payment machines to reduce cash-based transactions.
India to take 20% hit in cement demand due to demonetisation
22 November 2016India: Demonetisation policy is expected to reduce cement demand by 15 – 20% until the end of 2016. It will then reduce growth by 3% in the last quarter of the Indian financial year that runs until the end of March 2017, according to a report by Deutsche Bank Markets Research. It added that investors forecast the drop in short-term demand to be ‘severe.’
Research Analyst Chockalingam Narayanan said that he expected demand from infrastructure projects to partially offset weakness in the residential sector. However, investment towards these projects may be impaired where the revenue comes from state government. These bodies rely on up to 10% of their revenue from the property sector that may be adversely effected by demonetisation. Local bodies are responsible for projects such as rural roads, urban development projects, affordable housing, irrigation and more. Larger road and railway budgets are mostly controlled by central government agencies and are expected to be less effected.