Displaying items by tag: Ethiopia

Tanzania: Nigeria's Dangote Cement is set to commission its new 3.0Mt/yr cement plant in Mtwara District on 10 October 2015. The company will also hold the ground-breaking ceremony for 25 hectares of jetty land at Mgao village in Mtwara District on the same day.

The commissioning of the new cement plant, which is part of the company's Africa expansion strategy, will be the fourth in the series after Ethiopia, Zambia and Cameroon. Cement plants due for commissioning this year are located in Senegal and South Africa, while construction works are ongoing in several other African countries.

Ethiopia: Messebo Cement has hired Industrial Projects Service (IPS), a state-owned consultant, to conduct an assessment of the cement market around Addis Ababa. It wants to explore the feasibility of opening a grinding plant where semi-processed clinker from Tigray will be processed to produce cement.

"The project is mainly intended to minimise the transportation cost incurred from Mekelle to Addis Ababa, which is US$24.5 – 33.7/t, and hence to enable the plant to compete with existing cement plants in the city," said Kidane Tekelehaimanot, Messebo's deputy project manager. Mekelle is 770km away from Addis Ababa. The Addis plant, if opened, would receive and crush the semi-processed clinker by mixing it with additives, which account for 30% of the total amount currently transported from Mekelle. The Mekelle plant produces 83% of its 2.24Mt/yr cement production capacity.

Messebo is the second company after newcomer Habesha Cement to undertake a market study. Habesha, which has a designed production capacity of 2.5Mt/yr, has hired Waas International Consulting to assess the current and future demand and supply of cement, as well as to determine the need of for expansion. Dangote and Derba Midroc cement plants are also planning expansions, with Derba intending to double its 2.3Mt/yr production capacity.

Ethiopia: After some delay and with construction of its original project still ongoing, Habesha Cement is reported to be considering an additional expansion project. The firm hired Waas international Consulting Firm (WICF) in June 2015 to conduct a study to change its market strategy and establish the need for further expansion projects even though the construction of its 1.3Mt/yr cement plant is not yet complete.

WICF, which previously worked on the feasibility study for the overall company, will decide on the need for expansion by looking at the current demand for cement in the country and will restructure Habesha's market strategy accordingly. "We found it necessary to conduct the study because we expect to launch production and join the market in the coming year," said Mesfin Abadi, chief executive director of Habesha Cement, who added that the company's initial market strategy dated from 2013 and did not provide adequate information on market trends past 2015.

The small cement industry of Mozambique, in south west Africa must be an interesting place to make cement. On one side the country's producers, like their more vocal South African counterparts, have been fighting off cheap imports from Iran, Pakistan, China et al. On the other side of the coin though, Mozambique has growing domestic demand and is within striking distance of growing markets further into Africa, like Malawi and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC).

With the announcement this week that there will be not one but two new integrated cement plants in the country, bringing over 2Mt/yr of new capacity, everything should be set fair for the coming years then, shouldn't it? Domestic production will rise, the price of local cement will fall as a result, competition from imports will drop off and money will be made from new exports.

Except that might not happen. Before the announcement of these two plants, (one of which does not state a capacity), there was around 5.5Mt/yr of grinding and integrated capacity either currently active in Mozambique or due to come onstream in 2015. With the new projects this rises to over 7.5Mt/yr.

The desirable chain of events described above starts to break down due to the fact that domestic demand in Mozambique, while rising, is not currently anywhere near as high as domestic supply. The United States Geological Survey estimated that the country produced just 1.2Mt/yr in 2012. Data for 2013 and 2014, though unavailable, is highly unlikely to show a three-fold increase. Indeed Insitec, a minority shareholder in Cimentos de Moçambique, predicted in 2014 that demand for that year would rise to just 1.5Mt, before hitting the dizzying heights of 1.8Mt in 2018 – And that's still three years away!

So what are the options? Option 1: Some or all of the planned and mooted cement plants will fail to come to fruition. Option 2: Some or all of the plants will be built but will operate at reduced capacity and/or on a campaign basis. Option 3: The Mozambican cement industry becomes a regional powerhouse and starts to export to its neighbours.

Option 1 is certainly possible. Limak Group, one of the parties linked to the new projects, is a Turkish cement producer that is inexperienced outside of Turkey. There has also been a lack of information on the progress of projects by Austral Cimentos ('coming on stream in 2015'), Star Cement and Consolidated Building Materials, although a lack of progress reports does not necessarily imply 'no progress.'

Option 2 is more likely, as some producers already operate on a campaign basis. InterCement's plant at Nacala, formerly an integrated plant, currently operates only as a grinding station. Option 3 is also possible, with Malawi particularly lacking in cement production facilities.
In reality a combination of all three 'Options' is the most likely outcome. However, this will lead to Mozambique becoming yet another player in an increasingly busy African cement market. The desire for self-sufficiency in cement production, a common goal for the region's governments, can easily lead to over-estimates of local demand growth, with resultant over-capacity. Of course the expectation that all African countries can get rid of this extra cement capacity via exports will ultimately backfire.

In southern Africa we already have South Africa exporting. Angola declared 'cement self-sufficiency' in October 2014 and banned imports at the start of 2015. Zambia, Botswana, Zimbabwe and DRC all have large-scale Dangote and/or PCC projects near completion or in production that will greatly reduce their need for imports. Meanwhile, further north, Nigeria is already a gigantic producer and significant cement exporter. Cameroon has recently banned imports and Ghana is thinking of doing the same. Over in the east of Africa, Ethiopia's (and the rest of that region's) rapidly-developing situation was covered in this column just two weeks ago.

Finally, in the north of Africa, Algeria has declared its intention to be self-sufficient in cement by 2016. This news must have 'gone down like a lead balloon' in Italy, Spain and Greece, which have been reliant on north African markets after the bottoms fell out of their own economies. In the north east, Egypt has different problems at present, also described previously. It needs fuel not cement!

So where does this all lead for regional cement dynamics in Africa? Well perhaps the situation in India points the way. There, as in Africa, local and regional producers with the desire to expand grew from their local bases and eventually overlapped. Against a backdrop of lower-than-expected demand, the country now has overcapacity. This has resulted in smaller producers being acquired and leaving the market.

Could this eventually happen in Africa? Only time will tell. However one thing is certain: It's just not possible for every country to export to every other country!

Just one week after Dangote started trial production at its new Mugher cement plant in Ethiopia it announced that it would be doubling capacity at the site. Upgrade work is slated to begin before the end of 2015, according to Nigerian media.

The move shows how much potential Ethiopia is seen to have for the cement industry. With a population of around 90m, it had a cement production capacity of 9.7Mt/yr before the new 2.5Mt/yr Dangote plant comes on line, according to Global Cement Directory 2015 figures. Including the new Dangote plant and even at 100% capacity utilisation this would place cement consumption in the country at 135kg/capita. This is a low figure internationally and hence the continued interest in new capacity. Subsequently, a large number of projects have been rumoured and mooted in Ethiopia over the years. However, many of these publicised projects then fail to make it to construction.

Mebrahtu Meles, the Minister of Industry, said that there were 18 companies engaged in cement production at the 7th Africa Cement Trade Summit that took place in Addis Ababa in April 2015. Meles placed the installed production capacity at 11.2Mt/yr (including the Dangote plant) with the expectation that this will increase to 17.15Mt. However, these cement plants are only producing 5.47Mt/yr, giving the country a capacity utilisation rate of below 50%. This too is low by international standards (60% or more). Cement consumption was placed at just 62kg/capita in 2014.

At the same event, the Ministry of Industry revealed that it was working on a national Cement Industry Development Strategy from 2015 to 2025. The strategy will tackle local industry issues such as unavailability of locally-produced packaging materials, poor transport links, high costs of production and a limited market. Key targets include stimulating cement demand to 12.22Mt/yr by 2020 by moving to concrete road construction and raising capacity utilisation rate to 75% by 2017 and to 80% to 2025.

Despite the publicity Dangote isn't the only player creating new capacity in Ethiopia. Habesha Cement is set to open its 1.4Mt/yr cement plant near to Addis Ababa in 2016. Habesha also has an international angle, given that South African cement producer PPC purchased the majority stake in Habesha Cement in the autumn of 2014 following the project's difficult financial history.

The new Dangote plant predates the country's new cement industry strategy but the upgrade plans demonstrate confidence in both the market and the government's plans. To meet its targets though the country is going to need to increase both its capacity utilisation and build more production capacity. Although muted from previous pronouncements the current target relies on Habesha Cement building its plant and the capacity utilisation rate rising from 50% to at least 75%.

South African weekly newspaper, M&G Africa, has described how Africa faces an infrastructure 'apartheid' whereby 44 of the continent's 58 countries share just 25% of the continent's infrastructure. Building things in Africa costs more because of this infrastructure deficit and it hits cement capacity utilisation rates as well. Ethiopia is one of the region's richer countries in terms of gross domestic product (GDP) but the same issues apply. Hitting its targets for the cement industry may be hard.

Ethiopia: Accoring to Nigeria News, Dangote Group president Alhaji Aliko Dangote has said that 'plans are afoot' to double the capacity of the newly-opened US$500m, 2.5Mt/yr capacity cement plant in Mugher, Oromia, Ethiopia. Dangote said that the expansion work would begin before the end of 2015.

The decision to set up and then expand the plant was informed by the 'enabling' environment created by the Ethiopian government with massive investment in several large-scale infrastructure projects, including the construction of the continent's largest hydropower dam. The Ethiopian plant will create direct employment for 2000 people in the main plant operations and logistics, with a fleet of 600 trucks. 5000 indirect jobs will also be created.

Dangote said that achieving real economic integration in African would require political stability and a breakdown of the barriers and borders between countries, which hinders free flow of goods, services and people. "We need to make deliberate efforts to encourage Africans, not just foreigners, to invest in Africa. Dangote Cement is currently in 16 African countries with plans to invest in many more over the next years. There are a number of other successful pan-African brands today such as MTN, Shoprite and Ecobank," said Dangote. "We need to encourage this trend to see more investments in Africa by Africans. Above all, there is need to encourage the private sector to collaborate with governments across Africa to address the issue of infrastructure deficit, which has plagued the continent for decades."

Ethiopia's prime minister Hailemariam Desalegn said that as one of the fastest growing economies in the world, the country's investment potential had barely been scratched. He said that the government was spending millions of dollars on critical infrastructure to address investment and align with policies that were already in place to aid investors. "Ethiopia represents a lucrative market that has barely been tapped with its 95 million people and growing economy," said Desalegn.

Ethiopia's Minister of Industry, Ahmed Abitew, said that, with the new plant, the country's cement sector would make significant growth in meeting local demand, which has grown due to infrastructural development. According to him, production has risen from 11.2Mt/yr to 17.5Mt/yr. "The government is giving due attention to the industrial sector with its average growth of 20%/yr," said Abitew.

Ethiopia: Dangote Cement, which entered the cement sector in Ethiopia with an investment of US$600m, began trial cement production at its new 2.5Mt/yr capacity plant in May 2015. The plant, which received its licence from the Ethiopia Investment Commission on 8 September 2008, is located at Muger in Adebern Wereda, Oromia. Dangote has started work with 1000 employees.

Dangote Cement has imported 1.2m packaging bags from Egypt, with more to be imported soon. Twenty-three heavy trucks imported for transport have also arrived at the port in Djibouti, with a duty free privilege provided by the government to the company, said Mesfin Abera, Dangote's sales and marketing manager in Ethiopia. The company will import a total of 600 trucks.

According to data obtained from the Ministry of Industry's Cement & Related Industry Development Institute, cement demand in Ethiopia is expected to reach 10.6Mt/yr in 2017.

Ethiopia: Dangote Cement's new cement plant in Ethiopia will open in May 2015. Minister of Mines, Tolosa Shagi visited the plant and commented that new plants and upgrades to existing plants will enable Ethiopia to meet local demand, according to local media. The new cement plant in Oromia cost US$400m and it will have a cement production capacity of 2.5Mt/yr making it one of the largest in East Africa.

Currently, cement demand in Ethiopia is estimated to be around 7 – 8Mt/yr with cement production at 5.4Mt/yr. Once fully operational the Dangote Cement plant is hoped to raise the country's cement production to 8Mt/yr.

Ethiopia: Aliko Dangote will inaugurate east Africa's biggest cement plant in Ethiopia in the next three weeks, between 29 March 2015 and 2 April 2015.

Dangote Cement Ethiopia plc has built the state-of-the-art cement plant in West Shoa Zone, Adaberga woreda. Construction by China's Sinoma International Engineering commenced in March 2012 and was completed in March 2015. Products of the US$500m plant will be available locally from May 2015. The plant has 2.5Mt/yr of cement production capacity. Teshome Lemma, country general manager of Dangote Cement, said that the fully-automated plant is the biggest in the east African region. It will produce Ordinary Portland cement, Pozzolanic Portland cement and special cement for dam construction.

According to Lemma, all of the equipment was procured from Germany, Sweden and Italy. "The plant has state-of-the-art cement technology and it produces world class cement that can be sold any where in the world," said Lemma. "The plant is environmentally-friendly. There is no smoke coming out of the plant as the latest pollution controlling technology is applied."

Egypt/Ethipopia: ASEC Engineering and Management, a subsidiary of Egypt's Qalaa Holdings, has signed a one-year plant management agreement with Ethiopia's National Cement Share Company.

As per the deal, Asec will provide full technical assistance to National Cement Share Company for the operation and maintenance of the 1Mt/yr capacity cement plant. ASEC will also utilise its know-how and expertise to help National Cement Share Company to boost production volumes, cut production costs and improve product quality. Under the contract, ASEC will also introduce and implement systems for all aspects of production, quality, maintenance, warehousing and human resources, among other areas.

"This is a result of the continued efforts of ASEC Engineering and its ambitious plans to expand its business into Sub-Saharan Africa after its successful contract with Cimento Nacional Company in Mozambique," said ASEC Engineering CEO Khaled El Sebaie.