Displaying items by tag: Portland Cement Association

US: Improving underlying economic fundamentals, the existence of large pent-up demand balances and the diminishment of economic 'fiscal cliff' uncertainty will combine to result in strong growth rates in 2013 and an increase in cement consumption, according to a new forecast by the Portland Cement Association (PCA).

According to the latest forecast there will be 8.1% growth in cement consumption in 2013 compared to 2012, significantly higher than the tepid growth projected in the PCA's autumn 2012 report. The upward revisions reflect adjustments made in light of the recent fiscal cliff accord, recognition of stronger economic momentum and markedly more optimistic assessments regarding residential construction activity. The January 2013 report marked 2012 consumption at 78.5Mt, an 8.9% increase compared to cement consumption in 2011.

"Growth in 2013 cement consumption will be largely driven by gains in residential construction," said PCA Chief Economist Ed Sullivan. "Housing starts should reach nearly 950,000 units, with single family construction near 700,000 starts during 2013. We see starts hitting the one million mark in 2014 or 2015."

Sullivan did caution, however, that the first quarter of 2013 would actually show declines compared to the same period in 2012. "It is important to point out that this potential decline in first quarter growth rates does not signal a weakening in market fundamentals, but rather a hangover from favourable 2012 weather conditions," said Sullivan. "Stronger gains in cement consumption growth are expected during the second quarter."

The accelerated consumption predicted during the second half of 2013 should carry into the following year, when the PCA projects a cement consumption increase of 8.3%. The PCA also upwardly revised its long-range projections for 2015-2017. Annual growth during that period is expected to be as high as 9.2%/yr.

US: Gregory M Scott has become the president and chief executive of the Portland Cement Association (PCA), effective from 2 January 2013. Scott joined the PCA in January 2012 as the senior president of government affairs and was promoted to president in September 2012.

Scott holds a background in trade association leadership with legislative campaigns on federal transportation, environmental and energy issues. Most recently he served as executive vice president and general counsel for the National Petrochemical and Refiners Association (NPRA) in Washington, DC. Prior to joining the NPRA, Scott served as vice president of National Strategies, Inc, a trade association representing CEOs of Fortune 100 firms on corporate finance and tax issues.

He began his career serving on the staff of Senator Timothy E Wirth. From 1991-2008 Scott was a partner/member of Kelley Drye Collier Shannon, where he gained extensive expertise in petroleum refining and motor fuel marketing as well as legislative and regulatory issues.

Scott received his Bachelor of Arts degree from Colorado College in Colorado Springs and a law doctorate from the American University's Washington College of Law in Washington, DC.

US: The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has sent final revisions to its Portland cement sector air toxics and criteria pollutant emissions rulemaking for White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) pre-publication review, according to industry sources. This could indicate that the agency might meet a looming 20 December 2012 consent decree deadline for issuing the proposal.

Industry sources say that the rule, which will revise EPA's 2010 maximum achievable control technology (MACT) standards for air toxics emissions and a related new source performance standard to cut criteria pollutants, was received at OMB either on 4 or 5 December 2012, although an EPA spokeswoman declined to say whether the rule has been sent for OMB review. She only said that the agency was, "Working on the rule and (plans) to finalise by 20 December 2012."

The 20 December 2012 deadline stems from a settlement with the Portland Cement Association (PCA) and others in the industry to propose a revision to the rules, a response in part to industry petitions for reconsideration. Cement manufacturers claimed that the 2010 rules' particulate matter (PM) limits were not achievable, among other concerns.

In addition to addressing the reconsideration petitions and other aspects of the settlement, the rule will also respond to the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit's December 2011 ruling in PCA v EPA remanding the rule to the agency. The court found that EPA had failed to reconsider how a related incinerator air rule may potentially alter the cement rule's emission limits and that the agency failed to give 'sufficient notice' of its final standards for open clinker storage piles.

In the 22 June 2012 proposed revisions to the rule, the EPA proposed to weaken the particulate matter (PM) limit for existing kilns from 18.14g/t (0.04lb/t) of clinker to 31.75g/t (0.07lb/t) of clinker and the limit for new kilns from 4.5g/t (0.01lb/t) of clinker to 9.0g/t (0.02lb/t) of clinker. The EPA also proposed to extend the MACT's compliance deadline to 9 September 2015, saying, "We believe that this date would require compliance 'as expeditiously as practicable'" as required by the Clean Air Act.

Several environmental groups have argued that the revisions are unlawful, both exceeding the changes required by the DC Circuit's narrow ruling and watering down the cement standards for 'unknown reasons.' In comments made on 17 August 2012 regarding the proposed reconsideration the Natural Resources Defense Council, Earthjustice and other environmental groups said that the compliance delay is arbitrary and capricious given that EPA failed to adequately justify it. They added that the delay, "Will greatly exacerbate the harm that EPA already has caused and the suffering that ordinary Americans have had to endure," given that the EPA was supposed to update the cement MACT in 1997.

Update: The White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) website shows that the OMB received the revised EPA MACT standards on 6 December 2012.

US: The Portland Cement Association (PCA) has announced that its board of directors has elected Cary O Cohrs, current president of American Cement Company, to be its new chairman during the association's autumn board meeting in Washington, DC. Cohrs succeeds Aris Papadopoulos of Titan America. John Stull, president and CEO of Lafarge North America Inc, was elected vice chairman.

"It is not only a pleasure but a great honour to serve as chairman of the board," Cohrs said. "We may be just beginning to emerge from the recession, but the prospects for cement and concrete are incredibly positive. With our shift in leadership from Skokie to Washington comes a greater focus on advocacy and government affairs. But we also must maintain our focus on national and local promotion initiatives and continue to drive gains in both market share and market size."

Cohrs has decades of experience in the cement industry. In 2000 he was appointed vice president of operations for Florida Rock Industries, where Cohrs also served as plant manager and construction manager. He also was a corporate project manager for Essroc Materials Inc, responsible for the installation and commissioning of capital projects in six cement plants and two grinding plants.

US: A forecast from the Portland Cement Association (PCA) expects a 7.5% rise in cement consumption in 2012. However, the association says that these gains could be immediately erased in 2013 if the so-called US 'fiscal cliff' is not resolved. The fiscal cliff refers to tax increases of US$400bn and federal spending cuts of US$200m currently scheduled to come into effect on 1 January 2013.

If the US House of Congress resolves the fiscal cliff during its session in 2012, the PCA expects the economy to continue to grow and cement consumption in 2013 to increase by 6%. Adversely, even if Congress addresses the policies by the first quarter of 2013, this delay will cause significant economic harm and cause a 2.7% drop in cement consumption.

"Because we believe the odds for either outcome are even, we have adopted a forecasting approach that minimises up and downside risk," said Ed Sullivan, the chief economist at the PCA. "Our baseline scenario blends the two possible outcomes and projects a 1.8% increase in cement consumption in 2013."

Sullivan also reported that the longer the US Congress delays in addressing the fiscal cliff, the greater the adverse effect on economic growth and construction activity in particular. "If no action is taken by mid-2013, the country could be headed into a severe recession," said Sullivan.

According to the PCA report, cement consumption from 1 January 2012 to 30 September 2012 had increased by 10% compared to 2011, with 16 consecutive months of growth. Sullivan attributed this growth to the return of consumer confidence, a strong housing market and, most importantly, growth in employment.

US: Growth in home construction and favourable weather conditions have helped to boost the consumption of cement in the first half 2012, according to a report released on 3 August 2012 by the Portland Cement Association (PCA).

In its report the PCA forecasts that cement consumption will be 6.9% higher by the end of 2012 compared with the end of 2011. The association, however, warned that there is some uncertainty about the state of the industry going beyond 2012. In a news release, it put much of the blame for the uncertainty on the US Congress.

Economists worry that the inability of Congress to find common ground on tax cuts expiring and the automatic spending cuts set to kick in at the end of 2012 could force the nation over a 'fiscal cliff', driving the economy back into recession.

"If Congress fails to address the fiscal cliff issue during the first or second quarter of 2013 there is the potential for severe adverse economic consequences that could slow the recovery process, potentially leading to a severe decline in 2013 cement consumption," said Ed Sullivan, the PCA's chief economist.

US: The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) appears poised to soften particulate matter (PM) limits in its pending revised air toxics rule for cement plants, while separately pursuing an extended compliance deadline for the rule. Both moves would represent major concessions to industry groups that sought a weaker rule but have the potential to rile environmentalists who say such changes would be unlawful.

According to an industry source, EPA will propose to soften the rule's PM limits on smokestacks for existing cement plants. New data submitted to EPA by the industry shows that the limit of 0.02kg/t of clinker set by the final rule prior to reconsideration is not realistically attainable. Instead, the EPA will probably revert to a higher number, closer to the 0.043kg/t that it offered in its original proposal.

Environmentalists oppose softening the air toxics rule and recently warned the agency in written comments that, "any changes diminishing or replacing the existing standards would be flatly unlawful." The likely changes to the rule follow a series of 11th-hour meetings that industry officials and others have held with EPA and White House Office of Management & Budget (OMB) staff seeking to shape the proposal.

The Portland Cement Association previously presented a paper to the EPA arguing for an increase in the emissions limit for PM. "The current PM limit of 0.02kg/t of clinker is very stringent," reported the paper. "Very few facilities can comply with the clinker limit without major investments in new and upgraded PM controls."

US: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has sent for the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) to review its proposed revisions to its emissions rules for the Portland cement sector, ahead of a tentative 15 June 2012 deadline for issuing the revisions in line with a proposed consent decree with the industry.

The pending proposed revised rules undergoing OMB review will address not only the remand but also the EPA's May 2011 partial reconsideration of the cement rules - including standards for open clinker storage piles and start-up and shutdown monitoring requirements - as those provisions included in the recent proposed consent decree with industry.

In the Register notice on the consent decree, the EPA says that it "would also agree to propose to extend the existing source compliance date of 10 September 2013, or in any case to discuss the possibility of extending that date, and to take final action by 20 December 2012 regarding the date of compliance," if such provisions are 'supported by the administrative record.'

While stalling the compliance deadline would be a 'win' for the cement industry, it would likely draw protests from environmentalists supportive of the current air toxics rule. The deadline for comments on the proposed consent decree is 7 June 2012.

US: Stronger than expected job creation and the beginning of a construction industry recovery mean gains in real construction spending will materialise in 2012, according to a new forecast from the Portland Cement Association (PCA). The PCA says that increases in cement consumption will follow.

The PCA revised its autumn forecast upward, anticipating a modest 3.7% increase in cement consumption in 2012, followed by a 7.6% jump in 2013 and a 14.1% increase in 2014. The forecast includes marginal improvements to non-residential construction, an upward revision to housing starts and an aggressive cement intensity gain, which is the amount of cement used per dollar of construction activity.

"Cement usage is greatest at the early stages of construction with foundation work. The retreat of building starts during the recession had a huge impact on consumption and intensity," said Ed Sullivan, chief economist at the PCA. "A construction start rebound in 2012 coupled with concrete's competitive price compared to other building materials translates to increases."

Sullivan said that, with successive years of economic and employment growth, the structural issues facing the construction industry will diminish. For example, the adverse impact of foreclosures will fade and return on investment for non-residential investments will improve.

The PCA forecasts that all sectors of construction will be positive during 2014-2015, which typically results in large gains in cement consumption.

US: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has agreed to delay maximum achievable control technology (MACT) air compliance for cement plants by two years. As part of on-going negotiations with the Portland Cement Association (PCA) if the EPA doesn't issues a proposal to this effect by 15 June 2012 then the PCA and other cement producers will be able to resume legal action against the pollution rulings.

Under the terms of a 16 April 2012 proposed consent decree, the EPA will have to issue by 15 June 2012 a proposal addressing a ruling on 9 December 2011 from the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. The EPA's revisions will also have to cover separate pending industry administrative petitions. The EPA has been negotiating with the PCA over the terms of the proposed consent decree, following a ruling finding that the EPA failed to reconsider how a related incinerator emissions rule could potentially alter the cement rule's emission limits.

The EPA has also agreed under the proposed consent decree to finalise a revised MACT by 20 December 2012, but the settlement does not require that the agency finalise a two-year delay. Rather, the decree states that EPA must only include its 'final decision on whether to extend the compliance deadlines for existing sources' in the revised MACT.

The EPA and PCA also acknowledge that EPA must subject the agreement to public comment and review. The settlement further notes that, "if the federal government elects to withdraw or withhold consent to this Agreement" after considering public comments on it, "PCA shall have the right to withdraw from this Agreement and file a request to lift the abeyance requested by the Parties."

As environmentalists and states were not party to the settlement, this public comment would provide them with the first opportunity to challenge the possibility of a two-year delay for the rule's compliance deadline and changes to meet the other provisions in the settlement.