Displaying items by tag: Vietnam Cement Association

Vietnam: Vietnam's cement sector anticipates minimal impact from the EU's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) as exports to the EU account for less than 2% of total sales, according to the Vietnam News Brief Service. However, Luong Duc Long, vice president and general secretary of the Vietnam Cement Association, remains alert to potential changes in emission thresholds that could incur additional taxes. Currently, the country’s cement sector emits 700 - 750kg/t of CO₂, with goals to reduce this to 650kg/t by 2030 and to 550kg/t by 2050 through technological advancements like rotary kilns and AI, as well as the use of alternative fuels and waste management solutions.

Taiwan: Taiwan will initiate an anti-dumping investigation into cement and clinker imports from Vietnam in August 2024, according to the Trade Remedies Authority of Vietnam (TRAV) under the Ministry of Industry and Trade. The TRAV has advised the Vietnam Cement Association to inform its members and coordinate with Taiwanese importers for market monitoring, reports the Vietnam News Brief Service. Companies must provide export data from 2021 to mid-2024 by 12 August 2024.

Vietnamese cement and clinker exports have seen a decline in recent years. In 2023, exports fell to 31.3Mt, valued at US$1.32bn, down by 1.2% year-on-year. From January to July 2024, exports decreased further to 18.3Mt, worth US$705m, a decline of 1% compared to the same period in 2023. The VNCA forecast continued challenges for cement and clinker exports due to China’s stagnant real estate market and surplus cement production.

Vietnam: The Vietnamese cement industry persists in facing difficulties, with several plants operating at only 70 - 75% capacity and accumulating stockpiles of around 5Mt, according to the Vietnam Investment Review. The total production capacity is over 120Mt/yr, yet four new production lines with a combined 11Mt capacity remain inactive. At a recent conference, strategies were proposed to alleviate industry pressures, including fiscal policy adjustments and abolishing the current clinker export tariff, which currently sits at 10%. It was revealed that many cement producers are struggling due to borrowing, soaring production costs and slow consumption.

Chair of the Vietnam Cement Association Nguyen Quang Cung said "Never before has the cement industry been at such a critical stage. If the current predicament drags on, the possibility of domestic ownership transferring to foreign investors might occur, posing the threat of the cement sector falling into the hands of foreign businesses, thereby reducing the country's ability to deal with pricing and market moderation in the long term."

Vietnam: Export prices for clinker and cement in Vietnam have dropped significantly in May 2024, impacting the construction industry and raising concerns among exporters. This decline is due to decreased international demand, intense competition, and evolving trade policies, according to the Vietnam News Brief Service. The Ministry of Construction noted that after a decade of growth, export volumes have fallen sharply since 2022, with exports dropping to 10.9Mt in 2023 from 15.2Mt the previous year. Only 5.4Mt is expected to be exported in the first half of 2024.

The Vietnam Cement Association (VNCA) has highlighted ongoing challenges, particularly influenced by the downturn in China’s real estate market and competitive pressures from Chinese cement surpluses. The VNCA has urged Vietnamese exporters to explore new markets, improve product quality and increase production efficiency. Additionally, the VNCA recommends that the government consider eliminating export taxes on clinker to mitigate these challenges.

Vietnam: The Vietnam Cement Association (VNCA) has urged the government to address the cement industry's challenges, following a continuous decline in sales since 2022. Despite having 61 cement plants with a combined capacity of 117Mt/yr, the industry recorded sales of only 87.8Mt/yr in 2023, marking a 16% year-on-year fall in domestic consumption to 56.6Mt and a 1% decline in exports to 31.2Mt. The downturn in both domestic and export markets has resulted in excess inventory, leading many plants to reduce capacity or halt operations, with some facing bankruptcy or the risk of foreign acquisition.

Several factors have contributed to the industry's difficulties, including reduced domestic demand due to reliance on traditional construction techniques in major infrastructure projects, a stagnant real estate market, escalating fuel costs, and increased export taxes on clinker. To combat these issues, VNCA proposes promoting concrete use in high-speed infrastructure projects, especially in the Central region and the Mekong Delta. It also advocates maintaining or eliminating export taxes on clinker for the next two years and providing VAT exemptions. Additionally, VNCA calls for financial support, requesting banks to offer debt relief and reduced interest rates to cement companies. The association also advises against further foreign investment in Vietnam's cement sector.

Vietnam: In the first quarter of 2024, Vietnam's cement and clinker exports maintained a volume of 7.9Mt but represented a 11.7% year-on-year decrease in value to US$298m, according to the General Statistics Office.

The value decrease is reportedly attributed to China's sluggish real estate market and anti-dumping duties imposed by the Philippines. Export prices also declined slightly, with the average price in 2023 dropping by 3% year-on-year. The Vietnam Cement Association anticipates further challenges for these exports in 2024, facing increased competition from the Philippines, Central America and South Africa. Domestic production is expected to exceed demand, with consumption estimated at 60-62Mt, prompting intensified export efforts to manage an excess production of around 30Mt.

Vietnam: The Vietnam Cement Association (VCA) has urged the government to stop issuing licences for the construction of new cement plants. Capacity is currently projected to reach 121Mt/yr in 2023, 188% of an estimated consumption of 64.3Mt domestically this year.

VCA chair Nguyen Quang Cung said “We must be careful to maintain a balance between regional supply and demand. As a result of the severe overstock in the north, it is crucial to encourage cement producers in the south to spend more on increasing clinker production capacity." Cung added "This will minimise the environmental effects of shipping clinker between the north and south.”

Vietnam: The Vietnam National Cement Association (VNCA) has reported a 27% year-on-year rise in cement and clinker exports to 21.0Mt in the first half of 2021. The Viet Nam News newspaper has reported that the value of cement exports rose by 32% to US$812m. The growth was attributed to China’s environmental policies and the promotion of clinker imports.

Philippines: The Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) has launched a new investigation into imports of cement, currently subject to safeguarding tariffs of US$0.20/bag. The investigation follows a request by Cemex Philippines, Holcim Philippines and Republic Cement. The Viet Nam News newspaper has reported that the Vietnam National Cement Association has asked the DTI and the Philippine cement industry to consider whether imports from Vietnam did real damage. In 2020, Vietnam’s export cement prices fell by 15% year-on-year. Its excess production of cement was 36Mt during the year, and its clinker prices were 20% below the regional average.

Exports are the theme this week with news that the value of Turkey’s cement exports fell by 26% year-on-year in April 2020. Reporting from the Trend News Agency showed that the export market has been stable so far for the year to date, with some countries, like Kazakhstan, increasing exports and others, like France, decreasing exports. However the change in April may mark the start of a new trend.

As Tamer Saka, the chairman of the Turkish Cement Manufacturers’ Association (TÇMB), said earlier in the year, his country is one of biggest cement exporters in the world and among its most important markets are the US, Israel, Ghana and Ivory Coast. To look at one of these countries, United States Geology Survey (USGS) data shows that cement and clinker imports from Turkey to the US grew by 26% year-on-year to 1Mt for the first quarter of 2020 but that exports fell by 24% year-on-year to 0.11Mt in March 2020. Each of these countries is being affected in different ways by the coronavirus pandemic and at different times. Overall though, Saka’s and the TÇMB’s forecast in February 2020 that exports would rise by 15% year-on-year in 2020 is looking decidedly shaky. Any knock to the export market in Turkey is particularly unwanted given the poor state of the Turkish economy at the moment.

What would be useful to know here is how other major cement exporters are coping with the global situation. Data from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics shows that Pakistan’s cement exports dropped by 31% year-on-year to 0.36Mt in April 2020. Data from the All Pakistan Cement Manufacturers Association (APCMA) for the same month tells a similar story. Its data shows a 57% drop in exports to 0.25Mt in April 2020, with a bigger share lost by plants in the north of the country than those in the south.

The other country to note is Vietnam. Here, data from the General Department of Vietnam Customs shows that cement exports fell by 9.7% year-on-year to 7.73Mt in the first quarter of 2020. This follows the announcement by Vietnam Cement Association (VCA) chair Nguyễn Quang Cung in May 2020 that all cement plant projects scheduled to begin in 2020 would be suspended. Luckily those currently being built avoided this fate. This has included a new line at Thanh Thang Group Cement’s integrated Bong Lang cement plant, which Germany’s Loesche has just sent a pair of clinker mills to this week.

These changes from the major cement exporters are bad for their host countries but the other side of the chain is how their destinations are affected. For example, Australia’s clinker imports nearly doubled between 2010 – 2011 and 2018 – 2019 to 4.1Mt. This compares to local clinker production of 5.6Mt in 2018 – 2019, according to the Cement Industry Federation and the Australian Bureau of Statistics. With this in mind, this week saw the resolution to a legal dispute between Wagners Holdings and Boral over a cement supply contract. Boral found a cheaper source of cement from Cement Australia in early 2019 and the two parties argued over their contract. This dispute may have nothing to do with foreign import levels but Wagners Holdings, Boral and Cement Australia all operate standalone clinker grinding plants and will all be subject to general market pricing trends. Higher international clinker levels may add pressure to pricing issues surrounding cement supply contracts in Australia and elsewhere.

Finally, cement trade flows aren’t the only commodity that has been affected by coronavirus disruption. The mass movement of workers home and then back to work is expected to complicate India’s return to business, as discussed in last week’s column. In this context it’s pleasing to come across one sign of normality. Local press in Hubei, China reported this week that workers from Huaxin Cement finally flew back to Uzbekistan. They were originally meant to commission a new plant in March 2020 but became stranded at home when they returned for the Chinese New Year. Commissioning of the plant is now planned for later in June 2020.

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