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The cement output data for December 2021 is out for China and we’re starting to see the effects of a rather tough autumn. Lower coal supplies, consumer prioritisation for energy supplies, higher input costs and a slowing real estate market all contributed to a reduction in output.

Graph 1: Cement output by quarter in China, 2019 –2021. Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China.

As can be seen in Graph 1 above, output took off after the shock of the coronavirus outbreak receded at the start of 2020. This then continued until mid-2021 when things changed. Overall cement out was 2.36Bnt in 2021, an annual drop of nearly 1.2% compared to 2.39Bnt in 2020. Note that the 2021 output figure is about average for China’s annual output since it hit a high of nearly 2.5Bnt in 2014. However, the months from September 2021 onwards have seen output drops of above 10% year-on-year. It’s been from a high base but if it were to continue it could signal a more ominous trend. As the China Cement Association (CCA) describes it, cement output started to slow from May to August 2021, in part due to seasonal factors and repeated local outbreaks of Covid-19 around the country. This trend then started to accelerate for the reasons mentioned above.

Looking at energy first, coal future prices in China hit a near-decade high in October 2021 due to a variety of market disruptions. This looked set to worsen at the start of January 2022 when the country’s biggest overseas supplier, Indonesia, banned exports for a month due domestic shortages. However, data has since emerged this week from the National Bureau of Statistics showing that Chinese coal production grew by 4% year-on-year to 4.07Bnt in 2021, with faster monthly growth, as the industry ramped up output to meet demand.

On the real estate market, the CCA views it as having run ‘hot’ and then ‘cold’ in 2021. At the start of the year the government introduced new government regulations (its so-called three red lines of policy) to reduce borrowing in the sector. The real estate market subsequently declined, not withstanding certain hot-spots. In the western press this process has been symbolised by the fortunes of Evergrande and its debts of over US$300bn. It started missing bond payments in September 2021 before formally defaulting in December 2021. As the Financial Times newspaper reported in a summary on the situation, in late December 2021, Evergrande said that work at 92% of its projects, which number in the hundreds across China, had resumed. Separate data though showed that its housing sales had slumped by 99% year-on-year in the same month. The newspaper has compared the Chinese government’s approach to Evergrande to its handling of conglomerate HNA Group, which was eventually declared bankrupt in 2021 after a slow disintegration. In its opinion the government may try to control the collapse of Evergrande through a series of quiet interventions over a long period. However, Evergrande’s debts appear to be double those of HNA Group’s and there may be further risks from other companies in the real estate sector. All of this presents risks to local cement output.

To round up, Chinese cement output in the second quarter of 2022 is the figure to watch to assess how well the industry is coping with its current issues. Production is likely to slow in the first quarter due to seasonal factors such as the New Year holidays, winter shutdowns and the hangover from the problems in the autumn. Once the spring arrives then we may have a glimpse of how cement companies are coping with coal supplies, the real estate market and all the rest.

And finally... Global Cement Weekly invites readers to explore Austria-based W&P’s virtual tours of three of its plants. The presentation is a fancier version of the panorama photo applications one can find on most smartphones but with some added mapping and visualisation settings. It’s a fantastic addition to the set of community outreach tools a cement company can use. Check it out here: https://alpacem.com/360/

Qatar: Essa Muhammed Ali Kaladari has been appointed as the new chief executive officer of Qatar National Cement Company. He succeeds Mohammed Ali Al Sulaiti who has resigned with effect from the end of January 2022.

Austria: Stefan Schriebl has been appointed as Head of Corporate Development for Wietersdorfer Group. He will be responsible in his new role for the sustainability and digitisation management of the company. Prior to joining the Wietersdorfer Group, Schriebl worked at the former BASF subsidiary MBCC Group in Austria as technical manager for concrete admixtures and at the refractory manufacturer RHI Magnesita as senior vice president for research and development in Europe.

Russia: SibCem subsidiary KuzbassTransCement has appointed Eduard Ishimov as its managing director. He succeeds Alexander Chagaev, who will continue to work as an advisor to president of Sibcem on transport and logistics. KuzbassTransCement is responsible for the operation of the railway fleet of SibCem.

Ishimov, aged 53 years, started working in the railway sector in the late 1990s. In 2006 he began working at KuzbassTransCement and has held the positions of Director for Transportation and Operation of Rolling Stock and Director for Transportation and Logistics. A graduate of the Novosibirsk Electrotechnical Institute, he also holds qualifications from t he Siberian State University of Communications and the Moscow International Higher Business School.

China: Sibo (Steven) Yan has been appointed as the general manager of KHD’s Chinese unit KHD Beijing. His new role is intended to help KHD grow its market share in China in conjunction with the company’s main shareholder, AVIC.

Yan started working for KHD in 2016 as Manager of the Tendering Department before becoming Vice President - Tendering & SCM in 2019. Previously he worked as a Technical Manager for AVIC International Beijing. He holds a PhD in Mechanical Engineering from the Beijing University of Technology.

US: Cadence Environmental Energy has appointed Tom Lane as Vice President of Finance. In addition to his financial tasks he will also serve as a strategic advisor to Cadence’s president, recommending financial initiatives, policies, programs and practices that support the company’s key business initiative. Lane joined Cadence’s accounting department in 1991. A trained and accredited CPA, he graduated from Ball State University in 1983 with a bachelor’s degree in accounting.

Cadence Environmental Energy provides technology for waste fuel recycling and emission reduction technology to the cement industry.

France: Lafarge France has commissioned its Martres cement plant’s new kiln line. China-based Sinoma Construction carried out the work on the plant in Occitanie Region. The supplier said that the new kiln will use 85% alternative fuel (AF), which will cut 163,000t/yr (28%) of its CO₂ emissions. This will reduce its clinker’s carbon footprint by 240kg/t.

Italy: Buzzi Unicem has signed an agreement with Italgas to collaborate on the development of power to gas plants for implementation in combination with carbon capture systems. Their research will assess the possibility of producing and using synthetic methane obtained from the combination of green hydrogen from power to gas plants with captured CO₂.

Buzzi Unicem’s group technical director at Luigi Buzzi said "We are very interested in the opportunity to collaborate with Italgas as an experienced partner to develop a project that is fully integrated into our industrial investment plan aimed at identifying technologies for capturing and reusing the CO₂ released by our plants, in line with the roadmaps defined by industry associations.” He added “Our aim is to responsibly contribute to containing climate change by developing CO₂ capture technologies and identifying the best solutions for its reuse. We are currently experimenting with calcium looping technology for capturing the carbon dioxide released by the production process at our plant in Vernasca, Piacenza. Thanks to the EU Horizon 2020 Cleanker project, it will be possible to assess the technical and economic sustainability of this technology and estimate the changes to the plant and the investments required to adopt this process in existing cement plants.”

Australia: RMIT University in Melbourne, Victoria, has developed a new method of carbon capture, called the bubble column method. The method uses liquid gallium at 100 – 120°C, through which flue gas is bubbled. This activates the CO₂, leading to oxidation of the metal. The captured carbon accumulates on the surface of the pool.

Gallium is a by-product of bauxite and zinc ores mining. The United States Geological Service (USGS) has estimated its global reserves in these ores alone as 1Mt.

Project co-lead Torben Daeneke said “Turning CO₂ into a solid avoids potential issues of leakage and locks it away securely and indefinitely. Because our process does not use very high temperatures, it would be feasible to power the reaction with renewable energy.” He added “Ideally the carbon we make could be turned into a value-added product, contributing to the circular economy and enabling the carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology to pay for itself over time.”

The Australian Government plans to invest US$719m in low emissions technologies by 2050 under its Net Zero Plan.

Kazakhstan: International Cement Group has resumed operations at its Almaty cement plant following its suspension of production due to political unrest.

The group said "To safeguard our employees and plant during the nationwide unrest, the company temporarily closed its cement plant located in the Almaty region of Kazakhstan." It added “As far as business is concerned, everything appears back to normal now, but last week we definitely did not know what was going to happen."