Displaying items by tag: China Resources Cement

Financial results for 2020 from the major Chinese cement companies are now out, making it time for a recap. Firstly, information from the China Cement Association (CCA) is worth looking at. The country had a cement production capacity of 1.83Bnt/yr in 2020. For an idea of the current pace of industry growth, 26 new integrated production lines were built in 2020 with a clinker production capacity of just under 40Mt/yr.

This is as one might expect from the world’s biggest cement market. However, the CCA also revealed that the country has over 3400 domestic cement companies, of which two thirds are independent cement grinding companies. Most of these were reportedly created during the late 2000s as dry kilns started to predominate. The CCA is concerned with the quality of the cement some of these companies produce and the lack of order in this part of the market such as regional imbalances. This suggests that the government’s attempts to consolidate the cement industry as a whole had led to the independent companies heading down the supply chain. It also raises the possibility that the government-led consolidation drive may move to grinding next. One news story to remember here is that in February 2021 the CCA called for its industry to respect competition laws following a government investigation. Later in the month it emerged that eight cement companies in Shandong Province had been fined US$35m for price fixing in a sophisticated cartel whereby the perpetrators went as far arranging a formal price management committee to regulate the market.

The CCA described 2020 as a year of sudden decline, rapid recovery and stability. Coronavirus hit cement output in the first quarter of 2020 leading to unprecedented monthly year-on-year declines before it bounced right back in a classic ‘V’ shaped recovery pattern. Despite the pandemic and bad weather later in the year, annual output rose by 2% year-on-year to 2.37Bnt in 2020 from 2.32Bnt in 2019. This has carried on into 2021 with a 61% increase in January and February 2021 to 241Mt from 150Mt in the same period in 2020. That’s not surprising given that China was suffering from the pandemic in these months in 2020 but the growth also suggests that the industry may have gone past stability and is growing beyond simply compensating for lost ground.

Graph 1: Year-on-year change in cement output in China, January 2010 - February 2021. Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China. Note that accumulated data is issued for January and February each year so these months show a mean figure.

Chart 2: Annual cement production growth by Province in 2020. Source: China Cement Association.

Chart 2 above shows cement production in 2020 from a provincial perspective. Note the sharp decline, more than 10% year-on-year, in Hubei Province (shown in dark green). Its capital Wuhan is where the first documented outbreak of coronavirus took place followed by a severe lockdown. Zooming further out, China’s clinker imports grew by 47% year-on-year to 33.4Mt in 2020. This is the third consecutive year of import growth, according to the CCA. The leading sources were Vietnam (59%), Indonesia (10%), Thailand (10%) and Japan (8%). China has become the main export destination for South East Asian cement producers and Chinese imports are expected to continue growing in 2021.

Graph 2: Revenue of large Chinese cement producers in 2020 and 2019. Source: Company reports.

Moving to the financial figures from the larger Chinese cement producers, CNBM and Anhui Conch remain the world’s two largest cement producing companies by revenue, beating multinational peers such as CRH, LafargeHolcim and HeidelbergCement. Anhui Conch appeared to be one of the winners in 2020 and Huaxin Cement appeared to be one of the losers. This is misleading from a cement perspective because Anhui Conch’s increased revenue actually arose from its businesses selling materials other than clinker and cement products. Its cement sales and cement trading revenue remained stable. On the other hand, Huaxin Cement was based, as it describes, in the epicentre of the epidemic and it then had to contend with flooding along the Yangtze River later in the year. Under these conditions, it is unsurprising that its revenue fell.

CNBM’s cement sales revenue fell by 3% year-on-year to US$19.5bn in 2020 with sales from its new materials and engineering compensating. Anhui Conch noted falling product prices in 2020 to varying degrees in most of the different regions of China except for the south. CNBM broadly agreed with this assessment in its financial results. Anhui Conch also reported that its export sales volumes and revenue fell by 51% and 45% year-on-year respectively due to the effects of coronavirus in overseas markets. The last point is interesting given that China increasingly appears in lists of major cement and clinker exporters to different countries. This seems to be more through the sheer size of the domestic sector rather than any concerted efforts at targeting exports.

One major story on CNBM over the last 15 months has been its drive to further consolidate its subsidiaries. In early March 2021 it said it was intending to increase its stake in Tianshan Cement to 88% from 46% and other related transactions. This followed the announcement of restructuring plans in mid-2020 whereby subsidiary Tianshan Cement would take control of China United Cement, North Cement, Sinoma Cement, South Cement, Southwest Cement and CNBM Investment. The move was expected to significantly increase operational efficiency of its constituent cement companies as they would be able to start acting in a more coordinated manner and address ‘fundamental’ issues with production overcapacity nationally.

In summary, the Chinese cement market appears to have more than compensated for the shocks it faced in 2020 with growth in January and February 2021 surpassing the depression in early 2020. Market consolidation is continuing, notably with CNBM’s efforts to better control the world’s largest cement producing company. Alongside this the CCA may be starting to suggest that rationalisation efforts previously focused on integrated plants should perhaps be now looking at the more independent grinding sector. The government continues to tighten regulations on new production capacity and is in the process of introducing new rules increasing the ratio of old lines that have to be shut down before new ones can be built. Finally, China introduced its interim national emissions trading scheme in February 2021, which has large implications for the cement sector in the future, even if the current price lags well behind Europe at present.

China: China Resources Cement’s turnover rose by 3% year-on-year to US$5.16bn in 2020 from US$5.02bn in 2019. Its profit attributable to shareholders was US$1.15bn, up by 4% year-on-year. Sales volumes of cement grew by 6% to 87.3Mt from 82.5Mt. Volumes increased in Guangdong, Guangxi, Yunnan and Guizhou but decreased in Fujian, Hainan and Shanxi.

In February 2020 the cement producer completed the construction of one 1.4Mt/yr clinker production line and two cement grinding lines with a combined cement production capacity of 2Mt/yr in Anshun City, Guizhou. Also in 2020 the group commissioned one new concrete batching plant and shut down two others.

During the reporting year the Group co-processed 183,100t of municipal solid waste, 52,800t of urban sludge with an 80% moisture content and 6100t of hazardous industrial waste. It operates seven co-processing projects with four more either under trial operation or under construction. It also said that it had been following policies for carbon emissions with trial activities conducted in preparation for a future unification of national carbon market. Eight company plants in Guangdong and five in Fujian were reported as having settled their carbon credit quota for 2019.

Other operations of note include the start of Phase 1 of the group’s intelligent manufacturing pilot project at a unit in Tianyang in conjunction with Siemens. The group has also commenced trial operation of its in-house developed intelligent manufacturing system at a cement plant in Pingnan, Guangxi. The project interacts with system quality management systems and advanced kiln controls. The next step will be to use the quality management system at cement plants in Shangsi and Guigang, Guangxi. A so-called ‘lighthouse plant’ is also planned to work with environment, health and safety, operation, production, equipment, quality, mines and logistics at a cement plant in Fengkai County, Guangdong. The group’s platform for sharing auxiliary materials and spare parts was launched in Fujian in April 2020 and has since been rolled out to sites in Guangdong, Guangxi and Hainan. Finally, the company’s ‘Smart Card’ logistics system has put into operation at cement plants in Fengkai, Huizhou, Luoding and Dongguan, Guangdong and has been operating at 25 cement production plants by the end of 2020.

China: China Resources Cement has appointed Li Fuli as the chairman of its board of directors and the chairman of its nomination committee. He suceeds Zhou Longshan and Ye Shukun respectively in the roles.

Li, aged 54 years, is currently the deputy general manager and chief accountant of China Resources Group. He joined the organisation in mid-2018. Prior to this he worked for China Minmetals Corporation, a Beijing-based metals and mineral trading company, from 1991 to 2018. He holds degrees in economics and business administration.

China: China Resources Cement’s nine-month profit for the period that ended on 30 September 2020 was US$954m, up by 28% from US$747m in the corresponding period of 2019. Reuters has reported that the company’s turnover was US$3.51bn, up by 1.7% from US$3.45bn.

China: China Resources Cement (CRC)’s first-half net profit increased by 11% year-on-year to US$541m in 2020 from US$481m in 2019. This was in spite of a 3% fall in revenues to US$2.18bn from US$2.25m. CRC said, “The gradual stabilisation of infrastructure construction and the real-estate market - as well as the steady progress of urbanisation and rural construction - will be conducive to the stable development of the cement industry."

China: China Resources Cement (CRC)’s profit in the first three months of 2020 was US$144m, down by 25% year-on-year from US$192m in the corresponding period of 2019. Sales were US$722m, down by 26% from US$969m. CRC sold 11.2Mt of cement over the period, down by 27% from 15.2Mt, although prices hadincreased. Cement sales constituted 82% of total revenue at US$589m, down by 22% from US$752m.

As most of the larger cement producers have released their financial results for the third quarter of 2019 it’s time to see how they are doing so far this year.

Graph 1: Revenue from major cement producers, Q1 - 3 2019. Source: Company reports.

Graph 2: Cement sales volumes by major cement producers, Q1 - 3 2019. Source: Company reports.

LafargeHolcim is looking good, with rises in both its net sales and earnings on a like-for-like basis. The sale of its assets in South-East Asia earlier in the year and in 2018 may have appeared to reduce its figures, but the like-for-like growth suggests that the strategy its working. This has been driven by markets in Europe and North America as its other big market, Asia, has continued to slide. The latter vindicates the group’s decision to partly leave the region, in the short term at least. It’s also interesting to note that at the macro-scale LafargeHolcim’s ready-mixed concrete (RMX) sales fell by 1.3% on a like-for-like basis to 7.4Mm³ in the first nine months of 2019. What does this mean for a building materials company that has been moving towards the whole supply chain and concrete?

Anhui Conch Cement reported cement and clinker sales volumes of 202Mt in the first half of 2019, a 42% year-on-year growth for the same period in 2018. Its revenue increased by 42% year-on-year to US$15.9bn in the first nine months of 2019 from US$11.1bn in the same period in 2018, putting it ahead of Germany’s HeidelbergCement in sales terms. The group was coy on how it actually managed to boost its sales so fast in a country where cement sales only rose by 5% in the first half of the year. Yet, it did admit to slowing sales growth in West China in the first half. A 5% fall in fuel and power costs no doubt helped its profit margins also. Notably, its overseas sales nearly doubled to US$143m in the first half of 2019 or 2% of its total revenue.

HeidelbergCement’s financials were solid, with growing revenue, earnings and profits. This was balanced by falling cement and clinker sales volumes. Cement sales fell in all group regions with the exception of North America. However, it was able to boast about ‘positive results in all group countries in the third quarter except for Egypt’s. Company head Bernd Scheifele summarised the sitaution by saying that, “price increases and strict cost discipline more than compensated for the slightly weaker demand for our products in the third quarter.”

Of the building materials companies with larger revenues, Cemex has had a tougher time of it so far in 2019 with declining sales, cement volumes and earnings. In part this has been due to a poor market in Mexico, although chief executive officer (CEO) Fernando A Gonzalez said that the group believed that weak demand for their products was ‘bottoming out’ and that a new infrastructure program made them hopeful looking forward. The group’s Middle East and Africa region also caused concern with a 3% drop in sales volumes in the Philippines, one of its key South-East Asian territories.

Things to note from the smaller producers featured here are as follows. India’s UltraTech Cement says it is the world’s third largest cement producer outside of China. With an installed production capacity of over 100Mt/yr in India this may well be the case. The vast majority of this is based at home in India. Alongside this, its financial figures seem buoyant as it continues to integrate new acquisitions such as Century Textiles and Industries into the business. By contrast Africa’s Dangote Cement has endured mixed fortunes so far 2019 with a modest rise in cement sales volumes and small drop in revenue and a larger decline in earnings in both Nigeria and operations elsewhere in Sub-Saharan Africa. At home this has been attributed to a subdued economy and elsewhere it has pointed to poor markets in South Africa, Zambia and Ethiopia. On the positive side though promotional marketing activity at home in Nigeria helped support an improved third quarter.

Summarising all of this is difficult given the very different nature of these large companies. Generally most of these companies are growing. One takeaway to consider is the emergence of two types of cement producer models at the top end: multinationals and large-local players. In recent years the rise of the large-local player has been a story mirroring the economic prominence of China and India. One can also see it in places like Indonesia and Brazil. The worry is that these kinds of companies are more exposed to regional economic risks than multinational ones. Yet in 2019 some multinational cement producers are also having problems. Whatever else happens, if fears of a new global recession come true, then these larger scale producer models will be tested, possibly to breaking point. 

China: Huang Ting has ceased to be the chief financial officer (CFO) of China Resources Cement. He will remain as the company’s vice president and has been reassigned as chief procurement officer.

Duan Wanli, the general manager of finance department of the company will take on the duties of the CFO role on a temporary basis. She joined the finance department of the China Resources Cement in 2014. She holds a Master’s degree in accounting from the Macquarie University in Australia and is a member of CPA Australia.

China: China Resources Cement’s turnover fell by 6.7% year-on-year to US$957m in the first quarter of 2019 from US$1.03bn in the same quarter of 2018. Its profit fell by 16% to US$189m from US$226m. Its cement sales volumes dropped by 7.7% to 15.2Mt from 16.5Mt, clinker sales fell by 2% to 1.16Mt from 1.18Mt and concrete volumes declined by 15% to 2.58Mm³ from 3.03Mm³. Sales volumes fell in the company’s main markets in Guangdong and Guangxi.

Cement price rises by the major Chinese cement producers boosted sales revenue and profits in 2018. This is quite a trick, given that overall cement sales in the country have fallen by 11% year-on-year to 2.17Bnt in 2018 from a high of 2.45Bnt in 2014.

Graph 1: Cement sales in China, 2009 – 2018. Source: National Bureau of Statistics China.

On the corporate side most of the major Chinese producers issued positive profit alerts towards the end of 2018 and this has been followed up by (mostly) glowing financial reports. Data from the National Development and Reform Commission in February 2019 showed that the profits of local cement companies more than doubled to US$64bn in 2018 compared to 2017. As mentioned above, this has been fueled by price rises. In December 2018 the average price of cement was 10.6% higher than in December 2017.

This has translated into a 19% year-on-year rise in sales revenue at China National Building Material Company (CNBM) to US$32.6bn in 2018 from US$27.4bn in 2017 and its profit grew by 44% to US$2.09bn from US$1.46bn. Anhui Conch’s performance was even better. Its revenue grew by 70.5% to US$19.1bn from US$11.2bn. However, differences emerge between the two companies in terms of cement sales volumes. CNBM’s sales volumes fell by 2.4% to 323Mt. However, Anhui Conch’s sales volumes increased by 25% to 368Mt. This may not be in line with the government’s plans to scale down production but it does fit the industry consolidation model, as the company acquired Guangdong Qingyuan Cement in 2018. The results from other producers such as China Shanshui Cement, West China Cement, Tianrui Cement and China Resources Cement all tell similar tales.

If the figures from the National Bureau of Statistics China (NBS) above are accurate then this is a drop of over 300Mt of cement sales over four years. This is more than the cement sales of every other country except India. Indeed, it’s more cement than some continents make! It marks the deceleration of the Chinese industry since 2014 and represents a major achievement. However, whether it is enough remains to be seen. After all, sales of over 1500kg/capita are still way above the consumption curve for developed Western-style economies. Yet, imports of cement to China from Vietnam rose in 2018, suggesting that the price rises are being driven by shortages of cement!

China is undoubtedly an exceptional case, as its economic star has blossomed in the last few decades and it has literally built itself into history. Yet one might expect its consumption to be around 1Bnt/yr, a per-capita level more similar to Spain and Italy prior to the financial crash. In other words, even if the recently observed 5% year-on-year contraction is maintained, the Chinese industry would only reach this (still very high) level by the mid 2030s. However, continued national development, mega-infrastructure projects, a shift to more exports and China’s unique market could hold the consumption per capita figure higher.

Meanwhile, Chinese producers are commissioning more and more projects outside of China. Notably, CNBM saw its cement sales everywhere except for the Middle East and China. Success abroad is not guaranteed. The story in the years to come will be the balance between projects at home and those abroad.