Displaying items by tag: GCW312

Last week we looked at the prospect of two new Angolan cement plants, a situation that will reportedly lead the country to being ‘self sufficient in cement.’ When we hear this phrase, very often from relatively small markets in Africa or Asia, the obvious next step invariably follows: The country in question will become a regional powerhouse for cement exports.

But try telling that to the desperate Vietnamese cement producers, swamped by chronic overcapacity and very low prices, both at home and abroad. In an effort to shift more of Vietnam’s cement mountain, this week the Ministry of Planning and Investment (MPI) proposed big changes to its handling of cement exports. At the moment cement is subject to a 5% export tax and does not receive VAT refunds. This means that Vietnamese cement has become less competitive than Chinese, Thai, Indonesian and Japanese cement on the regional market, compounding the oversupply situation at home.

The MPI now proposes to scrap the tax and allow for VAT refunds to avoid a colossal 36-47Mt oversupply of cement by 2020. It is quite staggering that this response hasn’t been considered before. This is especially the case, given that the VICEM’s General Director Tran Viet Thang asked for the government to look at the rules back in February 2017. Indeed the Vietnam Cement Association predicted an oversupply of nearly 50Mt/yr by 2020 in January 2017.

Vietnam exported 14.7Mt of cement and clinker in 2016 according to its domestic statistics service. The country was the seventh largest exporter of cement and clinker in 2016 in value terms, with a total value of US$431.7m. China, as one might suspect, topped the list, but only at US$683.6m, around 58% more than Vietnam. Given that China’s cement capacity is around 20 times that of Vietnam, this highlights the extent to which Vietnam is trying to rely on imports.

A market-led response to this would be to close some of the cement plants down and stop commissioning any new ones. China has made some inroads into this approach and Vietnam is following suit… to some extent. That said, however, Trinh Dinh Dung, the Deputy Prime Minster, inaugurated the second production line at the Thanh Thang Cement plant on 4 July 2017 and Long Son Cement will open its second production line at Long Son in late August 2017. That new line will add nearly another 3Mt/yr of capacity to the national total just by itself. On top of this, Thai-owned Siam City Cement Vietnam opened a new ‘terminal’ in Vietnam in late June. Thailand ranked above Vietnam in the cement and clinker export list for 2016 at US$612.2m, suggesting that, contrary to the obvious implication, the port could even be used to ship out Thai exports into Vietnam!

This is not the first time we have heard about Vietnam’s massive cement surplus but it is the first time that the government appears to have registered it as needing attention. A market-led economy would simply shut the plants down but Vietnam plays by different rules. Will changing the rules on tax help it sell out its surplus? Call us in 2020…

India: The Cement Manufacturers' Association (CMA) has elected Mahendra Singhi, the group chief executive officer (CEO) and director of Dalmia Cement (Bharat), as its new vice president. Singhi has previously served as president of the Rajasthan Manufacturers Association. He is a science and law graduate by training and also a chartered accountant.

Spain: Sergio Martínez Hernández has been appointed as the new director of LafargeHolcim’s Carboneras cement plant in Almería. Martínez Hernández holds over 24 years of experience in the cement industry, according to Teleprensa. He joined Holcim in 1993 after training as an engineer at the Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingenieros Industriales (ETSII) in Madrid. During his career he has worked at plants in Gádor in Almería, Yepes in Toledo and Portland in Colorado, USA.

India: Shri C Madhusudana Rao has resigned as a director and a committee member of Kakatiya Cement Sugar & Industries on personal grounds. His departure took effect on 24 July 2017.

South Africa: PPC has announced that its CEO Darryll Castle will be stepping down to pursue other interests. In a statement PPC said that Castle will remain ‘available’ to the group for six months to ensure a smooth handover. Johan Claassen, the current managing director of PPC, has been appointed as the interim CEO.

PPC reported a 93% fall in full-year earnings in June 2017 due to a liquidity crisis precipitated by the cut in its credit rating to junk status.

Meanwhile, the resignation of Tito Mboweni, one of PPC’s independent non-executive directors has fuelled speculation in the South African press about the ongoing merger discussions between PPC and Afrisam. Some believe that there may be ‘irreconcilable disagreement’ between Mboweni and the wider board about the strategic direction of PPC with respect to Afrisam.