Displaying items by tag: GCW455

Many of the first quarter financial results are in from the multinational cement producers and a few points are worth discussing. As usual a few caveats are worth mentioning such as seasonal and geographical variations between companies, such as producers in the northern hemisphere experiencing a generally slower period. It’s also worth noting that this is a selective look at some of the larger cement producers as not all of them release detailed figures at this stage and others have been delayed. However, the economic effects of the coronavirus lockdowns are clearly showing an effect in a kind of wave as the pandemic has spread.

Graph 1: Sales revenues in the first quarter of 2020 from selected cement producers. Source: Company financial reports.

Graph 1 above shows the effects of the earlier lockdown in China upon the results of the Chinese producers like CNBM, Anhui Conch and China Resources Cement (CRC). What’s interesting with these companies is that they have all suffered revenue hits of 20 – 25%. Huaxin Cement, a producer based in Hubei province near Wuhan where the Chinese lockdown was strictest, is not shown in Graph 1 but its revenue fell by 35% in the first quarter. See GCW452 for more on coronavirus effects on the Chinese cement industry.

Looking more widely, both LafargeHolcim and HeidelbergCement suffered declines of around 10%. This is somewhat misleading as both companies are constantly selling assets making the like-for-like results not quite as bad, particularly in the case of LafargeHolcim with its South-East Asian divestments. Although note this week that LafargeHolcim’s deal to sell its majority stake in Holcim Philippines lapsed this week due to the local competition regulator not granting permission in time. Yet, they are also beneficiaries and victims to an extent of their wide geographical spread with worse performance in Asia and better results in North America. For a fuller look at LafargeHolcim’s first quarter results see last week’s column. The rest of the producers featured generally reflect their tighter market spread with Buzzi Unicem particularly benefiting from the relatively untouched market in the US. Shree Cement, an Indian producer, escaped relatively unscathed, possibly as the Indian lockdown only started in late March 2020. All eyes will be on the results of UltraTech Cement, the largest producer in India, when they finally emerge.

Graph 2: Cement sales volumes in the first quarter of 2020 from selected cement producers. Source: Company financial reports.

Cement sales volumes tell a similar story, although a few different companies are featured in Graph 2. Note CRC’s year-on-year fall of 26% to 11.2Mt in the first quarter. It’s the only larger Chinese cement producer that we’ve found so far that has released sales volumes. Semen Indonesia is interesting too because its figures jumped in January 2020 as its acquisition of Holcim Indonesia only went on the books in February 2019. It’s February and March sales volumes have each been 4 - 5% down year-on-year but it’s far from clear whether this is due to general production overcapacity in the country or from the global health crisis. Despite this, its export volumes from both the mainland and its TLCC subsidiary in Vietnam have held up well. Unfortunately though, its performance in Vietnam may be an outlier if data from the General Department of Vietnam Customs is to be believed this week. It indicated that overall cement exports from the country fell by 9.7% year-on-year to 7.73Mt in the first quarter of 2020. Cementos Argos is also worth looking at as it suffered from the government lockdown in Colombia despite having an international presence in the Caribbean and the US.

Most of the world’s largest cement producers are preparing for the economic shockwaves from lockdowns to hit balance sheets in the second quarter of 2020. Many have said exactly this and have paraded their liquidity levels in preparation. Alongside this the results of the Chinese producers in the next quarter may offer some light on what kind of recovery is possible from easing lockdown measures. Yet the risk of second waves of infections from coronavirus potentially jeopardises any kind of fast or easy recovery without a vaccine. Today’s news that Cemex is considering mothballing its integrated plant at South Ferriby in the UK has been blamed on an analysis of the company’s European cement supply chain. The company says it is not related to coronoavirus but it does suggest the company is making savings.

This week has seen international press coverage return to Wuhan, China and South Korea where small numbers of infections have started to build despite being thought mostly eradicated. No one wants the so-called ‘W’ economic recovery with its rollercoaster ride of crests and dips or indeed the ‘L’ with its slow tail of recovery. Yet, for better or for worse, some form of normality has to return after the lockdowns end. The UK, for example, the country with the worst death rate from coronanvirus in Europe, has allowed its construction workers to pick up tools this week. If and when they can do so in the UK and everywhere else without causing the basic reproduction number (R₀) to rise then the future starts to look a little brighter.

Nigeria: Lafarge Africa has appointed Adebode Adefioye as its new chairman with effect from 4 June 2020. He succeeds Mobolaji Balogun, who has decided to retire from the role.

Adefioye, a non-executive director of the company, is the chairman of the board finance and strategy committee, chairman of the board property optimisation committee and a member of the nominations, governance and remuneration committee. He has also served on the statutory audit committee and the risk management and ethics committee.

Adefioye holds over 32 years experience in different industries and is a graduate of the University of Lagos with Masters of Science degree. He is a member of the Institute of Directors and the Institute of Public Analysts of Nigeria. He was appointed to the board of directors in late 2012 and currently sits on the boards of Wema Bank and Eterna. He also resides on the governing council of Bank Directors Association in Nigeria. Adefioye will step down from all board committees of Lafarge Africa on assumption of the role as chairman of the board.

Balogun has worked for Lafarge Africa for over 15 years, having joined the board in 2005. He served for the first 10 years as a non-executive director and was appointed chairman in mid-2015.

India: KCP has appointed Indira Dutt as its chairperson and managing director following approval by its shareholders. She succeeds V L Dutt, who died in February 2020, according to the Press Trust of India.

Indira Dutt holds a B.A. in economics from Madras University. She holds a number of directorships including Fives Cail - KCP Limited, Velagapudi Foundation, KCP Vietnam Industries Limited and V Ramakrishna Sons Private Limited. She was also the chairperson (CSR) member of finance committee and risk management committees of KCP. She is the president of the World Telugu Federation and Chairperson of Andhra Chamber of Commerce.

KCP is a conglomerate with businesses in the cement, heavy engineering, sugar and power industries. It operates two integrated cement plants in Andhra Pradesh.

UK: Cemex has announced the proposed mothballing of the 0.8Mt/yr South Ferriby integrated plant in Lincolnshire. It says that the move would lead to the redundancy of all staff employed at the plant except cement delivery drivers in the third quarter of 2020. A review of the optimal haulage provision will follow. Cemex says that the proposal is the outcome of ‘an analysis of the company’s European cement supply chain.’ Its final decision will follow ‘a process of collective consultation with affected employees.’ It says that the decision was unaffected by the coronavirus outbreak.

The group said that, “Cemex remains committed to the UK and its European business.” It added that the mothballing of the South Ferriby plant will ‘optimise the network it has available across the region.’ Cemex will continue to supply customers from its existing cement network, maintaining customer service and ‘high-quality products in line with customer expectations.’ Its strategic growth will focus on ‘larger metropolitan markets where demand and profitability will be strongest.’

India: Construction work has yet to return to normality following the easing of the coronavirus lockdown in Uttar Pradesh as cement and other materials have not reached building sites. The Hindustan Times has reported that restrictions to the movement of goods across state and district borders have caused extensive disruption of supply chains. The website for travel permits needed by workers who do not live at the site at which they are employed has reportedly crashed multiple times due to oversubscription, leading to some staffing issues. Confederation of Real Estate Developers Association of India (CREDAI) deputy chair Uttar Pradesh West Amit Modi said, “We can only resume work once these things get back to normal."

Uzbekistan: South Korea-based Hwachon Plant Construction Company has shared plans for an integrated cement plant in Karauzyak, Karakalpakstan Autonomous Republic. Uzbekistan Daily News has reported the value of investment in the project as US$380m. Hwachon Plant Construction Company chair Sin Cheol Sik met with Uzbekistan Council of Ministers deputy chair Bakhitzhan Habibullayev via videoconference to discuss funding for the project, which will commence at the earliest possible date.

Sik said that he was hopeful of, “a speedy resolution to the coronavirus pandemic and resumption of regular flights between Uzbekistan and South Korea, whereupon Hwachon Plant Construction Company will start work. Both parties agreed that until that time planning will continue via videoconference.”

Argentina: The Portland Cement Manufacturers Association (AFCP) has reported that cement dispatches in the period between 1 January 2020 and 30 April 2020 were 2.3Mt, down by 36% year-on-year from 3.6Mt in the corresponding period of 2019. Between March and April dispatches fell by 20% to 408,000t, down by 55% year-on-year from 907,000t in April 2019. The El Economista newspaper has reported that the decline ‘reflects the worsening of the fall in the private and public demand for housing, road, public works and infrastructure in all the districts of the country.’

Belgium: Cembureau, the European Cement Association, has published its new Carbon Neutrality Roadmap, setting out its ambition to reach net zero emissions along the cement and concrete value chain by 2050. The roadmap examines how CO₂ emissions can be reduced at each stage of the value chain – clinker, cement, concrete, construction and (re)carbonation – to achieve zero net emissions by 2050. It quantifies the role of each technology in providing CO₂ emissions savings, making concrete political and technical recommendations to support this objective.

“As Europe begins its green recovery, the significance of this moment for our sector is huge. This is our response to the EU Green Deal – we have a plan and are ready to make the leap.” said Raoul de Parisot, president of Cembureau. The association has identified areas where it says it requires decisive political action from the European Union (EU). These include: the development of a pan-European CO₂ transportation and storage network; action on circular economy to support the use of non-recyclable waste and biomass waste in cement production; policies to reduce European building’s CO₂ footprint, based on a life-cycle approach, that incentivise the market uptake of low-carbon cements; a ‘level’ playing field on carbon, regulatory certainty and an industrial transformation agenda.

Cembureau says it aspires to be in line with the Paris Agreement’s two degrees scenario, reducing CO₂ emissions by 30% for cement and 40% down the value chain. Its chief executive Koen Coppenholle added that, “Carbon neutrality along our full value-chain will be a massive effort, but we are confident we can achieve it. Our sector has made significant progress and, with the right tools and support from the EU, we can go much further.”

Russia: SLK Cement has announced the production of AI-42.5B, a CEM-II limestone cement, at its Sukholozhskcement plant in Sverdlovsk Oblast. SLK Cement quality director Roman Stikharev said, “the decision to start mass production was made after successful laboratory and industrial tests, as well as receiving positive ratings from customers who participated in the tests.” The cement’s benefits are ‘high strength at an early age.’ SLK Cement’s next step will be ‘the improvement of cements with mineral additives.’

Spain: Cemex has supplied concrete made with barite (BaSO4)-containing cement for the construction of a bunker at the Carlos III Hospital in Madrid where radiological coronavirus treatments will be carried out. Alimarket Construction News has reported that the facility will have walls 2m thick. Cemex Spain Operations said, “Cemex is an expert company in the supply of special concretes for this type of hospital facilities. Proof of this is that it has already carried out more than a dozen actions of this type throughout the country.”