Displaying items by tag: Indonesia

Heidelberg Materials reversed the prevailing wisdom for western multinational cement companies this week when it said it was preparing to buy a cement plant in Indonesia. It announced on 17 October 2023 that its Indonesia-based subsidiary Indocement had signed a deal to acquire all the shares of Semen Grobogan’s integrated cement plant in Central Java for an undisclosed sum. This challenges the trend since the mid 2010s of the likes of Holcim and CRH selling up in the developing world and concentrating instead in markets in North America and Europe.

The decision to buy a cement plant in Indonesia raises eyebrows because the country can produce far more cement than it needs at present. Its cement capacity utilisation rate has been below 60% since 2020 and Central Java has the most plants out of all the nation’s regions. Indocement’s own investor relations presentation for the first half of 2023 laid out data from the Ministry of Industry and internal sources forecasting that the utilisation rate would only reach 57% in 2025. National production capacity meanwhile is around 117Mt/yr at present and expected to reach just below 120Mt/yr in 2025.

Before this latest agreement, Indocement operated four integrated plants in the country and it was the country’s second largest cement producer after Semen Indonesia. Heidelberg Materials bought the company in 2001 and currently owns a 55% share in it. Three of these plants it owns directly, with a capacity of around 25Mt/yr across 14 production lines. One of these is the 18Mt/yr Citeureup plant, one of the world’s largest cement plants. However, in 2022 the company leased the Maros integrated cement plant in South Sulawesi, the Banyuwangi grinding plant in East Java and several cement terminals owned by Bosowa Group, including terminals in Makassar, Barru and Garongkong, via production facility lease agreements. It said this was part of a plan to reduce logistics costs and target the east of the country better. The integrated plant has been leased for three years from March 2022 and the grinding plant and terminals for five years from September 2022.

Semen Grobogan’s plant started commercial production in 2022, has a cement production capacity of 2.5Mt/yr and limestone reserves of over 50 years. Germany-based Heidelberg Materials was keen to point out that the acquisition would reward it with “significant synergies with Indocement’s existing plants in Indonesia” such as in logistics, alternative fuels, and transfer of technical and sustainability knowledge.

It is worth noting financially that Indocement suffered a couple of bad years during the Covid-19 pandemic with revenue and profit down. However, the situation improved in 2022 with both net revenue and earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) for the year up by 11% year-on-year to US$1.04bn and 4% to US$220m respectively. Despite the company’s sales volumes falling by 2% to 17.6% and energy prices increasing it was able to raise its prices. The first half of 2023 has seen the improvements accelerate with more price rises, higher domestic sales volumes from the new leased operations and increased clinker exports to Bangladesh and Brunei.

The improving financial outlook for Indocement and the new condition of many of its clinker production lines may help to explain what is going on here. The Citeureup plant started up in late 2016 and, combined with the Semen Grobogan plant that started up in 2022, both plants cover three-quarters of the company’s production capacity. In a highly competitive market such as Java this may make a significant difference. Consider also the leased plant at Maros, in the less well-served Sulawesi region, and that focus on terminals elsewhere. Here one might be able to view another approach to coping with overcapacity, by targeting different markets either directly or via exports.

It won’t be clear how well Heidelberg Material’s strategy in Indonesia is working until like-for-like financial figures start to be released. The company itself has warned of various risks such as the country’s impending ban on overloaded trucks and the potential effects of a proposed carbon tax on electricity prices. Another thing to consider are last week’s rumours in the press about Heidelberg Materials selling up in India. If this did happen then the proceeds might well help advance the company’s plans in Indonesia. All of this goes to show that one doesn’t always have to copy one’s corporate peers. The retreat by the western multinationals to safer havens has slowed… for now at least.

Indonesia: Heidelberg Materials subsidiary Indocement has bought the 1.8Mt/yr integrated Grobogan cement plant in Central Java from Semen Grobogan. The plant commands sufficient limestone reserves for the next 50 years and has 700,000t/yr of additional cement grinding capacity.

Heidelberg Materials chair Dominik von Achten said “As part of our ongoing portfolio optimisation, we are making an exciting step in the growth market of Indonesia. Heidelberg Materials has been active in Indonesia for more than 20 years. With this investment, we are now strengthening our presence in one of the most populated regions in Indonesia, where we expect further market growth driven by the growing retail market, developing industrial areas and major infrastructure projects. As frontrunners of decarbonisation in emerging markets, we continue to drive our ambitious CO₂ reduction targets at all our sites in Indonesia, including the new cement plant.”

Indonesia: Hongshi Indonesia Tonga Cement has commissioned the first phase of its new cement plant in East Kutai, East Kalimantan. At this phase of its development, the plant has a capacity of 4Mt/yr. It holds 1Bnt of limestone reserves and is equipped with a 50,000t marine terminal. The plant is situated over 250km away from the site of Indonesia’s upcoming new capital city, Nusantara, also in East Kalimantan. Hongshi Indonesia Tonga Cement plans to subsequently raise the plant’s capacity to 8Mt/yr.

Indonesia: The UK-based World Cement Association (WCA) has announced the inclusion of the Indonesian Cement and Concrete Institute (ISBI) as an affiliate member. The ISBI has over 20 years’ experience in providing engineering training and consulting services to the cement sector and related industries in Indonesia.

WCA chief executive officer Ian Riley said "The WCA is further expanding its involvement with industry players operating in emerging economies, particularly in Indonesia which is one of the world’s largest cement markets.”

Indonesia: Sweden-based Bruks Siwertell has received an order for two 10 000 S road-mobile ship unloaders for use in cement handling in Sumatra. The new road-mobile units are scheduled for delivery later in 2023 and will support a cement handling capacity of 300t/hr, discharging vessels up to 10,000dwt. Jörgen Ojeda, Bruks Siwertell’s Sales Director Mobile Unloaders, said that the two road-mobile models would add to a range of Siwertell screw-type dry bulk handling systems already delivered to the region including four large-scale Siwertell ship unloaders and one ship loader.

Indonesia: The government’s Directorate General of Chemical, Pharmaceutical and Textile Industries has written to industry associations, directing them to ensure that comprehensive emissions monitoring is carried out at all of their members’ plants. The Antara news agency has reported that the city of Jakarta is experiencing pollution levels at over eight times World Health Organisation (WHO) guideline levels. The Ministry of Environment and Forestry collected data from cement plants belonging to Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa, Jui Shin Indonesia and Solusi Bangun Indonesia, and found that they had not exceeded emissions thresholds.

Indonesia’s cement industry is primarily reliant on coal. The country is committed to a transition to 67% renewable energy by 2050. It is in the process of a 35GW national power capacity expansion, of which 20GW (57%) consists of coal-fired power plants.

The release of the half-year financial results from many of the larger multinational cement producers in Europe and North America gives us the usual opportunity to examine how well the year has gone so far. In summary, each of the companies highlighted here increased its sales and earnings on a like-for-like basis. However, in many cases, but not all, sales volumes of cement fell. Notably, both Holcim and Heidelberg Materials did not appear to release these figures. Heidelberg Materials did say though that its sales volumes declined in all business lines as “a result of the global economic down-turn.” In Holcim’s case, on top of whatever else has been going on over the last six months, the group has continued to divest cement assets as it realigns its portfolio. One more interesting point to note is that, instead, Holcim and Heidelberg Materials highlighted their reductions in CO₂ emissions at the start of their half-year reports.

Graph 1: Sales revenue for selected multinational cement producers in the first half of 2023. Source: Company financial reports.

Holcim continued to expand its light building materials business segment in North America as well as picking up some aggregate and ready-mix concrete assets in North America and Europe. Its sales grew fastest in North America, although Europe generated more sales overall. Elsewhere the other geographic business areas all held up. The group’s Solutions & Products division, the one responsible for the light building materials, lost sales and earnings year-on-year. This was blamed on the “normalisation of buying patterns” in the roofing market in North America in late 2022 and carrying into 2023, leading to destocking in various distribution channels. How this might effect the group’s ongoing diversification strategy remains to be seen.

Heidelberg Materials was more upfront about the specifics of its cement business in the first half of 2023. Sales volumes fell in all business lines. For cement, the largest falls were reported in the Western and Southern Europe Group area due to a ‘significant’ decline in residential construction followed by the Africa-Eastern Mediterranean Basin area although a slight increase was recorded in deliveries in Asia-Pacific. That last region benefited from the local subsidiary increasing its cement and clinker deliveries in Indonesia. This was reportedly due to the company leasing the Maros cement plant in September 2022. The plant serves markets in the east of the country. Overall, despite the falls in revenue in many regions, the group pushed up its prices sufficiently to keep net sales revenue and earnings growing well.

Cemex, meanwhile, was keen to shout about its improved earnings in all of its regions. It attributed this to its price strategy, lowering input cost inflation and the growing effects of its investments portfolio and its Urbanisation Solutions business. Each of the group’s main regions – Mexico, the US and Europe – performed well, with Mexico growing sales the fastest, the US driving up earnings the most and Europe, Middle East, Africa and Asia holding growth steady despite demand issues. Pricing was cited as a main issue for the success of each region.

Vicat’s sales and earnings rose due to increased sales volumes of cement and higher prices. At home in France, the company successfully fought off falling cement sales volumes with price rises, particularly due to energy price inflation. North America, the group’s other big market, grew strongly, boosted by the ramp-up of production and sales from the new kiln at the Ragland plant in Alabama. Finally, Titan experienced a similar situation to the other companies featured here, with increasing demand driving sales and further helped by prices. Earnings then grew in turn. Unlike the other companies, the US contributed a much larger share of sales for Titan than Europe or elsewhere. Back home in Greece the company’s sales and earnings benefited from increased sales volumes across all business lines. Both Vicat and Titan had mixed experiences in Egypt and Türkiye, with negative currency exchange effects causing problems in both countries, despite demand mounting in the latter.

On the basis of these financial results, it has been a positive first half for the larger cement companies based in Europe and North America. Cement sales volume growth has been mixed, where known, but price rises have compensated for this, leading to higher earnings. Whether these companies can continue to pull off this trick as or if global inflation starts to slow down is very much an ongoing question. As mentioned at the start, some of the companies also led their half-year reports with emission figures and many of them prominently highlighted forthcoming sustainability projects. These companies may be making most of their money in Europe and North America but there is clearly an awareness that these regions are also leading globally in implementing CO₂ emission legislation.

The government in Indonesia made building new cement capacity harder this week. The new rules are intended to strengthen the local sector in the face of a utilisation rate of only 53%. A moratorium policy and/or new investment arrangements have been placed on new cement plant projects. Instead, companies have been asked to focus on the regions of Papua, West Papua, Maluku and North Maluku instead, where demand for cement is higher than what the local production base can produce. Ignatius Warsito, the Director General of the Chemical, Pharmaceutical and Textile Industry at the Ministry of Industry, said that the new rules would be reconsidered once the capacity utilisation rate reaches 85%.

Other measures the government is also looking at include increasing exports of cement, changing regulations related to the coal Public Service Agency (BLU) and improving overland transport. On that last point the authorities and the cement producers are looking at how logistics costs can avoid rising in the face of the impending Zero Over Dimension Over Load (ODOL) policy. Proposals the sector has submitted include implementing a multi-axle policy for trucks and improving the quality of certain roads to allow for higher capacity vehicles.

As one of the government’s focus areas - coal - suggests, fuel prices have been a headache for the cement sector in recent years. Warsito noted that international coal prices started to rise in late 2020. This was likely due to the logistical mess that the coronavirus pandemic caused to the global economy. Higher coal prices caused a “significant” effect on the cement industry through both higher production costs and restrictions on supplies. One irony to note here is that Indonesia is one of the world’s leading coal producers. Donny Arsal, the head of Semen Indonesia, told the government in 2022 that the war in Ukraine had enticed local coal companies to export more coal due to the rising international price. At this time he lobbied the administration to use its local domestic market obligation (DMO) subsidy to better serve the cement sector by giving it more coal at a fixed price.

Graph 1: Cement demand and capacity in Indonesia. Source: Semen Indonesia and Indonesia Cement Association.

Overcapacity has been a recurring feature of the Indonesian cement market since at least the 1990s as the demand and capacity have grown sometimes out of step. The capacity utilisation rate reached 90% in the early 1990s only to fall to 50% by the end of that decade due to the Asian financial crisis. More recently Holcim left the market in 2019 when it sold its business to the Semen Indonesia. The state-owned company consolidated more than half of the country’s cement production capacity at the time. According to its data for the first quarter of 2023 it has a 51% market share and a 46% production capacity share. It also said that 92% of local demand was catered for from four of the country’s 14 producers, namely: Semen Indonesia; Indocement; Conch; and Merah Putih.

A recent study by the Jakarta Post newspaper suggested that after a poor first half in 2023, cement demand was expected to rebound and create modest overall annual growth by the end of the year. The key reasons for this outlook are increased government infrastructure spending, ongoing work on the new capital city Nusantara and anticipated price stability. The new city project, for example, is expected to require 1.6Mt of cement in the 2022 - 2024 period. Risk factors, of course, abound such as a global economic slowdown, financial problems at some of the government-owned construction companies like Waskita Karya and new capacity. A new 8Mt/yr (!) plant owned by local company Kobexindo and China-based Honshi Cement, for instance, is scheduled to start operation in the second half of 2023 in East Kalimantan. Even though the government says that the new unit will export 90% of its production, it will place pressure on other existing sites hoping to increase exports.

The country’s largest cement producer being majority owned by the government is a pertinent feature here given that the same government has also effectively banned new capacity. Semen Indonesia’s earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) have fallen each year consecutively since 2020. As mentioned above overcapacity has long been present in the local sector and recent events have made it worse. Yet, the companies that are likely to benefit the most from a block on newer, competitive cement plants are likely to be the established players. That said, though, with the utilisation just above 50% and new projects like the Kobexindo-Honshi plant on the way, the government likely feels it has to take some form of action. Other tools at its disposal include a national carbon exchange set to launch in September 2023. Power companies will participate from the start with cement producers anticipated to follow at a later stage. Despite the uncertain short-to-medium term outlook the cement sector in Indonesia remains one of the largest in the world with plenty of business to be done. Denmark-based FLSmidth was clearly mindful of this when it opened a new office in Jakarta in April 2023.

Indonesia: The Indonesian cement industry produced 29.3Mt of cement during the first half of 2023. This corresponds to a utilisation rate of 51% across an installed national capacity of 116Mt/yr. Throughout 2022, the industry produced 64Mt of cement and recorded a utilisation rate of 55%. Local capacity utilisation levels in the first half of 2023 were as low as 45% in some regions. Only Bali-Nusa Tenggara Region and Maluku-Papua Region did not suffer from overcapacity. National demand was 28Mt in the first half of 2023 and 63Mt throughout 2022. Meanwhile, first-half exports rose by 12% year-on-year in opening six months of 2023.

Indonesia Government News has reported that the Ministry of Industry has instigated a moratorium on investments in the construction of new cement capacity. Director general Ignatius Warsito said "These efforts can provide legal certainty for cement industry players in the country, as well as support competitiveness." Warsito noted the health of Indonesia's existing export markets for cement, but noted the uncertainty of the industry's coal supply and its price. Coal currently accounts for 40% of Indonesian cement's fuel consumption by value.

Indonesia: Semen Tonasa has appointed Asruddin Leo as its president director following a shareholders meeting. He succeeds Mufti Arimurti in the post, who resigned in May 2023, according to Rakyat Sulsel.

Asruddin has worked for Semen Indonesia and its subsidiaries, including Semen Tonasa, since 2011. He previously worked in finance roles at Semen Tonasa, before becoming the Head of Finance and then the chief executive officer at Thang Long Cement in Vietnam. He has also worked as the vice president for Financial Policy and Excellence at Semen Indonesia. He holds an undergraduate degree in accounting and a master’s degree in strategic management from the Hasanuddin University in Makassar, South Sulawesi.