Displaying items by tag: data

Saudi Arabia: Cement sales fell by 11% year-on-year to 11.8Mt in the first quarter of 2018 due to a continued slowdown in the construction industry. Weak demand and high inventory levels has forced cement producers to sell their cement in other parts of the country and export to other countries, according to a report by Al Rajhi Capital. The report cited Yanbu Cement's export agreement although it said that its low production costs gives the company the advantage to export at lower prices than its competitors.

Increased competition within Saudi Arabia has led to a price war. The report marked the central region as an attractive region for northern region cement companies due to the relatively bigger market. The sales market share for northern cement companies increased in the last six months. On the other hand, central region companies' market share decreased slightly during the same period.

Yanbu Cement signed a one-year agreement to export 1Mt of clinker and 0.5Mt of cement from April 2018. It is estimated that the deal with Yanbu Cement US$26.6m in extra sales revenue in 2018. Al Rajhi Capital reckoned that the cement producer would be likely to renew the export deal in 2019 as its low margins are unlikely to aid earnings.

Poland: Cement sales rose by 7% year-on-year to around 18Mt in 2017, according to the Polish Cement Association. The country has a cement production capacity of 24Mt/yr and the capacity utilisation rate is approximately 75%. The Institute of Economic Forecasting and Analysis forecasts that sales will grow by 8% in 2018 to 17.9Mt.

Dominican Republic: Cement sales fell slightly by 1.5% year-on-year to 4.18Mt in 2017 from 4.24Mt in 2018. Adocem, the Dominican Portland Cement Producers Association, blamed the slowdown on a slowdown of the general economy. It also reported that exports grew in 2017 to 20.1% of production from 17.3% in 2016.

Morocco: Cement consumption fell by 6.91% to 3.31Mt in the first three months of 2018 from 3.55Mt in the same period of 2017. Consumption decreased particularly in the Dakhla - Oued Ed-Dahab, Fès - Meknès and Béni Mellal - Khénifra regions according to Ministry of Housing data. It also dropped sharply in March 2018 by 15.1% to 1.24Mt.

Argentina: Cement despatches grew by 13% year-on-year to 3.08Mt in the first three months of 2018 from 2.72Mt in the same period in 2016. The Asociación de Fabricantes de Cemento Portland (AFCP) forecasts that despatches will rise by 6% to 12.9Mt in 2018.

Pakistan: The All Pakistan Cement Manufacturers Association (APCMA) says that the capacity utilisation of the local cement industry reached 94% in the nine months of the local financial year to March 2018. Demand for cement has been bolstered by local demand and growing exports so far in 2018, according to the Business Recorder newspaper. Cement despatches grew by 14.7% year-on-year to 34.8Mt in the first nine months of the 2017 – 2018 year from 30.3Mt in the same period in the previous period. Despatches grew faster in the north of the country than the south.

Turkey: Data from the Turkish Cement Manufacturers’ Association (TCMA) shows that clinker exports rose by 32.4% year-on-year to 4.93Mt in 2017 from 3.72Mt in 2016. Cement production rose by 6.8% to 80.6Mt from 75.4Mt. Production rose in all regions with the exception of the Aegean and Mediterranean.

The latest data from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) shows that cement shipments rose by 2.4% year-on-year to 95.5Mt in 2017. Readers with elephantine memories may remember that the Portland Cement Association (PCA) revised its forecast for 2017 down to 3.1% from 4.2% in a release made in late 2016. Shipments and consumption are different metrics but the PCA was heading in the right direction. Unfortunately, however ebullient the PCA’s chief economist Ed Sullivan was at the IEEE-PCA in 2017 about growth in the US in 2018 and 2019, the necessary rise required seems quite steep. President Donald Trump may have handed the major cement producers a tax break but until his infrastructure spending materializes the US construction industry is on its own.

Graph 1: Clinker production in the US, 2013 – 2017. Source: USGS.

Viewing the US as a whole is a little unfair given its wide regional variation. As can be seen in Graph 1 clinker production jumped up from 2013 to a high of 76.5Mt in 2015 before taking a dip in 2016 and then rising again to 76.9Mt in 2017. Cement shipments of Ordinary Portland and blended cement show a similar trend over the same timescale except without the decrease in 2016. Interestingly, imports of cement and clinker rose by 18% to 13.6Mt in that year. The major exporters to the US were Canada, Greece, China and Turkey, in that order.

Graph 2: Cement and clinker imported for consumption to the US in 2017 by country. Source: USGS.

From a producer perspective LafargeHolcim described 2017 as a ‘disappointing’ year, with overall net sales down slightly on a like-for-like basis. The group remained optimistic for 2018 though, with its hopes pinned on rising employment and housing construction. HeidelbergCement rode high on its acquisition of Italcementi’s local subsidiary Essroc, which enabled it to grow its business in the northeast and midwest. Its cement sales volumes rose by 2.3% to 4.1Mt. CRH noted similar cement sales volume growth of 3% and attributed this to stronger demand. Its business also benefited from the acquisition of Suwannee American Cement with its 1Mt/yr cement plant in Florida. Further growth to its production base is also expected soon as it completes its acquisition of Ash Grove Cement.

By contrast Buzzi Unicem reported a tougher year with its net sales barely increasing from 2016 to 2017. It blamed a tough first half of the year for this as well as weather-related issues due to Hurricane Harvey and then snow in December 2017. Cemex too reported harder conditions in the US, with cement sales volumes down by 6% for the year. Although on a like-for-like basis with plant sales excluded it reported this as a rise of 2%. Again, it blamed the weather but it did note an increase in residential housing construction as the year progressed.

In this kind of mixed environment for cement producers no wonder the PCA backed or, perhaps more accurately, reminded the President of his pledge to spend US$1.5tn to be invested in infrastructure. As per usual the PCA forecasts fair weather ahead for the US industry once the latest roadblock is overcome. At the last assessment it was inflationary pressure. As ever the government opening its cheque book to build things is exactly what the industry needs to build on its promise. Until then expect more of the same. One more thing to consider though is that the Trump administration is also trying to change the ratio of federal-to-state funding for cross-state infrastructure projects. If the states end up having to pay more money for these kinds of projects these may end up running out of funds, delaying or cancelling them. Counting on that infrastructure spend may be unwise until if or when the cement orders come piling in.

Vietnam: 7.62Mt of cement was sold in Vietnam in February 2018, a year-on-year rise of 38%, according to the Vietnam Building Material Association. Of the sum, 5.02Mt were sold domestically, an 11% rise from a year earlier. This included 1.96Mt sold by Vietnam Cement Industry Corporation (VICEM). 2.60Mt of cement were exported, a 30% rise year-on-year.

In January and February 2018, Vietnam sold 18.6Mt of cement, 85% more than in the first two months of 2017. It exported 5.5Mt in the same period, a 121% rise year-on-year. In just two months, the country has produced 22.9% of its whole year target as local demand continues to be outpaced by supply. The country faces a glut of 25 - 36Mt/yr of cement by 2020 if current production and consumption trends continue unabated.

Ukraine: Cement production fell by 4.8% in Ukraine in September 2017, with total production of 899,000t, according to the State Statistics Service. The figure was 10.7% lower than in August 2017. In the first nine months of 2017, production of cement rose by 1.5% to 7.24Mt year-on-year. The country’s total cement production is more than 20Mt/yr. This indicates a capacity utilisation rate of 48% for the first nine months.