Spend, spend, spend has been the advice for CRH this week. The suggestion by an industry analyst this week that Irish building material conglomerate CRH should go on a shopping spree seems almost perverse! Or at least like stockbrokers trying to drum up excitement.
Just as all of the big multinational cement producers are selling assets and tightening management structures to cope with the ongoing financial turmoil, CRH is the only player that hasn't ruled out acquisitions in 2012. The analyst from Dublin stockbroking firm Davy predicted that CRH could spend up to Euro3.5bn on acquisitions while remaining within its banking agreements; a more level-headed figure was given as Euro1.5bn.
CRH broke down its revenue in 2011 to 55% to the European divisions and 45% to the American ones, with European Distribution, Americas Materials and European Materials being its top three sections. European Materials, the worldwide division containing cement assets generated Euro2.99bn, 16.5% of total group revenue.
With 85% of CRH's European Materials division concentrated on Switzerland, Finland, Benelux, Eastern Europe, Turkey and Asia its exposure to the Eurozone economic slowdown has been reduced compared to the competition. Yet what to buy next is fraught with risk. If Greece exits the Euro for example, then there may be some bargains going, but how long it would take these assets to become profitable is a big unknown.
Similarly, the over-indebted Mediterranean countries present opportunities and challenges. CRH's decision to transfer its 49% holding in Portuguese cement joint venture Secil to Semapa in May 2012 may indicate CRH's intention to stay well away from the Eurozone until the dust settles. Given the amount of cash that CRH could potentially throw around however, it seems odd that the company didn't try to disrupt the ongoing Cimpor takeover by two Brazilian firms. If anything happened to the bid by Camargo Corrêa and Votorantim then CRH would be in a prime position to benefit should it wish.
Whatever CRH decides to do with its money, it's a good problem to have! Lafarge, Cemex, HeidelbergCement and Holcim must all wish they had the same dilemma.
