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The government in Indonesia made building new cement capacity harder this week. The new rules are intended to strengthen the local sector in the face of a utilisation rate of only 53%. A moratorium policy and/or new investment arrangements have been placed on new cement plant projects. Instead, companies have been asked to focus on the regions of Papua, West Papua, Maluku and North Maluku instead, where demand for cement is higher than what the local production base can produce. Ignatius Warsito, the Director General of the Chemical, Pharmaceutical and Textile Industry at the Ministry of Industry, said that the new rules would be reconsidered once the capacity utilisation rate reaches 85%.

Other measures the government is also looking at include increasing exports of cement, changing regulations related to the coal Public Service Agency (BLU) and improving overland transport. On that last point the authorities and the cement producers are looking at how logistics costs can avoid rising in the face of the impending Zero Over Dimension Over Load (ODOL) policy. Proposals the sector has submitted include implementing a multi-axle policy for trucks and improving the quality of certain roads to allow for higher capacity vehicles.

As one of the government’s focus areas - coal - suggests, fuel prices have been a headache for the cement sector in recent years. Warsito noted that international coal prices started to rise in late 2020. This was likely due to the logistical mess that the coronavirus pandemic caused to the global economy. Higher coal prices caused a “significant” effect on the cement industry through both higher production costs and restrictions on supplies. One irony to note here is that Indonesia is one of the world’s leading coal producers. Donny Arsal, the head of Semen Indonesia, told the government in 2022 that the war in Ukraine had enticed local coal companies to export more coal due to the rising international price. At this time he lobbied the administration to use its local domestic market obligation (DMO) subsidy to better serve the cement sector by giving it more coal at a fixed price.

Graph 1: Cement demand and capacity in Indonesia. Source: Semen Indonesia and Indonesia Cement Association.

Overcapacity has been a recurring feature of the Indonesian cement market since at least the 1990s as the demand and capacity have grown sometimes out of step. The capacity utilisation rate reached 90% in the early 1990s only to fall to 50% by the end of that decade due to the Asian financial crisis. More recently Holcim left the market in 2019 when it sold its business to the Semen Indonesia. The state-owned company consolidated more than half of the country’s cement production capacity at the time. According to its data for the first quarter of 2023 it has a 51% market share and a 46% production capacity share. It also said that 92% of local demand was catered for from four of the country’s 14 producers, namely: Semen Indonesia; Indocement; Conch; and Merah Putih.

A recent study by the Jakarta Post newspaper suggested that after a poor first half in 2023, cement demand was expected to rebound and create modest overall annual growth by the end of the year. The key reasons for this outlook are increased government infrastructure spending, ongoing work on the new capital city Nusantara and anticipated price stability. The new city project, for example, is expected to require 1.6Mt of cement in the 2022 - 2024 period. Risk factors, of course, abound such as a global economic slowdown, financial problems at some of the government-owned construction companies like Waskita Karya and new capacity. A new 8Mt/yr (!) plant owned by local company Kobexindo and China-based Honshi Cement, for instance, is scheduled to start operation in the second half of 2023 in East Kalimantan. Even though the government says that the new unit will export 90% of its production, it will place pressure on other existing sites hoping to increase exports.

The country’s largest cement producer being majority owned by the government is a pertinent feature here given that the same government has also effectively banned new capacity. Semen Indonesia’s earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) have fallen each year consecutively since 2020. As mentioned above overcapacity has long been present in the local sector and recent events have made it worse. Yet, the companies that are likely to benefit the most from a block on newer, competitive cement plants are likely to be the established players. That said, though, with the utilisation just above 50% and new projects like the Kobexindo-Honshi plant on the way, the government likely feels it has to take some form of action. Other tools at its disposal include a national carbon exchange set to launch in September 2023. Power companies will participate from the start with cement producers anticipated to follow at a later stage. Despite the uncertain short-to-medium term outlook the cement sector in Indonesia remains one of the largest in the world with plenty of business to be done. Denmark-based FLSmidth was clearly mindful of this when it opened a new office in Jakarta in April 2023.

India: The Cement Manufacturers' Association has elected Neeraj Akhoury. He is the managing director of Shree Cement. In a statement the association said “Akhoury brings with him more than 30 years of experience in steel and cement industries. He has worked in various leadership roles in India and other emerging markets.” The association also elected Parth Jindal as its vice-president. Jindal is the managing director of JSW Cement.

Romania: Holcim Romania has appointed Claudiu Anghel as the plant manager of its Campulung cement plant. Anghel took up the post in May 2023 when the previous manager, Cornel Banu, was promoted to the role of Industrial Director of Holcim Romania & Moldova, according to the Diplomat Magazine. Anghel has worked for Holcim and its subsidiaries in Romania, Azerbaijan Russia and Slovakia in electrical engineering roles for over 20 years. He worked as a project manager for electrical and automation for CRH Slovakia in the late 2010s before returning to work for Holcim Romania in managerial positions from 2019.

Türkiye: Votorantim Cimentos Türkiye has appointed Şule Gözüpek as its Central Anatolia Regional Manager. Gözüpek has worked by Votorantim Cimentos for over 15 years. She holds masters and bachelors degrees from Gazi University in Ankara and Erciyes University in Kayseri respectively.

India: UltraTech Cement has appointed Vivek Dheer as Zonal Head UBS. He has worked in sales and management roles for the cement producer since 2014. Prior to this he worked for ACC and the Hindustan Construction Company. Dheer holds a bachelor’s degree in civil engineering from the Motilal Nehru National Institute Of Technology as well as marketing and business qualifications.

India: Ramco Cements plans to invest a total of US$91.3m towards growing its capacity during the 2024 financial year, which ends on 31 March 2024. Its planned investments consist of US$15.8m in an expansion to its Haridaspur grinding plant in Odisha and US$75.5m in the acquisition of land in Bommanalli, Karnataka, on which to establish a limestone mine.

During the previous financial year, which ended on 31 March 2023, Ramco Cements invested US$215m in capital expenditure.

India: The first quarter of the 2024 financial year, which began on 1 April 2023, brought revenues of US$72.5m for Heidelberg Cement India, up by 1% year-on-year from US$71.9m during the first quarter of the previous financial year. The subsidiary of Germany-based Heidelberg Materials reported a 1.6% rise in its costs, to US$61.2m from US$60.3m. As such, its net profit rose by 1.3% year-on-year, to US$6.37m, compared to US$6.29m in the first quarter of the 2023 financial year.

India: UltraTech Cement and other industrial partners are participating in the development of the World Economic Forum’s first net zero transport cluster in India. The cluster, called Moving India, will deploy 550 zero-emissions trucks in western Gujarat and Maharashtra. Participants aim to create scale, support the deployment of shared assets and infrastructure, encourage the creation of a vehicle supply and servicing ecosystem and inform policy through consensus.

GPEO News has reported that UltraTech Cement managing director Kailash Jhanwar said "India is the second largest cement producing country in the world, with cement plants spread across the country. The cement sector can provide an ideal use case for early adoption of zero emission trucks. At UltraTech Cement, we are committed to evaluating all means to reduce our emissions and environmental footprint. We see large scale deployment of zero emission trucks and liquefied natural gas/compressed natural gas vehicles as the next key initiative to make our operations more sustainable."

India: Three workers died after an oxygen cylinder exploded at UltraTech Cement’s Hirmi cement plant in Chhattisgarh on 18 July 2023. The Indian Express newspaper has reported that the workers were subcontractors hired to carry out repairs at the 1.9Mt/yr integrated cement plant. They reportedly brought the cylinder with them to the site before it exploded for unknown reasons. Police are investigating the event, and have named the victims as Lakesh Kumar Gayakwad, Shatruhan Lal Verma and Umesh Kumar Verma. The men were aged between 21 and 27.

Tajikistan: The government ordered the immediate shutdown of Tajikcement’s Dushanbe cement plant ‘due to serious air pollution’ on 18 July 2023. Asia-PLUS News has reported that the suspension will likely last until the end of 2023. The government has indicated that an upgrade to the plant’s equipment would be necessary for it to be able to reopen. It previously stated that the plant would have to shut down altogether and relocate to a new site, to be replaced by a confectionary factory.