Displaying items by tag: Sinoma
Same old story: cement overcapacity in China
07 November 2012Liu Ming of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) once again stated the obvious this week: China is producing too much cement.
He made the same warning on overcapacity that has been made all year. Officials from the NDRC have recommended stricter controls on new capacity, faster mergers and acquisitions, elimination of out-dated capacity and faster industry upgrades. Unsurprisingly this is exactly the line that China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) was hawking in its 12th Five-year Plan (2011-2015) for the country's building materials industry that it released back in 2011.
So what's actually happened since last time Liu Ming played Cassandra?
Back in July 2012, at the time of the half-year financial reports, it looked like Chinese cement producers were facing profit gaps of around 50%. Now it looks worse. Major producer China National Building Material Co (CNBM) has reported a drop in net profit of 40% to US$575m for the nine months to 30 September 2012. Anhui Conch has reported a drop in net profit of 57% to US$632m. China National Materials Co Ltd (Sinoma) has reported a 76% drop in net profit to US$48.8m for the same period. Jidong Cement reported a 83% drop in net profit to US$38.6m.
In 2010 Chinese cement production was 1.87Bt. In 2011 it was 2.06Bt, according to Chinese state-released statistics. From January to September 2012, the country produced 1.59Bt of cement, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%. For the full year of 2012 it is estimated that China will produce 2.8Bt/yr. However, according to the NDRC production growth have fallen to 6.7% in 2012 compared to 11.4% in 2011. Capacity is still rising whilst profits are plummeting.
At the start of 2012 the Chinese Vice Minister of Environment Protection, Zhang Lijun, announced that the ministry plans to introduce stricter rules on NOx emissions from cement plants. At the time it was reckoned that the move could wipe out a third of the industry's total net profits. Then in September 2012, industry reports suggested that the government was now going to set nitrogen oxide emissions to 300mg/m3, below the international standard of 400mg/m3. It was estimated that only about a third of producers would be able to afford the necessary upgraded equipment to meet the requirement. Then, also in September 2012, the Guangdong Emissions Trading Scheme (GETS) was launched, which might offer another way of restraining production.
In summary: profits are tumbling, production is probably slowing and new controls are as-yet unbinding. Yet, perhaps Liu Ming repeated his warning for one particular audience who can make a difference. On 8 November 2012 the Chinese Communist Party holds its 18th national congress to decide the new leadership. Producers like West China Cement are certainly hoping this shakes things up. It recently announced that it was waiting for new infrastructure projects to be approved to swallow up its growing surplus.
Sinoma chairman Tan Zhongming dies
05 September 2012China: China National Materials (Sinoma) chairman Tan Zhongming has died. Tan, who was in his late 50s, reportedly died of a heart attack while in France for a company roadshow on 2 September 2012. Vice-chairman Yu Shiliang will succeed him.
The state-owned company is one of China's five biggest cement producers. Tan was also a director of Sinoma's Shanghai-listed subsidiary, Sinoma International Engineering, the world's biggest producer of cement equipment, with businesses in more than 30 countries.
Tan was chairman of Sinoma when it listed in Hong Kong in December 2007. He was also general manager of Sinoma's state-owned parent, China National Materials Group. From 1995 to October 2000, Tan held various positions in the State Bureau of Building Materials Industry. He had more than 35 years of experience in China's non-metals materials industry.
Tan graduated with a doctorate in management from Xian Jiaotong University in 1999 and was a professional senior engineer.
Chinese halftime profit warning
04 July 2012Cement industry results from China have all told an alarming story this week: profits for the first half of 2012 look set to fall by more than 50% year-on-year.
China Resources Cement Holdings warned that its first-half earnings were down sharply. China National Materials Co. Ltd. (Sinoma), the cement equipment and engineering services provider, and Gansu Qilianshan Cement, a small Shanghai-listed cement producer, have both forecast similar drops. Sinoma blamed its drop in profit partly on an overseas project but 'interestingly' no further information was released detailing which project.
Previous to this in June 2012 Anhui Conch Cement warned that its net profit would fall by more than 50% due to weak demand and falling product prices. In May 2012 China National Building Material Co Ltd (CNBM) reported that its net profit for the first quarter of 2012 was down by 45% year-on-year. In April 2012 Jidong Cement reported an increase in its net loss for the first quarter and a year-on-year revenue drop of 14%.
Each of the Chinese big players in the cement industry have issued profit warnings of a similar scale suggesting that the Chinese market faces a uniform downturn or that a slowdown is being centrally managed. Official signs that the Chinese industry faced a slowdown emerged in March 2012 when the national growth target was lowered, analysts' predictions were released forecasting weakened profits for the nation's main producers and government officials admitted that overcapacity loomed within five years.
According to OneStone Research data on the Chinese market in 2010 CNBM, Anhui Conch, Jidong and Sinoma represented over 20% of Chinese capacity. To give these figures some perspective, in 2011 CNBM's profit was US$1.7bn. Holcim's operating profit for the same period was US$2bn and Lafarge's operating income was US$2.74bn. Even halved, CNBM's profit is a massive figure for a company with less of an international presence than the European multinationals.
Sinoma forecasts massive drop in net profit
04 July 2012Chinese producers face profit drop in 2012
28 March 2012China: Analysts expect the profitability of China's leading cement producers to weaken in 2012 due to slowing demand and falling prices.
SWS Research analyst Ye Rong expects the earnings of China's second-biggest cement producer, Anhui Conch Cement, to plummet by half in the first quarter, because the Yangtze River Delta, where most of Anhui Conch's sales are based, has seen cement price drops of 5% to 20% since the Lunar New Year, on 23 January 2012. Citic Securities forecasts the Hong Kong-listed firm's net profit will drop by 40% in the first quarter.
The net profit of Anhui Conch soared by 88.1% to US$1.84bn in 2011, while revenue surged by 41% to US$7.71bn. The state-owned enterprise's results for 2011 were in line with market expectations, wrote Luo Yang in a Nomura report. However, Anhui Conch's profit margin was likely to deteriorate in 2012, due to downward pressure on selling prices, rising costs and decelerating productivity, Luo wrote. "Under severe overcapacity, the company is subject to higher price risk in comparison with most of its peers."
Anhui Conch chairman Guo Wensan said the industry would face unfavourable factors in 2012, such as a slowdown in investment growth, regulation of the real-estate sector and rising energy prices. Anhui Conch plans a capital expenditure of US$1.27bn in 2012 less than the US$1.44bn in 2011.
In an exception to this trend, mainland China's biggest cement producer, China National Building Materials, announced it expected net profit to jump more than 100% from 2011. However, JP Morgan expects prices and profit per tonne for most mainland cement producers in 2012 to be up to 10% lower than 2011, and has trimmed its earning estimates for most listed cement companies. The growth in the mainland's cement consumption would be 5% to 8% in 2012, against 11% in 2011, the China Cement Association said.
The net profit of China National Materials (Sinoma) rose by 32.78% to US$231m in 2011, while turnover grew by 14% to US$8.04bn. The Hong Kong-listed firm's cement sales surged by 40% to US$3.21bn in 2011, while sales of its hi-tech materials increased by 7.7% to US$981m and its cement equipment business dipped by 0.1% to US$3.85bn.
Sinoma's net profit in 2011 was 10% below market consensus and 11% below Nomura's estimate. This was mainly due to much lower top-line growth and a disappointing margin performance. The state-owned firm's biggest business sector, cement equipment, suffered a small drop in 2011, because China's fixed-asset investment in cement fell by 8.3% in 2011, Luo wrote. "We expect it to further decrease by 15% in 2012." Sinoma's cement prices were under significant downward pressure, especially in Xinjiang province, due to worsening overcapacity, Luo warned.
Upgrade work completed at Garadagh
28 October 2011Azerbaijan: Holcim has announced the completion of its expansion and efficiency improvement project at its OJSC Garadagh Cement plant in Azerbaijan. Garadagh Cement's CEO, Raoul Waldburger said that the USD448m investment was coming to a close. "The new kiln at Garadagh Cement will start clinker production by the end of 2011," he said. Work on the project, which was carried out by the Chinese firm CBMI Construction Company (belonging to Sinoma International Engineering), had been expected be completed by the end of June 2011.
Thanks to the new kiln, the plant will switch from wet to dry cement production technology. At the same time, the capacity of the plant will rise 2600t/day to 4000t/day. The cost of the project was split between (USD251m), the Asian Development Bank (USD27m) and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (USD170m).
China: CNBM was China's biggest cement producer in 2010 followed by Anhui Conch and Jidong according to newly-released data from OneStone Research.
In China the top 10 cement producers comprised 817.4Mt/yr (34%) of a cement capacity of 2.41Bnt/yr. The market leader with a capacity of 200Mt/yr (8.3%) was CNBM, followed by Anhui Conch with 150Mt/yr (6.2%) and Jidong with 89Mt/yr (3.7%). Next places in the ranking were taken by Sinoma Cement, Shanshui, Huaxin, CRC, Tianrui, TCC (China) and Hongshi.
Companies in the top 11 – 20 rankings included BBMG, Jinyu Group, Lafarge, Yatai and Asia Cement, combining about 9.5% of China's cement capacity. In total the top 20 companies comprised 43.5% of the national capacity.
The only foreign producer within the top 10 besides Holcim (which hold a 39.9% participation in Huaxin) was Taiwan Cement Corp. (TCC) Other major foreign cement producers in China include Lafarge, CRH, HeidelbergCement, Asia Cement Corp., Taiheiyo, Italcementi, Cimpor and Cemex.