Displaying items by tag: CNBM
China: Beijing-based China National Building Material (CNBM) anticipates its first-quarter losses to increase by more than 50% to US$180m, up from US$72.6m in 2023. The company attributes the increased losses to lower selling prices for its key products, worsening performance of associates, and higher currency losses, despite a decrease in cost of sales. Following a meeting with CNBM, Citi analysts reported a 10% year-on-year fall in demand for the cement sector in the first quarter of 2024, with a forecasted full-year decline of 3%-5%.
Update on China, April 2024
03 April 2024We turn to look at the Chinese cement sector now that the larger China-based cement producers have released their financial results for 2023. In summary, national output of cement has continued to fall and many of the bigger companies are reporting weakening sales and profits. Yet this trend appears to be slowing, with a few of the producers managing to grow revenue, profits and sales volumes.
Graph 1: Cement output in China, 2018 to 2023. Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China.
Data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China shows that cement output fell by 4.5% year-on-year from 2.11Bnt in 2022 to 2.02Bnt in 2023. This is a slower rate of decline than the 10.4% drop reported between 2021 and 2022. However, it is worth noting that the rate of decrease in output on a half-year basis fell strongly in the first half of 2023 but remained similar in the second half of the year. In its commentary, the China Cement Association (CCA) said that the country’s real estate development investment fell by 10% year-on-year to US$1.53tn.
Graph 2: Sales revenue from selected Chinese cement producers. Source: Company financial reports.
Graph 3: Sales volumes of cement and clinker from selected Chinese cement producers. Source: Company financial reports.
Unlike in 2022 the two graphs above show that not every cement producer has lost revenue or sales volumes of cement in 2023. CNBM chair Zhou Yuxian used the phrase ‘storms and challenges’ to describe the situation faced by the world’s largest cement company. He left president Wei Rushan to deliver the bad news that the cement industry as a whole faced “insufficient demand, weakening expectations and weakening off-peak season characteristics” along with surpluses and high costs. He said that the cement sector in China saw its profit fall by 50% to US$4.42bn in 2023, its lowest figure since the mid-2000s.
In comparison CNBM Group’s revenue fell by 10% year-on-year to US$29bn and profit by 52% to US$534m. This was principally due to losses from the group’s basic building materials division, the section that makes heavy building materials, including cement. Alongside this, it pushed on with its supply-side structural reforms, implemented staggered peak production and worked on sustainability initiatives. These included preparations for the national carbon emissions trading scheme. Anhui Conch’s results showed that it managed to increase its revenue but its sales volumes of cement dropped and its profits fell by 33% to US$1.48bn. It achieved the boost in revenue by growing its trading business.
Of the smaller companies covered here, only Huaxin Cement managed to grow its revenue in 2023. It appeared to pull this off by growing its concrete and aggregate business domestically whilst growing the business overseas at the same time. The share of its international business grew to 16% in 2023 from 13% in 2022. Major overseas acquisitions in 2023 included Oman Cement and InterCement’s subsidiaries in Mozambique and South Africa. More recently Huaxin Cement has also been reported by local media as the preferential bidder for InterCement’s business in Brazil, although no formal announcement has been made. Of the rest, Tangshan Jidong Cement, CRBMT and China Tianrui all reported declines in sales revenue and profits. Tangshan Jidong Cement did manage to grow its cement sales volumes, but reported heightened competition in the north and north-east of China where most of its plants are located.
With the first quarter results for 2024 on the way soon, the CCA has been bracing itself and the sector for more bad news. It noted that national cement prices during the last week of March 2024 were about 1% lower than during the same week in 2023. Prices were lower in East, Central and South China, although they had increased in Chengdu and Sichuan. The CCA is worried that a price war, either nationally or regionally, will make a bad situation worse. It has called on cement producers to accept that the slowdown of infrastructure development in the country has led to a decline in cement demand and that this is the new normal. Apart from the usual watchwords of ‘self-discipline,’ ‘overcapacity reduction’ and ‘supply-side reforms’ the association has suggested that cement companies look for growth internationally and look to the leadership of associations to help everyone adapt to the new market situation. China’s sales output of cement may be starting to stabilise, but the market has a way to go yet to adapt to the new reality.
Poor cement market slows CNBM financial results in 2023
03 April 2024China: Poor performance by CNBM’s Basic Building Materials division dragged down the group’s sales in 2023 despite positive performance by the group’s Engineering Technical Services and New Materials segments. Its revenue fell by 10% year-on-year to US$29.1bn in 2023 from US$32.3bn in 2022. Its profit after tax dropped by 33% to US$1.44bn from US$2.13bn. Sales volumes of cement and clinker decreased by 3% to 309Mt from 317Mt. Sales volumes of commercial concrete fell by 5% to 80.8Mm3 from 84.7Mm3.
Revenue for the Basic Building Materials division fell by 19% to US$16.4bn. The company blamed this on a fall in the price of cement, concrete and aggregates although an increase in sales volume of aggregates was noted. The group said that in 2023, the cement industry was characterised by ‘insufficient demand, weakening expectations and weakening off-peak season characteristics,’ coupled with and aggravating surplus and high costs.
China National Building Material’s profit dropped in 2023
30 January 2024China: China National Building Material (CNBM) expects to record a 65% year-on-year drop in its profit in 2023. This would correspond to a figure of US$393m, against a reported profit after tax of US$1.12bn in 2022. Reuters has reported that CNBM partly attributed the anticipated drop to low cement prices and changes in the fair value of its assets.
Saudi Arabia: Sinoma Overseas Development has reported the successful construction of the first steel column for the kiln inlet of the new Line 3 at Yamama Cement’s Al Kharj cement plant in Northern Halal. The China-based supplier used a crawler crane to position the structural element, which is painted in its characteristic blue. In a post to LinkedIn, it said that the development ‘kicks off the steel construction and installation’ of the upcoming 12,500t/day (4.6Mt/yr) line.
Sinoma Overseas Development said “Meticulous preparations were made for the successful completion of the first installation as a landmark task in the project’s construction: civil engineers re-measured pre-embedded bolts multiple times, cleared pathways, and set the area ready for operation. Seamless coordination between commanders and operators, combined with whole-process supervision of managers, made the successful installation of the first steel column possible.” Looking forwards, it said “The project team, greatly inspired by the successful installation, will continue to face challenges head-on, chase for high quality while ensuring safety and make sure tasks are completed in due time for the safe and smooth operation of subsequent construction.”
Türkiye: Sinoma Overseas Development has won a contract to execute the first phase of a four-plant solar power project across three of LIMAK Cement Group’s cement plants in Türkiye. The contract covers engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) of an initial 28.2MW-worth of new solar power capacity.
Sinoma Overseas Development said “This project opens a new chapter of our robust partnership built on many successful practices of cooperation on projects of cement EPC and supply services over the past decade, leading us into a new field of green energy. The deeper and wider cooperation between LIMAK and us reflects its recognition and trust in our company's ability to perform the contracts in the past, indicating another significant leap in exploiting the Turkish market, expanding localised operations, and transforming to providing green energy projects.” The supplier added “We will exert our utmost in project execution and client services to propel LIMAK’s strategic blueprint of energy saving and carbon reduction in its pursuit of a greener, more sustainable future.”
Saudi Arabia: Yamama Cement has hired China National Building Material subsidiary Sinoma Overseas Development to upgrade a production line it is moving from its old plant site south of Riyadh to its new site at Northern Halal in Al-Kharj governorate. The 10,000t/day line will be enhanced to a 12,500t/day line as part of the project. Sinoma Overseas Development general manager Yang Lei re-emphasised the company’s commitment to leveraging its technical strengths in both of its on-going projects with Yamama Cement.
The cement company commissioned two production lines supplied by Germany-based ThyssenKrupp with a total production capacity of 20,000t/day in late 2022 at its new plant location to the east of Riyadh. Once the production line from the older Riyadh plant has been moved and upgraded, the Northern Halal plant is expected to have a production capacity of 32,500t/day. Yamama Cement previously shut down five of its older production lines at the Riyadh site in 2017 before saying it was going to sell them in 2019.
Update on Saudi Arabia, January 2024
10 January 2024Eastern Province Cement said this week that it had awarded a new production line project to Sinoma CDI. The subsidiary of China-based CNBM Group and Sinoma International Engineering has picked up the contract to build a 10,000t/day plant from design to installation at the cement producer’s Al Khursaniyah plant. Word on project finance is to follow later and the contract should be signed by the end of March 2024. The cement company last mentioned the project to the Saudi Exchange back in March 2023, when it suggested that it was focusing on upgrading existing lines at its Al Khursaniyah plant rather than building a brand new clinker plant at Najibiyah. The plans for the latter project date back to 2015. Eastern Province Cement holds limestone extraction licences in both locations.
It is worth noting that the last couple of new conventional production line projects announced in Saudi Arabia have been picked up by Sinoma International Engineering and related companies. Sinoma International Engineering won an engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract to build Southern Province Cement's upcoming Jizan cement plant in May 2023. This followed the awarding of a new 10,000t/day line by Yamama Cement, also to Sinoma International Engineering, in November 2022. However, Germany-based IBAU Hamburg was confirmed by Hoffmann Green Cement Technologies (HGCT) in September 2023 as being the company that would build a ‘clinker-free’ cement plant in Saudi Arabia in 2024. This will be a copy of HGCT’s H2 plant in France, which uses a combination of activated clay, ground granulated blast furnace slag (GGBFS) and gypsum to manufacture its products. HGCT has signed a deal with Shurfah Group to build several Hoffman plants under a 22-year exclusive licensing agreement.
Arguably though, despite all these new plant news stories, the bigger issue so far this year was Saudi Aramco's decision to raise its feedstock and fuel prices from the start of 2024. Several Saudi cement producers released warnings in response that production costs would rise and earnings would fall. Al Jouf Cement, Arabian Cement, Qassim Cement, Saudi Cement, Yamama Cement and Yanbu Cement each made statements to shareholders on the issue, saying that they were working out the impact, would announce what this might be when known and that it was likely to make a difference from the first quarter results onwards.
The timing of Aramco's price hike is poor given that after a tough year, with falling sales for some producers, demand was expected to pick up somewhat. Aljazira Capital, for example, in a cement sector report released in late December 2023, forecast a 3% year-on-year increase in cement sales volumes in 2024 following an estimated fall of 8% in 2023. Its reasoning was that the domestic housing construction market had declined in 2023, leading to high levels of competition in the central region of the country caused by high levels of company inventory. Looking ahead, the competition was expected to ease as more projects were generated outside the central region and demand from the country’s various large-scale infrastructure plans took off. We will have to wait for Aljazira Capital’s next report to find out how they think the market will cope with higher fuel costs, but it seems likely that business may remain tougher than expected for the cement producers in the short term at least.
Finally, one more story to consider is that Al Jouf Cement signed a deal with Rabou’ Al-Taybeh Company this week to export cement and clinker to Jordan. The initial period covers six months with the option for renewal. Up until 2022, at least, clinker exports from Saudi Arabia were growing most years since the export rules were relaxed in 2017. With a difficult market reported domestically in 2023, the appetite to focus on exports may be growing and this could be a sign of that. Another example this week of Saudi-based cement companies looking outside the domestic market could be detected when Northern Region Cement said it had sold a 49% stake in its Iraq business to Al-Diyar Al-Iraqia for Investments Company. The cement company said that the new strategic partnership would help it to further expand its investments in the promising market. It will use the proceeds of the deal to repay loans and for ‘external investments.’ It valued the transaction at just under US$44m. For more on what Northern Region Cement and others have been up to in Iraq, see Global Cement Weekly’s analysis from November 2023.
The steady stream of new clinker production lines suggests confidence in the cement sector in Saudi Arabia in the medium to long term. It is also fascinating to witness a secondary cementitious material plant like the one HGCT is planning on the way too. Unfortunately though, the recent fuel price rise looks like it might ruin the party in the short term for those hoping for better things in 2024.
The 26th Arab International Cement & Building Materials Conference and Exhibition takes place in Cairo on 15 - 17 January 2024. Visit Global Cement at stand N3
Update on Kyrgyzstan, January 2024
03 January 2024Kyrgyzstan had a couple of prominent stories in the press towards the end of December 2023 with news of a new plant and continuing data showing that cement production has grown.
The Chüy project was first announced by the government in mid-2022 when it signed an investment agreement with a consortium comprising representatives from Terek-Tash and ZENIT. More information on the unit emerged this week when the Russian-Kyrgyz Development Fund revealed that it made a loan of US$45m towards the scheme based in the northern Chüy region of the country. The plan is to build a 1.7Mt/yr plant with a budget of US$160m. Equipment to build the plant is reportedly being sourced from companies in China and Russia. Special features of the project include a waste heat recovery unit and the use of ash from the Bishkek Thermal Power Plant in the production process. The plant is expected to be launched in 2024.
Graph 1: Cement production in Kyrgyzstan, 2018 - 2023. Source: National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic.
One reason why the government might be keen to build a new plant is because cement production has mostly grown in each of the past five years, with the exception of 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic began. In 2022 it increased by 7% year-on-year to 2.7Mt and the latest data from the National Statistical Committee indicates that it rose by 11% year-on-year to 2.6Mt in the 11 months to the end of November 2023. If this rate held in December 2023 then it looks likely that the country will have produced just under 3Mt in 2023. At the same time the country’s exports of cement have also been falling. In November 2023 the government of Kazakhstan’s Jambyl Region said that it had found investors to support construction of a railway line between the locale and Kyrgyzstan due to a ‘building boom’ in the latter country.
Earlier in 2023 the Eurasian Development Bank (EDB) said it had earmarked US$48m for the modernisation of equipment at the Kant Cement plant, operated by Kazakhstan-based United Cement Group (UCG), also in Chüy region. The plant is the biggest in Kyrgyzstan, running five wet process production lines, according to the Global Cement Directory 2023. The EDB linked its investment to a hydroelectric project in the country that it is also funding, pointing out that such structures require lots of cement and concrete. This follows a previous upgrade project by owner Kazakhstan-based United Cement Group (UCG) at the plant from 2021 to March 2023. This involved efficiency and environmental gains such as installing bag filters and converting a cement grinding mill to a closed circuit. China-based and CNBM subsidiary China Triumph International Engineering was the lead project partner. In early December 2023 UCG announced that it had signed another contract with China Triumph International Engineering over the summer to build a new dry production line at the site with a clinker capacity of 0.8Mt/yr. At the time of the announcement it said that preparation of the construction site had started and that work had begun on installing a pile foundation.
Finally, one more Kyrgyz news story of note in recent months was the announcement in October 2023 that the government had effectively nationalised the Kurmentinsky Cement plant in Issyk-Kul Region. The reason why it had done so was unusual because it said that a 93% share in the company running the plant had been transferred to the State Property Management Agency following the death of its former owner. The former owner was one Kamchybek Kolbaev, an organised crime boss who had been listed on the US Department of State Transnational Organized Crime Rewards Program and was reportedly killed by state security services in early October 2023. The remaining shares in the plant have been passed to its workers and the government further said that it intends to upgrade the site.
The cement sector in Kyrgyzstan is modest and in need of modernisation. It appears to be having a resurgence at the moment though with production mounting and at least two major plant projects underway. The country is in a compelling position economically and geopolitically given its membership of the Russia-backed Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and its proximity to China. Various projects backed by the latter’s Belt and Road Initiative, both underway and forthcoming, would certainly appear to benefit from more efficient local cement production and higher volumes.
China: China National Building Material (CNBM) plans to rearrange shareholding in Sinoma Cement between its subsidiaries. On 4 December 2023, fellow CNBM subsidiary Sinoma International Engineering agreed to buy US$174m-worth of shares in Sinoma Cement. Upon completion of this, Sinoma International Engineering and New Tianshan Cement will together buy US$975m-worth of shares. Following these subscriptions, Sinoma Cement’s share capital will rise by 67%, to US$436m. New Tianshan Cement’s total stake in the company will be 60%.
The group’s first-half 2023 interim report recorded Sinoma Cement as a 100% subsidiary of New Tianshan Cement.