Displaying items by tag: China

Japan: Cement plants consumed 70Mt-worth (50%) of total limestone shipments in Japan during the 2023 financial year, which ended on 31 March 2023. Nikkei Industry Summary News has reported that limestone is the only mineral resource for which Japan is self-sufficient. However, it reported that the country’s cement sector is exposed to effects from the global coal market. Producers expect that the rising price of coal from China may diminish their earnings due to increased costs.

Uganda: A joint venture of Sunbird Quarry Moroto and China-based West International Holding Cement has begun building its upcoming Moroto cement plant. New Vision News has reported that the plant will cost US$1.2bn and produce cement from locally sourced limestone. The Uganda government said that the plant will generate jobs and help to lower the local price of cement.

Libya: Representatives of China-based Senomaly carried out feasibility assessments to investigate the possibility of restarting the Mahrouga cement plant near Sebha in late August 2023. The Libya Herald newspaper has reported that National Mining Corporation hosted the delegation at the mothballed plant.

Chinese president Xi Jinping directly instructed Chinese businesses to return to Libya on 27 August 2023.

The first half of 2023 has continued to be a tough period for the major China-based cement producers, with revenue and profits down for many. As CNBM put it, the sector is facing production overcapacity, weak demand, high inventory, low prices and declining profits. However, not every company has followed this trend, with a few such as Anhui Conch, Huaxin Cement and Tapai Group managing to hold operating income up and the latter somehow even managing to increase its net profit. The China Cement Association (CCA) in its financial coverage has memorably described these companies that have bucked the national picture as ‘dark horses.’

Graph 1: Sales revenue from selected Chinese cement producers. Source: Company financial reports. Note: For CNBM, cement revenue shown only.

Graph 1 above summarises the situation for a selected group of cement producers. Anhui Conch avoided the fate of CNBM by managing to grow its non-cement revenue, specifically from aggregates and concrete. Yet it too was unble to avoid its net profit falling by 32% year-on-year to US$928m in the first half of 2023 from US$1.37bn in the same period in 2022. Huaxin Cement pulled off the same trick by raising its concrete and aggregates revenue domestically and by growing its overseas revenue. As well as its subsidiaries in Africa, the company also added Oman Cement to its portfolio, completing the acquisition of a majority stake in April 2023. The CCA has a wider roundup of how well the local cement companies have done.

Graph 2: Cement output in China, 2019 to first half of 2023. Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China.

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China suggests that the cement sector is stagnating rather than actively declining. This is an improvement of sorts from the decline in the first half of 2022, at least. Cement output in the first half of 2023 rose ever so slightly to 980Mt from 979Mt in the same period in 2022. On a rolling annual basis cement output has been gently falling below 1% each month since November 2022, although it rose by nearly 1% in March 2023.

The underlying problem for the Chinese cement sector remains the local real estate market. Developer Country Garden has been the latest company to warn of potential losses – of up to US$7.6bn – in the first half of 2023. It is also currently attempting to ask for more time to repay a bond. This follows the financial problems that Evergrande has faced since 2021. Financial analysts have been monitoring the situation for several years and warning of what a larger collapse in the sector could mean for the wider economy, such as the implications for the banks that hold the debts of the developers. Commentary by Goldman Sachs in August 2023, for example, suggested that the real estate sector needs to manage its inventory on a large scale, with over US$2Tn in liquidations, in order to restructure debts in the property sector. It estimated that the whole situation could reduce the country’s entire gross domestic product (GDP) by 1.5% in 2023, although this would be the trough of the downturn in its view.

Cement producers in China continue to be held hostage by the conditions in the real estate market and the effect this has in turn on demand for building materials. Yet all is not lost, as the examples of the CCA’s ‘dark horses’ show, buoyed by business diversification, overseas expansion or even regional differences. How much longer the rest of the other cement companies can cope in this environment remains to be seen. A less regulated market would certainly expect to see mergers and acquisitions taking place as the financial pressure mounts. China, for now at least, remains steadfastly different. With luck the real estate market may reach its lowest point in 2023 and a recovery could follow.

Vietnam: State-owned Vicem Ha Tien has despatched its first shipment of cement to the US. The Vietnam government says that Vicem Ha Tien will continue to further diversify its markets.

Domestic-focused cement producers like Vicem Ha Tien have experienced increased competition in the past year due to a slowdown in the Chinese market.

China: CNBM’s sales from its cement businesses fell by 16% year-on-year to US$6.14bn in the first half of 2023 from US$7.34 in the same period in 2022. Its adjusted earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) dropped by 39% to US$991m from US$1.63bn. The group’s sales volumes of cement and clinker fell by 1% to 127Mt and 15% to 15.4Mt respectively. Sales volumes of concrete decreased by 10% to 35.6Mm3 from 39.5Mm3. Overall the group’s sales fell by 8% to US$14bn and its adjusted EBITDA by 27% to US$2.03bn.

The company said that its building materials division faced weakening demand, high inventory, low prices and declining profits. It noted that industry overcapacity remained high, despite supply-side structural changes, and that although the price of coal was declining it was insufficient to offset the fall in cement prices and profit in turn.

China: Anhui Conch grew its concrete and aggregate sales in the first half of 2023 to increase overall sales. Its revenue grew by 16% year-on-year to US$8.99bn in the first half of 2023 from US$7.73bn in the same period in 2022. However, its cement and clinker sales fell by 7% to US$6bn from US$6.46bn. Sales revenue fell in all of its domestic sales regions, although they rose overseas. By contrast, sales and trading of other products more than doubled to US$2.7bn. The group’s sales volumes of cement and clinker increased by 3% to 134Mt. Its total profit fell by 32% to US$928m from US$1.37bn.

In its interim results the company said that it had “actively responded to the complicated and difficult industry situation and strived to overcome the impact of unfavourable factors such as declining real estate investment, sluggish market demand and intensified industry competition.”

China: Tangshan Jidong Cement’s operating income fell by 14% year-on-year to US$1.99bn in the first half of 2023 from US$2.31bn in the same period in 2022. Its sales volumes of cement and clinker grew by 14% to 44Mt. However, it reported a loss of US$50.7m compared to a profit of US$157m previously. Its operating income fell in all regions domestically except the North-east of the country. The company noted that low cement prices had led to a decline in the profits of the cement sector.

China: Xinjiang Tianshan Cement recorded a profit of US$19.5m during the first half of 2023, Reuters has reported. This corresponds to a 96% decline from first-half 2022 levels.

China: Jiangxi Wannianqing Cement recorded a profit of US$36.6m during the first half of 2023, Reuters has reported. This corresponds to a year-on-year decline of 46%.