Displaying items by tag: MIIT

China: Cement output in China increased by 7.4% year-on-year in 2012 to 2.18Bt, according to data released by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. Clinker output rose by 1% to 1.28Bt. Obsolete cement production capacity of 220Mt/yr was eliminated.

In other news the China Building Material Federation has released production information for regions in north-western China. Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region produced 41Mt of cement in 2012, a year-on-year increase of 32.8%. Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region saw cement output increase by 10% to 16.1Mt. Shaanxi Province saw cement output increase by 16.3% to 76Mt. Gansu Province saw cement output increase by 32% to 36.7Mt.

Liu Ming of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) once again stated the obvious this week: China is producing too much cement.

He made the same warning on overcapacity that has been made all year. Officials from the NDRC have recommended stricter controls on new capacity, faster mergers and acquisitions, elimination of out-dated capacity and faster industry upgrades. Unsurprisingly this is exactly the line that China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) was hawking in its 12th Five-year Plan (2011-2015) for the country's building materials industry that it released back in 2011.

So what's actually happened since last time Liu Ming played Cassandra?

Back in July 2012, at the time of the half-year financial reports, it looked like Chinese cement producers were facing profit gaps of around 50%. Now it looks worse. Major producer China National Building Material Co (CNBM) has reported a drop in net profit of 40% to US$575m for the nine months to 30 September 2012. Anhui Conch has reported a drop in net profit of 57% to US$632m. China National Materials Co Ltd (Sinoma) has reported a 76% drop in net profit to US$48.8m for the same period. Jidong Cement reported a 83% drop in net profit to US$38.6m.

In 2010 Chinese cement production was 1.87Bt. In 2011 it was 2.06Bt, according to Chinese state-released statistics. From January to September 2012, the country produced 1.59Bt of cement, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%. For the full year of 2012 it is estimated that China will produce 2.8Bt/yr. However, according to the NDRC production growth have fallen to 6.7% in 2012 compared to 11.4% in 2011. Capacity is still rising whilst profits are plummeting.

At the start of 2012 the Chinese Vice Minister of Environment Protection, Zhang Lijun, announced that the ministry plans to introduce stricter rules on NOx emissions from cement plants. At the time it was reckoned that the move could wipe out a third of the industry's total net profits. Then in September 2012, industry reports suggested that the government was now going to set nitrogen oxide emissions to 300mg/m3, below the international standard of 400mg/m3. It was estimated that only about a third of producers would be able to afford the necessary upgraded equipment to meet the requirement. Then, also in September 2012, the Guangdong Emissions Trading Scheme (GETS) was launched, which might offer another way of restraining production.

In summary: profits are tumbling, production is probably slowing and new controls are as-yet unbinding. Yet, perhaps Liu Ming repeated his warning for one particular audience who can make a difference. On 8 November 2012 the Chinese Communist Party holds its 18th national congress to decide the new leadership. Producers like West China Cement are certainly hoping this shakes things up. It recently announced that it was waiting for new infrastructure projects to be approved to swallow up its growing surplus.

China: China's cement industry has maintained its rapid growth in production, sales and profits so far in 2011, according to the latest data released by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT).

According to MIIT statistics China produced 198Mt of cement in June 2011, an increase of 19.9% over June 2010. This represents record highs for both monthly cement output and monthly growth rate. In the first half of 2011, China's cement production increased by 19.6% year-on-year to 950Mt.

Cement and clinker exports stood at 5.6Mt during the same period with an export value of USD310m for June 2011, down 35.5% and 14.9% year-on-year respectively.

According to the statistics provided the cement industry witnessed sales of USD50.4bn in the first five months this year with profits of USD5.4bn, up by 48% and an extraordinary 170% year-on-year respectively. Chinese cement production statistics are viewed with skepticism by some in the cement industry, who believe that they may be inflated.