Displaying items by tag: Dangote Cement

It’s been a tough week for ARM Cement with the announcement that PricewaterhouseCoopers placed the company into administration on 18 August 2018. Given the performance of the company of late, this is not a surprise. It reported a growing net loss of US$55m in 2017 due to poor demand in Kenya and Tanzania.

First, the company made a series of personnel changes to the board of the company at the start of last week, according to Business Daily and other local press. This was led by the announcement on 13 August 2018 that Pradeep Paunrana would step down as the chief executive officer (CEO). This is significant since Paunrana’s father Harjivandas set up the company, previously known as Athi River Mining (ARM), in 1974. Paunrana was reported as owning 9% share in the company in late 2017 with his family controlling a further 14%. He will remain as a board member. Paunrana’s departure was also joined by Wilfred Murungi who stepped down as chairman following 24 years as a director of the firm and Surendra Bhatia, who will retire as deputy managing director. Although ARM Cement is yet to announce who its new CEO will be it has said that Linus Gitahi will become the new chairman and he has also been appointed as a non-executive independent director. Former Lafarge executive Thierry Metro has also been appointed as a non-executive independent director.

Then, over the weekend PricewaterhouseCoopers (PWC) announced in the local press that it had placed the beleaguered company into administration. Muniu Thoiti and George Weru have been appointed as the lead administrators tasked with the job of either rescuing the company or preserving the best possible value for its creditors. On 20 August 2018 the local stock exchange, the Nairobi Securities Exchange, suspended trading of ARM Cement for seven days.

ARM Cement blamed its woes in 2017 on elections in Kenya causing reduced cement demand, a coal import ban in Tanzania causing production issues at its Tanga cement plant and increased competition in both countries. Those last two reasons carried resonance this week with the news that the Petroleum Development Corporation and Dangote Industries Tanzania had signed a long-term gas deal. Dangote Cement has also had energy supply problems in the country, being forced to resort to diesel generators at its Mtwara plant. Due to this its 3Mt/yr cement plant only sold 0.2Mt of cement in the first half of 2018, a decrease of 48% year-on-year from the same period in 2017. The forced reliance on diesel also caused earning losses that negatively affected its wider Pan-African area margins.

The general consensus in the local press is that the CDC Group forced the latest changes in management. The UK government-backed investment company owns a 41% stake in ARM Cement. In June 2018 it replaced two of ARM’s board members and appointed a new executive director and a new company secretary following resignations. CDC Group injected US$140m into the firm in mid-2016 in return for a 40% stake in the business. When the Nairobi Securities Exchange suspended trading, ARM Cement shares were a tenth of the value CDC Group paid for its stake. Given that the share value of ARM has steadily fallen since 2016, the question that occurs is: why did CDC Group take so long before taking action?

Two thoughts occur at this point. One: whatever else emerges in the coming weeks and months about how ARM Cement has ended up in administration, it is unfortunate that a burgeoning multinational producer took a hit in more than one country at the same time in an area with such growth potential for construction. As has been proved, market potential and performance are not the same thing. Two: if this is any indication of how the UK government will act in the post-Brexit world generally, then investing in pound sterling assets before the end of March 2019 may be unwise.

Tanzania: The Petroleum Development Corporation (PDC) and Dangote Industries Tanzania have signed a 20-year deal to supply gas to Dangote Cement’s plant at Mtwara. The cement plant will produce up to 35MW of electricity from natural gas and this will later increase to 45MW, according to the Daily News newspaper. The energy supply will allow the unit to increase it production capacity to 6000t/day from 2000t/day and reduce its production costs.

At the ceremony marking the signing, Dangote Industries chief executive officer (CEO) Jagat Rathee said the company has been using an average of 106,000l/day of diesel to produce 2000 – 2500t/day of cement. The 3Mt/yr plant was commissioned in 2015 and is supported by 500Mt of limestone reserves. It is hoped that the new gas deal will reduce the price of cement in the country.

Nigeria: The recovery of the local economy has driven the performance of Dangote Cement’s sales in the first half of 2018. Its sales revenue grew by 16.9% year-on-year to US$1.34bn from US$1.15bn. Revenue in Nigeria rose by 18.1% to US$959m and in the rest of Africa (Pan Africa) they rose by 11.4% to US$386m.

“Our first-half performance was very strong and driven by an excellent recovery in Nigeria, where our sales volumes increased by nearly 14% and revenues rose by more than 18%. Pan-African operations saw a slight fall in volumes but both revenues and earnings before interest taxation depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) increased because of better pricing and currency conversion effects.” said Joe Makoju, Group Chief Executive Officer. Makoju also mourned the loss of colleagues who were been killed in a gun attack in the group’s subsidiary in Ethiopia in May 2018.

Sales volumes of cement in the group’s Pan Africa region fell by 3.9% to 4.57Mt from 4.75Mt due to lower sales in Tanzania, disruptions due to civil unrest in Ethiopia and a reduction in exports from Nigeria to Ghana. However, the group noted stronger performances in other Pan-African territories, notably Zambia, and volumes outside of Nigeria benefited from maiden first half sales from Congo and increased volumes in Sierra Leone. Sales volumes in Nigeria increased by 13.9% to 7.81Mt from 6.86Mt. EBITDA rose by 20.8% to US$685m from US$568m with a particular emphasis on earnings in the group’s Pan-Africa region.

Nigeria: The Standard Organisation of Nigeria (SON) has awarded Dangote Cement with its Mandatory Conformity Assessment Programme (MANCAP) certification. The certification accredits the cement producer’s products and its ability to run tests on processed and raw materials in alignment with national standards, according to the Sun newspaper. Osita Anthony Aboloma, the Director General of SON, made the announcement during a tour of Dangote Cement’s Obajana plant in Kogi State.

Nigeria: The Nigerian Railway Corporation (NRC) is in discussions with Dangote Cement to transport cement. Fidet Okhiria told the Herald newspaper that talks between the companies are at an advanced stage. He also disclosed that the Lagos to Ibadan and Itakpe to Warri standard gauge railway line projects are on course and are about to start being tested respectively.

Africa: The establishment of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is expected to help Dangote Cement’s production capacity to expand 27.5Mt/yr by 2030. The Nigerian Office for Trade Negotiations (NOTN) made the forecast as part of a report on the potential benefits of the free trade area, according to this This Day newspaper. The report follows a meeting of the African Union in Mauritania in late June 2018. It used the cement industry as a case study for the benefits of the free trade arrangement.

Nigeria: Aramando Martinez, the director of Dangote Cement’s Ibese plant, says that the unit exports 15 – 20% of its total production to markets in Benin, Togo and Ghana. The plant has a production capacity of 12Mt/yr, according to the Business Daily newspaper. Martinez added that the plant has also concluded plans to export 2Mt of clinker to grinding plants in Ghana and Cameroon in the second half of 2018.

Congratulations are due to Bamburi Cement this week after the completion of a new production line at its Nairobi grinding plant. The new US$40m line will add 0.9Mt/yr of cement production capacity to the unit, bringing its total to 2.4Mt/yr when it is commissioned towards the end of 2018. Together with the subsidiary of LafargeHolcim’s integrated plant at Mombasa the company will have a production capacity of 3.2Mt/yr.

Graph 1: Cement production and consumption in Kenya 1999 - 2017. Source: Kenya National Bureau of Statistics.

As Graph 1 shows above it is an interesting time to open new production capacity in the country. Both production and consumption fell for the first time since 2000 in 2017. Production fell by 8.2% year-on-year to 6.2Mt in 2017 from 6.7Mt in 2016 and consumption fell by a similar amount. The change was blamed on reduced demand for building materials in the construction sector occurring at the same time as a fall in the value of building plans approved in 2017. The country also suffered political uncertainty as its general election in August 2017 was subsequently annulled and repeated in October 2017.

With Global Cement Directory 2018 data giving Kenya a cement production capacity of 5.2Mt/yr from five producers and at least four grinding plants with a capacity of 4.6Mt/yr it looks like the country is in an overcapacity phase. The question for producers like Bamburi Cement is whether 2017 is just a temporary blip or not. After all, as per usual for many African countries, the demographic pressure for development to happen and per capita cement consumption to grow seems ineveitable.

Bamburi Cement is not alone in betting on growth. Also this week the Kenya Port Authority recevied four hoppers from the UK’s Samson for the Port of Mombasa. The hoppers will be used to import clinker, coal and gypsum at the site. Earlier in February 2018, National Cement opened a 1.2Mt/yr integrated plant in Kajiado County. On the larger scale Nigeria’s Dangote Cement has been preparing to open two cement plants, near Nairobi and Mombasa respetively. However, these project were reported delayed to 2021 in its annual report for 2016 around the time the company faced problems at home due to a local financial recession.

Meanwhile local producers have faced pressure so far in 2018. Bamburi Cement reported a 6% fall in turnover to US$357m in 2017 that it blamed on the weather, the elections and lower construction activity. Other producers have had a harder time of it with the East African Portland Cement (EAPC) reportedly having to rely on a land sale to remain solvent in April 2018. ARM Cement has also been forced to sell assets to remain operational. Its loss for 2017 more than doubled to US$55m. Amid the problems the UK-government investor CDC Group, which holds a 41% stake in the company, replaced board members of the company in a likely bid to shore up the situation.

It’s into this kind of situation that Bamburi Cement has opened its new plant. On the plus side though it is a grinding plant so it should be able to maximise the company’s use of clinker from either within the country or from imports from other LafargeHolcim operations elsewhere. In its press release for the new unit the company pinned its hopes on anticipated growth in domestic housing and infrastructure projects, backed by government schemes for affordable housing and roads. With the rating agency Moody’s having issued a report this week about the relative reslilence of the Kenyan economy despite recent shocks such as last year’s elections, Bamburi Cement may yet have the last laugh.

Nigeria: Dangote Cement has opened a terminal at Owerri in Imo State. The unit was officially inaugurated by the governor of the state, Chief Rochas Okorocha with the president of Dangote Group, Alhaji Aliko Dangote, also in attendance, according to the This Day newspaper. In a speech Dangote said that the state was one of the ‘major’ markets domestically for the company.

South Africa: Sephaku Cement says that its earnings for its 2018 financial year that ended on 31 March 2018 are expected to fall by up to 40% to US$3m. It has blamed this on a poor start to the year from its cement business, the impact of one-off income from a closure agreement with Sinoma regarding the opening of a new cement plant on the previous year’s results and poor results from its concrete business.