Displaying items by tag: Import

US: Cement shipments fell by 6% year-on-year to 103Mt in 2024 from 109Mt in 2023. Data from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) shows that domestic shipments of Portland and blended cement decreased by 6% to 82.9Mt from 88.2Mt. However, imports only dipped slightly to 19.8Mt. Particular declines in shipments were recorded in the north-east and Texas. Türkiye remained the biggest source of imports in 2024 (7.16Mt), followed by Canada (4.85Mt), Vietnam (4.17Mt), Greece (1.82Mt) and Mexico (1.32Mt). Clinker production dropped by 7% to 71.6Mt from 76.8Mt.

Peru: National cement despatches reached 0.99Mt in January 2025, down by 2% compared to January 2024 and by 0.7% in the 12-month cumulative period, according to ASOCEM. Cement production declined by 6% year-on-year to 0.87Mt, while clinker production dropped by 30% to 0.59Mt. Over the 12-month cumulative period, cement production fell by 3% and clinker production declined by 9%.

Cement exports reached 10,200t, down by 2% year-on-year and by 5% in the 12-month cumulative period. Clinker exports increased significantly, by 122% to 73,600t in January 2025, but were down by 18% in the cumulative period.

Cement imports rose by 63% year-on-year to 50,000t in January and by 23% in the 12-month period. Clinker imports fell by 29% to 44,000t in January but increased by 28% in the cumulative period.

Cement producers based in North America and Europe reported stable revenues and growing earnings in 2024. Revenue growth at scale could be found in India and Sub-Saharan Africa. Notably, India-based UltraTech Cement’s sales volumes of cement surpassed those of Holcim’s. Yet, the European-headquartered multinationals were mostly happy due to increased earnings. Holcim lauded record performance in 2024, for example, and Heidelberg Materials reflected upon “a very good financial year.” This review of financial results looks at selected large heavy building materials companies, outside of China, that have released financial results so far.

Graph 1: Sales revenue from selected cement producers in 2023 and 2024. Source: Company reports. Note: Figures calculated for UltraTech Cement, consolidated data from Ambuja Cement used for Adani Cement.

Holcim’s net sales may have dropped on a direct basis from 2023 to 2024 but its focus is on earnings. Its recurring earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) rose by 4% year-on-year to US$1.31bn in 2024 from US$1.26bn in 2023. And the changing nature of where its earnings come from in recent years has led to the impending spin-off of the US business, scheduled to occur by the end of the first half of 2025. The company will be called Amrize and will be listed on the New York Stock Exchange, with an additional listing on the SIX Swiss Exchange. By product line, sales were down for cement, ready-mixed concrete (RMX) and aggregates, but they were up for the group’s Solutions & Products division. Despite this earnings were up for all four product lines. By region sales fell in North America, Europe and Asia, Middle East & Africa. They rose in Latin America. For reference, North America and Europe are the group’s two biggest segments.

Heidelberg Materials’ sales revenue remained stable in 2024 on a direct basis, although it dipped slightly on a like-for-like comparison. Its result from current operations before depreciation and amortisation (RCOBD) grew by 6% to US$3.4bn. Geographically, revenue in Europe and Asia Pacific fell. RCOBD increased, notably, by 19% to US$4.80bn in North America. It grew everywhere else apart from Africa-Mediterranean-Western Asia. As is becoming customary for Heidelberg Materials, it made a point of highlighting its sustainability progress. This includes demonstrating progress towards its sustainable revenue target and reminding markets that the delivery of its first carbon captured net-zero cement evoZero product is planned during 2025. The group plans to release its 2024 full annual report at the end of March 2025.

Graph 2: Cement sales volumes from selected cement producers in 2023 and 2024. Source: Company reports. Note: Annualised sales volumes provided for CRH, figures calculated for UltraTech Cement.

CRH’s strength in North America gave it both rising revenues and earnings. Sales revenue from its Americas Materials Solutions division reported 5% growth to US$16.2bn in 2024. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) sprung up by 22% to US$3.75bn. Revenue growth was attributed to price increases and acquisitions. Earnings growth was pinned on growth across all regions, pricing, cost management, operational efficiency and gains on land asset sales. Despite this, reported volumes in the division were down in 2024. The group’s International Solutions division performed more in line with its competitors, with revenue down slightly but earnings up. Lastly, CRH’s annualised sales volumes of cement grew in 2024. This is likely primarily due to the group’s acquisition of assets in Australia.

Cemex had a tougher time of it in 2024, compared to the previous three companies, with both sales revenues and earnings down. Sales and earnings were down on a direct basis for each of its three main regions – Mexico, the US, and Europe, Middle East, and Africa - although the picture was better in Mexico on a like-for-like basis. Sales volumes of cement, RMX and aggregates were either static or down in each of these areas. In the US the group may have been unlucky as it took an earnings hit from four hurricanes and a deep freeze in Texas. Group earnings improved in the fourth quarter of 2024. In spite of this it introduced ‘Project Cutting Edge’ in February 2025, a three-year, US$350m cost saving exercise.

The first takeaway from UltraTech Cement’s performance in 2024 is that a second (mainly) national producer has overtaken the multinationals. This happened with several China-based cement producers over the last decade. Now it has occurred in India with Ultratech Cement. It reported sales volumes of 120Mt in the 2024 calendar year. Shifting to the Indian financial calendar, Ultratech Cement ‘s revenue rose slightly in the nine months to 31 December 2024 but its new profit fell by 19% year-on-year to US$458m. Local press has blamed this on weak price realisations despite sales volumes growing. At the same time its energy costs have fallen so far in its 2025 financial year. Adani Cement, meanwhile, reported strong growth in both revenue and earnings in the 12 months to 31 December 2024. It too is likely to become one of the world’s largest cement producers by sales volumes by 2030, outside of China, if it follows-through on its expansion targets.

Finally, Dangote Cement reminded us all what growth really looks like as the Nigerian market started to rebound. Sales revenue increased by 62% to US$2.39bn and EBITDA by 56% to US$591m. Despite high domestic interest rates in Nigeria the group managed to grow its sales volumes of cement. Elsewhere in Sub-Saharan Africa sales volumes declined a little due to bad weather conditions in Tanzania and election uncertainties in Senegal and South Africa.

The importance of the US market for many multinational cement producers continued in 2024. However, this reliance on one place can carry risks, as Cemex’s results seem to suggest. Another reminder of this occurred this week when the US government imposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. The Portland Cement Association said in a statement, “The US cement industry would like to work with the administration to address federal laws and regulations that prevent American cement companies from increasing production, making it necessary for the US to import some 20% of its total cement consumption annually - including from Canada and Mexico.” Elsewhere, markets are changing as mega-markets such as India and Sub-Saharan Africa unleash their potential. China-based Huaxin Cement, for example, may start to gain a place on international round-ups like this one in 2025 when it completes its acquisition of Lafarge Africa.

US: In response to the Trump Administration’s imposition of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, Portland Cement Association (PCA) President and CEO Mike Ireland has released a statement.

He said “The US cement industry would like to work with the Administration to address federal laws and regulations that prevent American cement companies from increasing production, making it necessary for the US to import some 20% of its total cement consumption annually, including from Canada and Mexico.”

He added “US cement manufacturers, who provide the materials for America’s vast infrastructure and will have an essential role in helping to manifest the President’s vision of improved border and energy security, believe the right tax, regulatory and permitting environment will lead to more investments in US cement production.”

Canada and Mexico account for 27% of US cement imports, representing nearly 7% of total consumption. In 2023, the US imported 5Mt of cement from Canada and 2Mt from Mexico.

Myanmar: A vessel carrying 3000t of cement has arrived at Mottama Port, following the government's decision in January 2025 to permit cement imports in an effort to meet domestic demand for cement.

The shipment arrived on 21 February 2025 via the Kawthaung Border Trade Station to be distributed. Additional cement shipments will arrive weekly to address the domestic shortage, according to NP News. Myanmar's cement demand is reportedly 10Mt/yr, while domestic production is below 8Mt/yr.

Two news stories to note this week concerning climate legislation in eastern Asia. First, the Indonesian government announced plans to create a mandatory carbon emissions trading scheme (ETS) for key industries including cement. Second, an initiative to set up a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) in Taiwan emerged.

The proposal in Indonesia has been expected by the local cement sector and the wider market. Back in November 2024 at the ASEAN Federation of Cement Manufacturers (AFCM) event, an Indonesian Cement Association (ASI) speaker said that a preparation period for carbon trading by industrial sectors was expected from 2025 to 2027 followed by an easing-in period and then full implementation from 2031 onwards. This latest announcement appears to confirm the planned roll-out of the country’s cap-and-trade system. So far the government has set up a carbon tax, a voluntary carbon trading scheme (IDX Carbon) and a mandatory carbon trading scheme for part of the power sector. Notably, the local carbon price for that last one is low compared to other schemes elsewhere around the world. In 2024 the World Bank reported a price of US$0.61/t of CO₂. Since it only started in 2023 it is still early days yet though.

The new information confirms that the cement, fertiliser, steel and paper industries will be added to the mandatory emissions trading scheme. As per other cap-and-trade schemes, low emitters should be able to sell spare credits. However, comments made by Apit Pria Nugraha, Head of the Center for Green Industry, Ministry of Industry, at a recent trade event in Jakarta suggested that companies that emit more than their allowance would have to pay a 5% levy on the excess and buy credits for the rest. This seems to be different from the EU Emissions Trading Scheme, where companies are fined only if they go above their allowance and they do not buy sufficient credits to cover themselves. However, we’ll have to wait to confirm this and other details.

Meanwhile in Taiwan, Peng Chi-ming, the Minister of Environment, announced that a bill establishing a local CBAM could be prepared in the second half of 2025. What is telling though is how the local press coverage of this story framed the trade policy aspects of such a scheme. Peng questioned how the EU CBAM might fare in response to the protectionist and pro-tariff administration in the US. He also noted that importers of cement and steel didn’t have to disclose their carbon emissions compared to local producers. Vietnam, unsurprisingly, was singled out as a likely target of a CBAM given that one third of Taiwan’s imports of cement come from there. Lastly, Peng also said that Taiwan would have to apply to the World Trade Organization for approval if or when it did set up its own CBAM.

Taiwan introduced a carbon tax at the start of 2025 with a standard price of US$9.16/t of CO₂ and lower prices for companies using approved reduction plans or meeting technology benchmarks. Research by Reccessary indicated that Taiwan Cement might face a carbon tax bill of US$41m and Asia Cement could be looking at US$28m based on 2023 data. These additional costs will increase operating costs and reduce profits.

All of this may sound familiar because it has already happened in Europe. Some form of carbon trading or taxation is introduced and then the debate moves on to carbon leakage via imports. The cement industries in Indonesia and Taiwan are unlikely to be aggravated directly by the EU CBAM but the wider economies of both countries are reacting to secure access to export markets. This, in turn, has implications for a heavy CO₂-emitting sector like cement. For example, if a CBAM isn’t already being considered in Indonesia, local heavy industry is likely to start lobbying for one, if the new ETS starts affecting import rates.

The Minister of Environment in Taiwan and others before him have identified that climate policies can be protectionist. As more countries regulate local carbon emissions, more trade disputes look likely. The big one right now might be the growing argument between the US Trump administration and the EU. Yet, every time a country sets up a new carbon scheme, a potential new argument over trade is brewing. And cement producers in Indonesia, Taiwan and everywhere else are stuck in the middle of all of this.

Taiwan: The government will draft carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) legislation in the second half of 2024 ‘at the earliest’, according to the Taipei Times. The measure will follow the EU's CBAM implementation in 2026, with official guidelines expected to be issued by July or August 2025.

Domestic cement and steel producers have reportedly complained to the Ministry of Environment that competing importers are not required to disclose their emissions. Subsequently, the Ministry is preparing a list of importers to be regulated. According to the Minister of Environment, Peng Chi-Ming, Taiwan imports about one-third of its cement from Vietnam, which would be subject to CBAM regulations.

The legislation will align with corresponding EU regulations and complement carbon fees for domestic producers introduced in 2024.

Alpacem said this week that it had completed its acquisition of the Fanna cement plant near Pordenone. The 0.66Mt/yr integrated plant and a number of ready-mixed concrete plants became part of the Austria-headquartered group at the start of February 2025. Alpacem now has three integrated plants, with units at Wietersdorf in Austria and Anhovo in Slovenia, in addition to Fanna.

The deal dates back to mid-2023 when Alpacem said it had signed an agreement with Buzzi. In return Buzzi was set to receive a 25% stake in Alpacem Zement Austria. Prior to this the two companies had a strategic partnership in Austria and Slovenia that dated back to 2014. At the time of the agreement Buzzi held a 25% share in each of two Alpacem subsidiaries: Salonit Anhovo in Slovenia; and W&P Cementi in Italy. The Fanna plant was originally owned by Cementizillo before it was bought by Buzzi in 2018.

Also this week, Federbeton warned that the high cost of gas would add €80m/yr to the cost of cement production. Nicola Zampella, General Manager of Federbeton and the cement association AITEC, noted that local energy costs would reduce the competitiveness of producers against imports from outside of the European Union (EU). This ties into comments Stefano Gallini, the president of Federbeton, made in December 2024 when he highlighted the growing share of imports from outside the EU.

Federbeton raised the issue in its annual report for 2023, showing that imports rose to a 19% production share in 2023. Italy produced 18.8Mt of and imported 3.6Mt of cement and clinker in 2023. This is its highest level of imports for at least a decade. Over the same period the country’s cement exports, as a share of production, have remained steady at around 10 - 11%. In 2023 Türkiye was the biggest source of imports (25%) followed by Greece (17%), Slovenia (17%), Tunisia (12%) and Algeria (10%).

Graph 1: Cement production, imports and exports in Italy, 2019 - 2023. Source: Federbeton.

It is worth recalling that the cement sector in Italy used to be larger before it started consolidating in the late 2000s. Italcementi was acquired by Germany-based Heidelberg Materials. Operations by Sacci, Cementir and Cemenzillo were all bought out too. Local cement production reached a high of 47.9Mt in 2006 before it stabilised at around 20Mt/yr from 2015 onwards.

In its preliminary results for 2024, out this week too, Buzzi reported that the construction market In Italy probably shrank in 2024 due to a poor residential housing market. However, the cement company managed to keep its local net sales stable by raising prices and focusing on exports. Despite this, it noted a drop in cement and concrete sales volumes at the end of 2024. More data on the construction market in Italy may emerge when Heidelberg Materials releases its 2024 financial results at the end of February 2025.

The backdrop to this has been a rise in gas prices in Europe towards the end of 2024 as the EU ‘emergency’ price cap finished on 31 January 2025. Around the same time the EU is preparing to reveal information on its Clean Industry Deal towards the end of February 2025. Plus, the first active phase of EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is preparing to enter into force from the start of 2026. Each of these issues has implications for the cement sector in Italy as the location associations have been highlighting. One question will be whether the Clean Industry Deal can help producers cope with mounting energy prices. Another will be whether CBAM will change the proportion of imports for countries like Italy or will the sources of the imports simply change. Plenty to consider for the year ahead.

Myanmar: The government will allow coal imports for cement plants from February 2025 in order to increase production, according to local news reports. Cement plants which need coal can apply for an import licence. The country's 16 private and three state-run cement plants produce less than 8Mt/yr, while national consumption exceeds 10Mt/yr, requiring cement plants to operate at full capacity.

US President Donald Trump threatened tariffs on imports from Canada, China, Mexico and the European Union this week. Tariffs to Canada and Mexico were announced on 1 February 2025 and then paused for a month to allow for negotiations. Ones to China have been implemented. Tariffs to the European Union have been proposed but nothing has happened yet. What does this mean for the cement sector?

Graph 1: Imports of cement and clinker to the US. Source: USGS. Estimated data for 2024.

The data suggests that whacking 25% tariffs on cement imports from Canada and Mexico would have an impact. The US imported 26.5Mt of cement and clinker in 2023. Based on United States Geological Survey (USGS) data from January to October 2024, imports in 2024 have fallen by 8% year-on-year but they still represent a large chunk of consumption. Türkiye has been the biggest source of imports over the last five years but Canada has been the second biggest supplier. Together with Mexico, it provided over a quarter of imports in 2023. A similar share is expected in 2024. Greece, a country in the EU, has also been present in the top five importing countries to the US during this time.

The Portland Cement Association (PCA) reinforced this view. In a carefully worded statement it took pains to point out alignment with the intentions behind the tariffs, such as appreciating that the administration was open to negotiation and appeared to be flexible. However, it warned that the moves could adversely affect energy and national security, delay infrastructure projects and raise costs. It pointed out the import share from Canada and Mexico, adding that this represented nearly 7% of the US’ cement consumption. It noted which states were the main entry points for cement imports from the two countries. Finally, it highlighted the high level of consumption (36%) that imports from Canada might account for in northern states such as New York, Washington and so on. Meanwhile, Mexico’s National Chamber of Cement (CANACEM) warned that the proposed actions might trigger a ‘competitiveness crisis’ in the US.

Holcim’s CEO, by contrast, nonchalantly told Reuters that he didn’t expect any impact by tariffs on his business. Miljan Gutovic described the group’s US operations as a local business with production happening in the country and equipment and spare parts all being sourced locally. This optimistic view is likely to be influenced by the company’s impending spin-off of its US business. The listing in the US remains scheduled for the first half of 2025 with no complications expected from tariffs.

Clearly, implementing tariffs on imports of cement and clinker from Canada and Mexico could cause a shortage in the US in the short term. This, in turn, could lead to higher prices for consumers in the US. This potential effect would be pronounced in border regions that are reliant on imports. It is worth noting that a number of production lines in both Mexico and Canada have previously been mobilised to meet the export market to the US. These lines would likely be mothballed if tariffs were to be implemented, unless they could find other markets. In the medium term though, as the World Cement Association (WCA) pointed out this week, the world produces too much cement. So it looks likely that the US cement market would adjust to a new equilibrium. Taxing imports from the EU would have a similar effect. Although it seems like it would be less pronounced for the US cement market unless it was in conjunction with tariffs to Canada and Mexico. It would certainly be bad news for cement producers in Greece.

Cement producers in the US look set to benefit from tariffs as demand for their products and prices could increase. There is a risk that too sudden a change to the import market could cause adverse market effects through shortages. Many of these companies are multinational groups with headquarters in foreign countries. However, the strength of the US market compared to elsewhere has prompted some of these businesses to become more ‘American’ through listing in the US or focusing merger and acquisition activity in North America.

At this point we’re stuck in a half-way house place where import tariffs have been threatened and negotiations are pending. The relatively muted stock market reaction to the tariffs and Trump’s swiftness in enacting pauses suggest that it is brinkmanship by the US administration. If this situation continues for any length of time then it will likely have an effect all of its own. In which case don’t expect any export-focused investment by cement companies in Canada and Mexico any time soon.