Displaying items by tag: inflation
Rising Vicat sales fail to stop earnings slide
15 February 2023France: Vicat’s full year results for 2022 show a 16.6% year-on-year rise in consolidated sales, from Euro3.12bn to Euro3.12bn. Its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBIDTA) came to Euro570m, a 7.9% fall compared to Euro619m in 2021. Its net income for 2022 was Euro156m, a fall of 23.6% year-on-year from Euro204m in 2021.
Commenting on these figures, Guy Sidos, the Group’s chair and chief executive officer, said “In 2022, the Vicat Group demonstrated resilience amid tough conditions. Faced with an unfavourable basis of comparison as a result of the sharp post-Covid rebound in business trends during 2021, a very strong increase in energy costs and non-recurring industrial costs in the US, France and India, we responded rapidly, raising our selling prices significantly across almost all the markets in which we operate to offset the impact of inflation. We have made progress with our policy of lowering our greenhouse gas emissions by harnessing existing solutions and investing in technologies that will enable us to reach our new 2030 targets.”
James Hardie results blown back by headwinds
15 February 2023Australia: Rampant inflation, restructuring costs and a softening US housing market have been blamed for a third earnings downgrade at building materials group James Hardie. The company’s new chief executive officer Aaron Erter has also warned of ongoing challenges for the business in Australia, where the housing boom is grinding to a halt in the face of surging interest rates and the end of the federal government’s HomeBuilder stimulus.
James Hardie reported an adjusted net income of US$129.2m in the three months to December 2022, down by 16% year-on-year from the same quarter of 2021. Global net sales of its fibre cement and cladding products were down 4% during the quarter, at US$860.8m, driven down by falling sales volumes in its largest market in the US, as well as in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region.
More widely, price increases partially offset an 11% decline in global sales volumes across James Hardie’s entire range of business lines. The challenging conditions led to full-year earnings guidance for the 12 months to 31 March 2023 being cut for a third time, to US$600 - 620m, in line with the prior fiscal year.
Pakistan: Lucky Cement recorded sales of US$876m in the first half of its 2023 financial year, up by 42% year-on-year from US$616m in the first half of the 2022 financial year. It sold 3.57Mt of cement and clinker, down by 24% year-on-year from 4.7Mt. The producer's costs rose by 50% to US$585m from US$391m. It recorded a profit of US$73.1m, up by 6.8% from US$68.4m.
During the half-year period, total national cement sales dropped by 17% year-on-year to 20Mt, while Pakistan's cement exports fell by 49% to 1.7Mt. The aftermath of flooding, high interest rates, inflation and cost of goods and cuts to government spending all impacted the domestic cement market, while 'global recessionary trends' cut into exports, according to Lucky Cement.
Lucky Cement holds a 15% share in the Pakistan market and a 34% share in the export market.
Brazilian cement sales fall in 2022
18 January 2023Brazil: Data from the Brazilian National Cement Industry Association (SNIC) shows that sales of cement fell by 3% year-on-year to 63.1Mt in 2022 from 64.4Mt in 2021. Sales fell in the Nordeste, Sudeste and Sui regions but grew elsewhere. Exports declined by 14% to 0.40Mt from 0.47Mt. SNIC has blamed the falling sales on a declining real estate sector, high inflation rates and a poor response from a new house-building campaign. It also attributed the Football World Cup in late 2022 as having a detrimental effect on national cement sales! SNIC forecasts sales growth of 1% in 2023 despite considerable market uncertainty.
Steppe Cement grows full-year sales in 2022
13 January 2023Kazakhstan: Steppe Cement's full-year sales were US$86.5m during 2022, up by 11% year-on-year from 2021 levels. This came about despite a 1.2% year-on-year drop in its cement volumes. The producer also overcame high inflation, which reached 20% year-on-year in Kazakhstan in December 2022.
Steppe Cement said "We continue our capital expenditure programme to increase our production capacity of clinker and cement by mid-2023, as well as to reduce power and coal consumption."
Dalmia Bharat increases income as earnings drop in first half of 2023 financial year
03 November 2022India: Dalmia Bharat sold 12Mt of cement during the first half of its 2023 financial year, up by 20% year-on-year from 10Mt in the first half of the 2022 financial year. Its income was US$757m, up by 21% year-on-year from US$624m. Meanwhile, the company's earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) fell by 28% to US$116m from US$161m. The company noted the growth effects of 'fuel price corrections' during the second quarter of 2022, which it expects to increase its profitability during the second half of year.
Managing director and CEO Punit Dalmia said “We are pleased with the performance of the first half of this year despite the intense inflationary environment, and are confident that we will be among the best in the industry, leaving the bad times behind. While the geopolitical turmoil continues, we are confident in the resilience of the Indian economy, which is further cementing its position at the centre of global growth and consumption.” Dalmia continued “In view of the government's continued momentum in the infrastructure sector, driven by the revitalisation of the housing sector, we expect the demand for cement to grow rapidly. Looking ahead, we will remain focused on our capacity expansion progress.”
Dalmia Bharat's 14 integrated cement and grinding plants span 10 Indian states and have a capacity of 37Mt/yr, India's fourth largest.
US: Martin Marietta Materials recorded revenues of US$4.68bn throughout the first nine months of 2022, up by 20% year-on-year from US$3.92bn. Cement sales contributed US$455m, 9.7% of total revenues, up by 27% from US$358m. Cost of revenues rose by 4% for the group, to US$3.62bn from US$2.92bn. Nonetheless, Martin Marietta Materials successfully recorded nine-month net earnings growth of 25% year-on-year, to US$638m from US$546m.
Chair and CEO Ward Nye said that double-digit price growth drove the company's record profitability. He said "Importantly, we expect a return to expanding margins in the fourth quarter of 2022, as the compounding effect of multiple pricing actions throughout the year offsets continued inflationary pressure and a slowdown in single-family residential construction. Martin Marietta's strategic coast-to-coast footprint is well positioned for long-term growth, driven by favourable population migration trends, housing shortages in our markets and a long-term federal highway bill complemented by healthy Department of Transportation budgets in the company's key states. Near-term, we expect affordability-driven headwinds in the single-family residential end market will be offset by a significant acceleration in public infrastructure investment and continued strength in large-scale energy, domestic manufacturing and multi-family residential projects."
Spain: Cementos Molins' consolidated sales were Euro959m over the first nine months of 2022, up by 37% year-on-year from the same period in 2021. Cementos Molins attributed the growth to an increase in sales across all of its businesses and the 'significant' contribution of new acquisitions from 2021. Its earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) rose by 11% to Euro208m, while its net profit rose by 3% to Euro90m. The group noted a 'strong performance' by its South American and Asian business. In general, it faced high costs growth, offset partly by increased product prices and the effects of its successful operational efficiency plans. Costs rose especially sharply in Spain, leading to margins deterioration there, while the impacts of hyperinflation in Argentina were lower than in the corresponding period of 2019.
Cementos Molins' net debt continued to decline throughout the period, to reach Euro137m, 0.5x its EBITDA. The group said that its financial position will give it leverage in its execution of new growth opportunities and its 2030 sustainability roadmap.
Regarding the company's third-quarter 2022 performance, chief executive officer Julio Rodríguez said "Despite a very challenging and uncertain global environment and the negative impact of high inflation costs, once again Cementos Molins has delivered very solid results in the third quarter. This performance is the outcome of the contribution of a very professional and committed team worldwide, whom I would like to thank for their big effort in such a difficult environment."
Update on Kenya, September 2022
28 September 2022Nigerian billionaire Aliko Dangote was spotted attending the inauguration ceremony of Kenyan President William Ruto earlier in September 2022. This is relevant because Dangote’s cement company previously announced plans in 2016 to build two 1.5Mt/yr plants in Kenya, near Nairobi and Mombasa respectively. They were intended to become operational by 2021. Unfortunately, Dangote himself allegedly described Kenya as being more corrupt than Nigeria to Kenyan broadcast journalist Jeff Koinange a few years later and nothing more happened. Back in 2014 Ruto visited Dangote Cement’s Obajana plant in Kogi state in Nigeria when the politician was the Deputy President of Kenya. Dangote’s attendance at the presidential inauguration this month suggests at the very least that his relationship with Ruto remains active. Maybe more news on those planned plants will follow.
Graph 1: Cement in Kenya, 2018 – June 2022. Source: Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS).
The reason why the owner of Africa’s largest cement company might be interested in the Kenyan market can be seen in its latest cement production figures. Data from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) shows that production for the first half of 2022 grew by 20% year-on-year to 4.95Mt in the first half of 2022, from 4.12Mt in the same period in 2021. Cement production was broadly similar in 2018 and 2019 at around 6Mt. It then increased by 25% to 9.25Mt in 2021 from 7.41Mt in 2020. On a rolling annual basis, production picked up at the start of 2020 and has risen consistently since then each month, peaking at over 10Mt in May 2022.
However, the elections in August 2022 probably slowed this growth trend, despite being much more peaceful than those in 2007, although the KNBS is yet to release the data. Bamburi Cement said in its outlook for the second half of 2022 that it expected markets to recover after the ballot. The subsidiary of Holcim reported increasing turnover in the first half of 2022, due to mounting sales volumes and price rises, but its profit fell sharply. It blamed this on fuel and logistics inflation, growing clinker import costs as well as negative currency exchange effects.
That last point about imported clinker is worth noting given that a government report in late 2021 found that the country had a clinker shortage of up to 3.3Mt/yr. Yet, the KNBS data in recent years shows that cement production and consumption are broadly similar, suggesting that the shortfall in clinker is being imported. The report added that 59% of the imported clinker originated from Egypt, tariff free, due to a free trade agreement. Local producers were reported to have been operating at a 65% capacity utilisation rate. Egypt and the UAE accounted for most of the imported clinker followed by Saudi Arabia. An interview in the Standard newspaper at this time with Bamburi Cement’s managing director Seddiq Hassani revealed that, despite locally produced clinker being cheaper than imported clinker, some producers were reluctant to hand control of a key input material over to their local competitors. Other producers, predictably, were trying to persuade the government to raise the duty on imports of clinker from 10% to 25%. Tariff discussions have continued in 2022.
So far in 2022 the other big stories in the sector have included Bamburi Cement’s plans to build two solar power plants and a major repair to the kiln shell at East Africa Portland Cement’s (EAPCC) Athi River cement plant. The solar plants will be built next to Bamburi Cement’s integrated Mombasa plant and its Nairobi grinding plant. Once operational in 2023 they are anticipated to supply up to 40% of the cement producer’s total power supply. Devki Group, the owner of National Cement, also announced plans in August 2022 to set up a wind farm near Mombasa. However, this seems more like an attempt to diversify the group into electricity production rather than to supply its own plant near Nairobi. EAPCC’s upgrade project has completed this week after about a month and half of work. It is intended to increase the plant’s cement production by 50%.
Cement production started in rise in 2020 but the Covid-19 pandemic may have constrained this. Production (and consumption) then jumped up in 2021 and looks set to do similar in 2022 bar a possible blip from the elections in August 2022. This is despite the global market issues arising from the end of Covid-19 and the war in Ukraine. These may be uncertain times but the fundamentals for the Kenyan cement market look positive despite rising end prices. Unsurprisingly, it looks likely that Dangote Cement remains keen to extend its business to Kenya.
Adbri feels inflation bite at Kwinana project
22 August 2022Australia: Adbri has reported that the ongoing upgrade at its Kwinana cement plant, previously estimated to cost US$137m, is now likely to cost closer to US$157m. It cited inflation and supply chain issues as the main reasons behind the 15% increase to the cost of the project, which seeks to combine its Western Australia operations at a single site, while raising its capacity by 36% to 1.5Mt/yr. The company said the upgrade was about 25% compete as at 30 June 2022, while procurement was about 75% committed. It is scheduled for commissioning in mid 2023.
Elsewhere, Adbri has also said that its definitive feasibility study for a Kalgoorlie lime kiln is on track for completion in the first half of 2023. The study includes mine planning and front-end engineering design.