China: On 5 March 2012 Premier Wen Jiabao lowered China's growth target for 2012 to 7.5% from 8%, signalling Beijing's determination to manage a 'soft landing' to moderate its runaway economic expansion. The slowdown will likely hit China's construction sector, which accounts for most of China's rampant cement consumption. China exported only 10.6Mt/yr of cement in 2011, just 1.1% of national output. The worries over China's plans are affecting certainty in all major materials markets.
Credit Suisse described China's more moderate growth target as 'acceptance of slower medium-term growth.' It also said that infrastructure spending was on a downward trend due to the completion of many large highway, railway and airport projects.
Despite this, Guo Wensan the chairman of China's largest cement producer Anhui Conch, has announced that demand for cement remains strong in China. He said that the government's drive to push the construction of subsidised affordable housing is successfully offsetting declining cement demand from the private housing market.
Guo said that cement demand from the 10 million affordable housing units started in 2011 will peak from the second quarter of 2012 onwards. "This year there will be another 7 million public housing starts, so we remain confident," he said. Guo added that the cement industry has benefited from consolidation since the start of 2011, which has seen the removal of older, inefficient kilns and the closure of some companies.
