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Climate activist Greta Thunberg memorably summarised the outcome of the 2021 United Nations (UN) Climate Change Conference (COP26) as “blah, blah, blah” but what did it mean for the cement and concrete industries?

Making sense of the diplomatic language the UN uses is a full time job due to its impenetrable jargon. This is partly why climate activists and others may have become jaded about the outcome of the world’s biggest climate change jamboree. The conference of the parties (COP) tried desperately to hang on to the 1.5°C warming aim set at the Paris event (COP21) in 2015. This is dependent though on countries sticking to their 2030 targets and becoming net-zero by 2050 or earlier. Unfortunately, both China and India, two of the world’s current top three CO₂ emitters, have announced net-zero dates of after 2050. Those two countries also drew fire in the western press for weakening the language used in the COP’s outcome document about the ‘phasing out’ or ‘phasing down’ of coal use. However, simply getting coal written on the final agreement has been viewed as a result. Other positive outcomes from the event included commitments for countries to review their 2030 targets in 2022, progress towards coordinating carbon trading markets around the world and work on adaptation finance from developed countries to developing ones.

The headline results from COP26 carry mixed implications for the building materials sector. The Paris agreement (COP21) has already achieved an effect in the run-up to COP26 by prompting the cement and concrete industries to release a roadmap from the Global Cement and Concrete Association (GCCA) in October 2021. Now it’s down to whether individual governments actually follow the targets and how they enforce it if they do. If they don’t, then the response from building material producers is likely to be mixed at best.

What may have a more tangible effect is the work on carbon markets at COP26. Countries were finally able to complete technical negotiations on the ‘Paris Agreement Rulebook,’ notably including work on Article 6, the section that helps to govern international carbon markets and allows for a global carbon offsetting mechanism. The European Union (EU) Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) has shown over the last year how a high carbon price may be able to stimulate companies to invest in mitigation measures such as upping alternative fuels substitution rates and developing carbon capture and storage/utilisation projects. Critics would argue that it may simply be offshoring cement production and closing local plants unnecessarily. Making a more global carbon trading scheme work amplifies both these gains and risks. Either way though, having an international framework to build upon is a major development. Finally, work on adaptation finance could have an effect for cement producers if the money actually makes it to its destination. The big example of this announced at COP26 was a US$8.5bn fund to help South Africa reduce its use of coal. It is mainly targeted at power generation but local cement producers, as a major secondary user of coal, are likely to be affected too.

Alongside the big announcements from COP26 lots of countries and companies, including ones in the cement sector, announced many sustainability plans. One of these included the launch of the Industrial Deep Decarbonisation Initiative (IDDI) during COP26 by the governments of the UK, India, Germany, Canada and the UAE. This scheme intends to create new markets for low carbon concrete and steel to help decarbonise heavy industry. To do this it will disclose the embodied carbon of major public construction projects by 2025, aim to reach net zero in major public construction steel and concrete by 2050, and work on an emissions reduction target for 2030 which will be announced in 2022. Other goals include setting up reporting standards, product standards, procurement guidelines and a free or low-cost certification service by 2023.

All of this suggests that the pressure remains on for the cement and concrete sector to decarbonise, provided that the governments stick to their targets and pledges, and back it up with action. If they do, then the industry will remind legislators of the necessity of essential infrastructure and then continue to ask for financial aid to support the development and uptake of low carbon cements, carbon capture and whatever else. Further adoption of carbon markets around the world and global rules on carbon leakage could help to accelerate this process, as could adaptation finance and global standards for low carbon concrete. The next year will be critical to see if the 1.5°C target survives and the next decade will be crucial to see if global gross cement-related CO₂ emissions will actually peak. If they do then it will be a case of ‘hip hip hurrah’ rather than ‘blah blah blah’.

World: The governments of Canada, Germany, India, the UAE and the UK have signed a commitment to support the development of markets for low-carbon cement and concrete in their countries. The governments will create market incentives for purchasers, review and update product standards to allow low-carbon materials to be used in all safe settings and promote their use through their public sector tendering rules.

World Cement Association (WCA) chief executive officer Ian Riley said “I’m delighted to see that governments are heeding our call for urgent action to accelerate decarbonisation of the cement industry around the world, and we look forward to hearing more details from the UK, India, Germany, Canada and UAE on the steps they will take.” He added “This commitment marks a hugely significant shift in mindset that we hope will be followed by other countries in the months ahead. When it comes to hard-to-abate industries like cement, it is vital to work together with governments to create the conditions in which we can get to net zero and beyond, as quickly as possible. We cannot do this alone in time.”

Kenya: A report by the National Independent Clinker Verification Committee has found that the country has a clinker shortage of up to 3.3Mt/yr. It added that 59% of the imported clinker to compensate for this originates from Egypt without any tariffs, according to the East African newspaper. The committee was originally set up by the government in response to lobbying from industry to increase the duty on imported clinker to 25% from 10% at present. However, the committee also reported that Egypt has benefited from a free trade agreement. Local producers are divided against the proposal to raise tariffs on clinker as some of them reply on imports.

The report found that 3.8Mt of clinker was produced locally in 2020 against a demand of 5.3Mt. Local producers were reported to have been operating at a 65% capacity utilisation rate. Egypt and the UAE accounted for 92% of all clinker imports with a further 7% supplied by Saudi Arabia.

India: JK Cement has successfully completed an upgrade of Line 3 of its Nimbahera, Rajasthan, cement plant. The upgraded line has a 30% expanded capacity of 6500t/day, compared to 5000t/day previously.

The plant produces some cement for export to countries including Bahrain, the UAE, Nigeria, South Africa and Tanzania.

Raysut Cement Company (RCC) announced this week that it is preparing to commission its Duqm grinding plant in late 2021. It follows the news from earlier in September 2021 than Oman Cement Company (OCC) is planning to build a new clinker production line at its Rusayl cement plant.

First some detail on the RCC project. The new US$30m unit will have a production capacity of 1Mt/yr, bringing the company’s total cement production capacity to 7.4Mt/yr. As part of the development process, RCC signed a land lease and Port of Terminal services agreement with the Port of Duqm Company. The new grinding unit is also intended to complement RCC’s expansion and new investments and acquisitions in Oman, Asia and East Africa.

Other relatively recent RCC news include, in 2019, its acquisition of Sohar Cement Company in Oman for US$60m, the announcement of plans to build a new 1.2Mt/yr integrated plant in Georgia for US$200 and a joint-venture deal to establish a 1Mt/yr grinding plant in Somaliland for US$40m. Then in 2020 it obtained a 75% stake in a cement terminal in the Maldives owned by subsidiaries of Holcim, and a project to build a 0.75Mt/yr grinding plant in Toamasina, Madagascar, for US$30m was detailed in the local press. More recently in 2021, China-based Sinoma started building a waste heat recovery (WHR) unit at RCC’s Salalah cement plant, RCC gained certification for some of its cement products for export to the European Union, and the Competition Authority of Kenya granted RCC permission to sell a majority stake in its East African based business.

OCC’s upgrade to its Rusayl cement plant will see it add a new production line and increase the capacity of one of the existing lines. Overall the project will increase the unit’s nominal clinker production capacity to 15,000t/day from 8700t/day at present by adding a new 10,000t/day line and increasing the current Line 3 to 4000t/day from 2700t/day at present. Lines 1 and 2, at 2000t/day and 2700t/day, will then be decommissioned after the new line starts operation. OCC says that the new line, when built, will be the biggest in the country. Scant detail has been released beyond the main vision but the company says it wants to focus on low power consumption, consider using a waste heat recovery unit, increase its fuel efficiency, use alternative fuels and adhere to ‘best’ environmental standards. It has hired PEG Resources, a Switzerland-based engineering consultancy, to conduct a technical study, tendering and contracting as well as supervision of the project execution. The company had also been working towards building a new integrated plant at Duqm. However, this project was put on hold in the first quarter of 2021 pending confirmation of fuel availability and as the Rusayl upgrade took priority.

The Omani cement sector is dominated by OCC and RCC since they own the biggest plants and they have consolidated this by buying competitors and building new plants. Both companies suffered from reduced sales year-on-year in 2019 due to imports from the neighbouring UAE. The government duly implemented anti-dumping measures in 2020 and company revenues recovered that year. However, the coronavirus pandemic then hit, leading to losses at RCC in 2020 although the situation appears to have improved for the company in the first half of 2021. OCC reported continued ‘intense’ price competition between local producers and importers in the same period.

OCC is majority owned by the government via an investment fund. As the recent announcement shows, it has decided to focus on building production capacity domestically. This week’s launch of its Al Burj Cement as a distinctive local product looks like another part of this approach. However, as Bloomberg reported in May 2021, the government was considering selling its stake in the producer and had been in discussions with financial advisors on the matter. By contrast, RCC’s biggest shareholder at the end of 2020 was the Abu Dhabi Fund for Development, with a 15% share. RCC has taken a more international approach, operating an integrated plant in the UAE and focusing on trading and grinding cement around the Arabian and African parts of the Indian Ocean.

Similar to other Gulf States, the building materials markets in Oman are dominated by government spending and the price of oil. Market forecasts predict recovery in the building materials markets in 2021 but in the longer term growth depends on general economic diversification. Oman, like its neighbours, is trying to do this. In this context it is instructive to see that OCC and RCC are pursuing different business strategies.

India: Dubai-based Synergy Metals has made an offer and sought the permission of the Competition Commission of India to acquire a minority stake in JSW Group subsidiary JSW Cement. The New Indian Express has reported that JSW Group is seeking to reduce its stake ahead of an initial public offer (IPO) for the producer. The company is valued at over US$2.0bn and is seeking to sell US$200m-worth of stakes.

Kenya: Nairobi Business Ventures (NBV) says it intends to buy 11.33 hectares of land in Machakos, near Nairobi, from its subsidiary Shreeji Enterprises Kenya to build a new cement grinding plant. It plans to invest US$140m in the project according to the Business Daily newspaper. A feasibility study for the construction of the plant has been concluded and the preliminary work to establish the plant is currently being conducted.

The former shoe manufacturer announced plans in late 2020 to build a 1Mt/yr cement plant following its acquisition by UAE-based Delta International Holding. The project will run as a grinding unit first before moving to clinker production at a later stage. The company also plans to diversify into vehicle and aircraft maintenance.

Kenya: Nairobi Business Ventures has shared plans for the establishment of a 1.0Mt/yr-capacity integrated cement plant following its 84% acquisition by UAE-based Delta International Holdings. Arab Finance News has reported that the former footwear producer is in the process of selecting a location for its upcoming plant and securing a source of clinker imports for the plant’s preliminary grinding-only phase.

Delta International Holdings is the owner of real estate company Delta Holdings Kenya, Shreeji Chemicals Kenya and Shreeji Glass Uganda.

Oman: Construction companies have reported delays to several projects resulting from a cement shortage that begun on 21 March 2020. Al-Watan newspaper has reported that most of the affected works are residential. The reason for the shortage is the suspension of cement imports from UAE from mid-March 2020.

Mexico: Cemex has added responsibility for the Philippines, Israel, Egypt and the UAE to Sergio Mauricio Menendez Medina with his appointment as the president of Cemex Europe, Middle East, Africa & Asia (EMEAA). He will continue to remain the president for Cemex in Europe

Jesus Vicente Gonzalez Herrera, current president for Cemex in South, Central America and the Caribbean (SCAC), will also oversee Cemex’s Global Trading activities, in addition to his current responsibilities.