Displaying items by tag: Semen Indonesia

Indonesia: Semen Indonesia Group has focused on the domestic cement market in the first half of 2022 due to the better availability of coal supplies. Its revenue fell by 2.1% year-on-year to US$1.07bn in the first half of 2022 from US$1.09bn in the same period in 2021. Its earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) remained stable at US$237m. Overall sales volumes of cement dropped by 12% to 17Mt from 19.3Mt. However, domestic sales volumes fell by 2.6% to 14Mt but overseas sales fell by 39% to 3Mt. The group also raised its prices twice in the reporting period to further shore up revenue.

Switzerland: Indonesian citizens of Pulau Pari have launched a legal case against Holcim in Switzerland for its contribution to climate change. Holcim operated in Indonesia from 1971 through its subsidiary Holcim Indonesia, which Semen Indonesia acquired from the group in 2019. Pulau Pari faces increased climate change-induced flooding, including two floods in 2020. Four residents have launched the present case against Holcim for damages, funding for flood defences and positive measures towards further group CO₂ emissions reduction. Indonesia-based environmental organisation Walhi, Swiss Church Aid (HEKS) and the European Center for Constitutional and Human Rights (ECCHR) are supporting the case.

Holcim agreed to sell its Indian assets to Adani Group this week for US$6.37bn. These include Holcim’s stakes in its local subsidiaries Ambuja Cement and ACC. The deal, if approved by the local competition body, should complete in the second half of 2022. This is one of the larger sales of cement company assets over the last decade. Adani Group, an Indian-based conglomerate with businesses across energy, transport and more, is now poised to become the second largest cement producer in India.

Global Cement Weekly previously covered a potential sale of Ambuja Cement and ACC in April 2022 when the story that Holcim was looking for a buyer first emerged in the Indian press. At the time local press speculated that the sale could generate as much as US$15bn for Holcim. So it is interesting to see that a figure of US$6.37bn has been agreed upon instead, less than half of the speculative figure. Roughly, as ever, this places a value of a little below US$100/t of cement production capacity. This seems like a relatively low pricing for these plants by international standards over the last decade. However, this doesn’t take into account many factors such as, for example, the condition of the plants, Holcim’s desire to change its business, the ease of selling up in India all in one go, other non-cement assets and so on. For Adani Group though, buying into heavy building materials production in a large market like India clearly seemed attractive. It is also worth noting that, similar to other cement sector acquisitions recently, here again is a buyer with a background in another carbon-heavy industry buying into another heavy emitter.

Table 1: Selected large scale acquisitions of controlling shares in non-Chinese cement production assets since 2012. Source: Global Cement news and company releases. Italcementi acquisition value reported by Reuters.

Table 1 above provides some historical context to Adani Group’s agreed acquisition by comparing it to other large completed deals in the cement sector over the last decade. Don’t forget that it is only looking at this from the cement sector. This list excludes changes in ownership in the Chinese cement companies in this period because, generally, there has been a government-driven consolidation in the industry through mergers rather than large-scale acquisitions. So, for example, the world’s current biggest cement producer CNBM had a reported production capacity of 350Mt/yr in 2012 and this rose to 514Mt/yr in 2020 as it absorbed other state-owned companies. The big merger it underwent during this time was with China National Materials (Sinoma) in 2018, primarily an engineering company that also produced cement.

The most obvious trend in Table 1 is the journey of Lafarge and Holcim from their merger in 2015 and the gradual realignment of the business subsequently. During this time the company has sold up in large markets outside of its core regions in Europe and North America. Latterly, it has also started to diversify away from heavy into lightweight building materials. One notable ‘nearly happened’ was LafargeHolcim’s attempt to sell its business in the Philippines to San Miguel Corporation for US$2.15bn in 2019. That deal collapsed when the Philippines Competition Authority failed to approve it within a year of its proposal. CRH enlarged itself from assets sold during the creation of LafargeHolcim and then picked up Ash Grove in the US in 2018. CRH’s head Albert Manifold memorably said in 2018 that his company was focusing on markets in developed countries and CRH’s large-scale acquisitions have largely followed this.

As for the others, HeidelbergCement’s purchase of Italcementi in 2016 almost appeared as a riposte to the formation of LafargeHolcim, albeit on a slightly smaller scale. It confirmed HeidelbergCement’s place as the world’s second largest non-Chinese cement producer. It is also one of the minority of truly multinational acquisitions on this list. Unlike LafargeHolcim and now Holcim though, HeidelbergCement hasn’t exhibited a desire to downsize or diversify at quite the same speed. UltraTech Cement’s acquisition of Jaiprakash Associates in 2017 confirmed its place as the largest Indian producer. That deal was publicly one of the longer lasting one as it originally started out in at least 2014 on a smaller scale and was later slowed down by the Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) (MMDR) Amendment Act. Smikon’s purchase of Eurocement in 2021 almost looks like part of the isolation of the Russian economy, especially with the benefit of hindsight given by the invasion of the Ukraine in early 2022.

Mega-deals have lots of moving parts but two of the most tangible to broader audiences are the price and the timing. Cemex infamously got both of these wrong with its acquisition of Rinker in 2007 as it paid high just as the US subprime mortgage crisis started a wider global financial one. This was despite Cemex’s emergence over the previous 15 years as a multinational force to be reckoned with due in part to the so-called ‘Cemex Way’ approach to management, acquisitions and integration. Clear winners from the big acquisitions over the last decade are harder to spot but CRH and UltraTech Cement look strong so far. Adani Group has certainly picked a lively time to make a purchase on this scale following a global pandemic with ongoing global supply chain issues and disruptions to energy and food markets.

Indonesia: Donny Arsal, the chief executive officer of Semen Indonesia, has told the government that the ongoing war in Ukraine has negatively affected supplies of coal and kraft paper to the cement industry.

The head of the state-owned company said that the international price of coal had driven local mines to export it rather than sell it locally at capped prices, according to the Jakarta Post newspaper. This had made it more difficult for cement producers to buy coal at the lower price. The Indonesian coal index (HBA) price rose to high of US$288/t in April 2022 following the introduction of international economic sanctions but the local domestic market obligation (DMO) price is US$70/t. Around 160Mt of coal is sold at the capped price. The majority of this goes to power generation and the remaining quarter of this is made available to cement and other industries.

Arsal lobbied the government to clarify its supply policy for DMO. He said that the cement sector needs 16Mt/yr of coal. Semen Indonesia needs about half of this. However, at present, it is only receiving about 63% of its coal requirements at the DMO price.

Arsal also mentioned that imports of kraft paper from Russia had stopped since the war started. Semen Indonesia uses the paper to make cement bags. Most of its kraft is sourced from Russia. The company spends around US$68m/yr on paper. It is now switching to using a woven material instead.

Cement markets have mostly recovered following the shock emergence of coronavirus in 2020. Most of the producers that have released their results so far for 2021 have reported strong boosts to sales revenue and racing earnings as something more like normality resumed. The following roundup covers a selective group of cement companies around the world.

The recovery in 2021 has made the outliers in the companies covered here noteworthy. UltraTech Cement, Semen Indonesia and Dangote Cement are all large regional companies with dominant positions domestically and varying degrees of international spread. As can be seen in Graph 1, UltraTech Cement and Dangote Cement both reported very large increases in sales, over 20% year-on-year. By contrast, Semen Indonesia sales fell very slightly.

Graph 1: Sales revenue from selected cement producers in 2020 and 2021. Source: Company reports. Note: Figures calculated for UltraTech Cement.

One reason for UltraTech Cement and Dangote Cement’s success can be seen in Graph 2 (below). Both companies managed to sell more cement in 2021. Semen Indonesia did not due to Indonesia’s production overcapacity and new competitors. It also blamed a significant rises in coal prices for a 9% drop in its earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA).

UltraTech Cement has been wary of successive waves of coronavirus throughout its 2022 financial year, but generally the Indian regional markets have recovered and government-backed rural housing and infrastructure spending have supported growth. It did note rising coal prices earlier in the year, but these were reported to have somewhat softened during the quarter to 31 December 2021. It is worth noting that the ongoing war in Ukraine is affecting energy markets but more on this at the end of this article. Dangote Cement’s performance was slowed somewhat by the start of coronavirus but it has since resumed its turbo-charged trajectory with volumes, revenue and earnings growth all above 10% in 2021. Mostly this performance is supported by the Nigerian market but the company is doing well internationally too.

Graph 2: Cement sales volumes from selected cement producers in 2019 and 2020. Source: Company reports. Note: Figures calculated for UltraTech Cement.

Holcim and HeidelbergCement’s increase in sales revenue in 2021 are actually fairly similar on a like-for-like basis, both with around 10%. The former’s sales volumes were up across cement, ready-mixed concrete and aggregates in each of its regions around the world, as were sales revenue. Holcim’s big move in 2021 has been the expansion of its Solutions & Products segment with the acquisition of Firestone in April 2021. Now this has continued with the completion of the Malarkey Roofing Products purchase on 1 March 2022, a few days after it released its 2021 results. Chief executive officer Jan Jenisch described the move towards lightweight building materials as generating, “further double-digit growth engines for the company.” As an aside, it was fascinating to see CRH leave the building envelope business this week, mostly based in the US, with an agreement to sell up its division for US$3.8bn to private equity. The business CRH is divesting sells architectural glass, storefront systems, architectural glazing systems and related hardware to customers primarily in North America. CRH is clearly pursuing a different business strategy to Holcim.

HeidelbergCement has also reported a strong year in 2021 albeit without the Holcim razzle-dazzle of barging into new market areas. It noted significant increases in energy prices and pandemic‐related lockdowns in some key markets in Asia. It described a very slight cement sales volume decline in Africa and the Middle East and a drop in earnings in Asia. Its trump cards are its carbon capture projects coming down the pipeline. It’s keen to remind investors about this with the unspoken implication that it might save the company money in the future when carbon taxes bite further.

Both Cemex and Buzzi Unicem followed the growth pattern seen in sales and earnings by the other larger multinational producers covered above. Central and South American markets really took off for Cemex in 2021, starting with its home market in Mexico. However, growth was present, although slower, in both its largest markets in the US and its Europe, Middle East, Africa and Asia region. Notably cement volumes in the Philippines grew by 7% and that’s even with the devastation caused by typhoons at the end of the year taken into account. Similarly, Buzzi Unicem performed well in 2021 due to growth in Italy, the US and Eastern Europe compensating for a small sales decline in Germany. As mentioned in Update on Ukraine, February 2022 Buzzi Unicem has particular exposure to the war in Ukraine as it operates two cement plants in Ukraine and two units in Russia but this is a problem for the 2022 financial year.

To finish on Ukraine, first and foremost, a human tragedy is unfolding. Yet the war also presents many economic challenges to financial markets through sanctions and counter-actions. A recession in Russia looks likely as do energy price surges in the US and Europe leading to further inflation and, perhaps, recessions too. All this potentially lies ahead. For now, the dilemma for US and European-based cement companies and suppliers with operations in Russia is reputational. Should they continue to do business in Russia as public opinion hardens and companies like BP, Shell, Equinor, HSBC and AerCap head for the exit? The Russian government has blocked foreign companies and individuals from selling shares locally but pressure looks set to intensify for such companies to do something.

Indonesia: Semen Indonesia has blamed falling earnings in 2021 on increased competition, production overcapacity and mounting coal prices. Its revenue fell slightly to US$2.43bn. However, its earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) dropped by 9.3% year-on-year to US$572m in 2021 from US$630m in 2020. Its sales volumes were driven by international sales, with domestic sales remaining stable at 32.2Mt. Foreign sales grew by 7.7% to 8.3Mt. Overall sales volumes increased by 1.6% to 40.5Mt from 39.8Mt.

In order to tackle its fuel costs the company says it has increased its use of alternative fuels, both biomass and non-biomass, and is optimising its coal consumption index by maintaining stable coal quality. It has also integrated coal procurement into the group to help better secure competitive pricing, supply and quality.

The story so far for the first half of 2021 has been one of recovery following the coronavirus-related lockdowns in the same period in 2020. Market restrictions ended, production curbs were rescinded and revenue and sales volumes grew.

Many of the larger multinational cement producers have released their financial results and sales revenues show a gap-tooth pattern for the first halves of 2019, 2020 and 2021. Sales for LafargeHolcim, HeidelbergCement and Cemex all took a knock of around 10% from 2019 to 2020. Generally, sales have increased from 2019 to 2021 for the more regional-based companies such as Cemex or Buzzi Unicem. The larger multinational producers like Holcim and HeidelbergCement bounced back from the dip in 2020 but comparisons with the first half of 2019 are less favourable. Like-for-like comparisons between 2019 and 2021 are not available but both companies have been refocusing their portfolios in recent years making it hard to gain a sense of exactly what’s going on. These trends are still ongoing with more speculation in the press this week about which companies are bidding for LafargeHolcim Brasil for example. However, both Holcim and HeidelbergCement did report record earnings or operating incomes in the first half of 2021 suggesting that all the cost cutting in 2020 has paid off. The general market picture was continuing demand in North America, recovery in Europe and Latin America, growth in Africa and the Middle East and growth in Asia despite renewed coronavirus-related uncertainty.

Figure 1: Sales of selected major multinational cement producers in first half of 2021. Source: Company financial reports.

Figure 2: Cement sales volumes of selected major multinational cement producers in first half of 2021. Source: Company financial reports.

Cemex and Buzzi Unicem benefitted from their strong market presences in the Americas and Europe. Cemex was also helped by a particular recovery in Mexico and Latin America. The latter region benefited from the relaxation of strong lockdown measures in many countries implemented in the first half of 2020. Cemex’s investors update event at the end of June 2021 summed up its situation with earnings growth and leverage levels about to hit desired targets, selective investments and divestments on the way, new production capacity round the corner and sustainability goals turning up earlier than expected.

In Africa, Dangote Cement witnessed a switch from growth outside of Nigeria to a spurt of domestic demand for cement from mid-2020 onwards. This temporarily caused the company problems earlier in 2021 when it was forced to suspend its newly started export operations to Cameroon from its Onne and Apapa terminals. The reactivation of its previously mothballed 4.5Mt/yr Gboko plant in Benue State and an upcoming 3Mt/yr plant at Okpella in Edo state seem to have soothed the demand rush for now. Clinker exports have been resumed.

India meanwhile faced a second wave of its coronavirus epidemic in the spring of 2021. UltraTech Cement acknowledged this in its latest financial results, for the quarter to 30 June 2021. It reported that this had ‘marginally’ impacted cement demand but that the company was still monitoring the impact of the health situation upon its operations. Despite this, revenue and sales volumes of cement still grew significantly year-on-year in both the quarter and the first half of 2021. UltraTech Cement’s wariness about the health situation chimed with recent comments by Roongrote Rangsiyopash, the head of Siam Cement Group (SCG), who told local press in Thailand that current coronavirus restrictions in the country had reduced cement demand by 20%.

Finally, Semen Indonesia reported growing revenue, sales volumes of cement and earnings in the first half of 2021. Its financial results had little to say about the local coronavirus situation other than that it had reduced domestic demand growth and worsened production overcapacity. National cement production reached 115Mt in 2020 but local demand was only 62.7Mt. Unsurprisingly, exports reached their highest level ever, at 9.3Mt, in 2020.

As ever this is a very selective view of cement producer financial results. Larger multinationals like CRH or Votorantim are yet to release their results and likewise for the big Chinese producers. Recovery and growth seems to be the likely outcome for most of them though. However, the effects of recent coronavirus outbreaks in Asia have shown up in some of the results covered above. This suggests that the second half of 2021 for building materials manufacturers may be characterised by which countries are better able to suppress coronavirus either through mass vaccination or other public health measures. Buzzi Unicem summed it up it in its half year results: “The rapid progress of vaccination campaigns was matched by a clear recovery in economic activity.”

Indonesia: Semen Indonesia’s revenue grew by 1.2% to US$1.13bn in the first half of 2021 from US$1.12bn in the same period in 2020. Its sales volumes of clinker and cement rose by 5.7% to 19.2Mt from 18.1Mt. Earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) increased by 2.1% to US$247m from US$242m. The state-owned cement producer said that sales volumes were supported by growing domestic sales volumes and improving exports. It added that the national cement production capacity utilisation rate had fallen to 56% in 2020 from a high of 82% in 2014 due to new cement plants being built and a drop in domestic demand growth due to the coronavirus pandemic in 2020.

Indonesia: Semen Indonesia has detailed its plans for future exports of cement to North America. The Investor Daily newspaper has reported that the producer and subsidiary Solusi Bangun Indonesia will target 0.5 – 1Mt of cement exports to North America in 2021, according to president director Hendi Santoso. The export plans will be carried out in partnership with Japan-based Taiheiyo Cement, which already has a US market presence and owns a 15% stake in Solusi Bangun Indonesia. Hendi said that the move aims to ‘cushion’ the decline in domestic cement sales, down by 28% bulk and 13% bagged year-on-year in 2020. The company successfully exported cement to Australia, Bangladesh, China, Fiji and Sri Lanka in 2020.

President commissioner Rudi Antara said, "The Covid-19 outbreak still colours our lives. There is no other choice but to increase business efficiency and the top line outside of our main markets."

LafargeHolcim’s financial results for 2020 arrived this week, giving us data on many of the larger multinational cement producers. The Chinese ones are yet to release their results and some of the larger other ones such as CRH, Votorantim and InterCement are pending too. Yet, what we have so far gives a selective view on an unusual year. Revenue was down for most producers year-on-year in 2020 due to the effects of the coronavirus pandemic upon construction activity and demand for building materials. There were large regional differences between how countries implemented different lockdowns, how markets responded and how they bounced back afterwards. Generally, the financial effects of this were felt in the first half of 2020 with recovery in the second.

Graph 1: Sales revenue from selected cement producers in 2019 and 2020. Source: Company reports. Note: Figures calculated for Indian producers.

Graph 2: Cement sales volumes from selected cement producers in 2019 and 2020. Source: Company reports. Note: Figures calculated for Indian producers.

LafargeHolcim’s figure in Graph 1 above is a little misleading given that it has divested assets. Its like-for-like reduction in net sales was more like 6%, a similar figure to HeidelbergCement’s. Both experienced mixed results in North America and Europe but not terribly so. LafargeHolcim did relatively well in Latin America. HeidelbergCement found growth in its Africa-Eastern Mediterranean Basin region. It’s also worth noting the comparative leverage of each company: 1.4x for LafargeHolcim and 1.86x for HeidelbergCement. Both are slimming down but the latter’s ongoing divestment plan (see GCW 494) can be seen in the context of its debt to earnings ratio and the cash crisis that coronavirus threw up in 2020.

The contrast between these companies and Cemex and Buzzi Unicem is striking. Both of these benefitted from operations in the North America and parts of Europe. In Cemex’s case sales in Mexico and the US, made the difference despite falling sales elsewhere. Buzzi Unicem’s sales also held up in the US especially in the second half of the year. Europe was more mixed for both producers with growth reported in Germany but losses elsewhere.

The Indian producers tell a different story but one no less notable. Despite a near complete shutdown of production for around a month from late March 2020, the regional market largely recovered. As UltraTech Cement told it in January 2021, “Recovery from the Covid-19 led disruption of the economy has been rapid. This has been fuelled by quicker demand stabilisation, supply side restoration and greater cost efficiencies.” It added that rural residential housing had driven growth and that government-infrastructure projects had helped too. It expects pent-up urban demand to improve with the gradual return of the migrant workforce.

Unfortunately, Semen Indonesia, the leading Indonesian producer, suffered as the country’s production overcapacity was further hit by scaling back of government-based infrastructure projects as it tackled the health situation instead. Its solution has been to focus on export markets instead with new countries including Myanmar, Brunei Darussalam and Taiwan added in 2020 joining existing ones such as China, Australia and Bangladesh. The company’s total sales volumes may have fallen by 8% year-on-year to 40Mt in 2020 but sales outside of Indonesia, including exports, grew by 23% to 6.3Mt.

On a final note it’s sobering to see that the third largest seller of cement in this line-up was UltraTech Cement, a mainly regional producer. Regional in this sense though refers to India, the world’s second largest cement market. By installed production capacity it’s the fifth largest company in the world after CNBM, Anhui Conch, LafargeHolcim and HeidelbergCement. This move towards regionalisation among the large cement producers can also be seen in the large western-based multinationals as they are heading towards fewer but more selective locations. More on the world’s largest producer, China, when the producers start to releases their financial results towards the end of March 2021. Whatever 2021 brings, let’s hope it’s better than 2020.