Global Cement News

Rwanda: Bheki Mthembu has been appointed the chief executive officer of Cimerwa, PPC’s subsidiary in the country. Mthembu has been in post since December 2016, according to the Business Day newspaper. Mthembu holds a degree in chemistry from the University of KwaZulu-Natal. He has worked for PPC since 1995.

Denmark: Piero Corpina has been appointed as the head of the Nordic & Baltic region of Aalborg Portland Holding and chief executive officer of Aalborg Portland and Unicon with effect from 2 January 2017. The Nordic & Baltic Region includes Aalborg Portland, Unicon with plants in Denmark, Norway and Sweden, and subsidiaries in Poland, Russia, Iceland, the UK, France and the US. Corpina will be based at the group’s Nordic headquarters at Islands Brygge in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Corpina, aged 47 years, has 20 years of industry experience with LafargeHolcim covering senior line, staff and project roles and he worked on the merger between Lafarge and Holcim. In 2011 he was nominated the chief executive officer of Holcim Italy.

The Italian and Swiss national holds an MBA and PhD from Hochschule St Gallen in Switzerland and is an alumnus of Harvard Business School in Boston, USA and IMD in Lausanne, Switzerland.

A few days ago my family faced a financial crisis caused by demonetisation. The family piggy bank holds a number of one-pound sterling coins. However, the Bank of England is set to introduce a new 12-sided one-pound coin in March 2017 and withdraw the old type circular coin by the end of October 2017. Unfortunately the piggy bank in question is of the variety that can only be opened by smashing it. There followed various attempts to extract the coins via the narrow opening.

Now just imagine if a country of over 1.25bn inhabitants and a gross domestic product of US$8.7tr faced a similar problem. Well, you don’t have to imagine it because India’s demonetisation plan to remove 500 and 1000 rupee banknotes from circulation started in November 2016. Some commentators reckoned that the banknotes represented nearly 85% of its currency by value. Indian citizens then had until the end of December 2016 to take the old bank notes to a bank to have them exchanged. The government has said that the plan was conceived to cut corruption, increase tax revenue and reduce cash hoarding. However, critics have attacked the policy for unduly penalising the poorest members of society as they struggle to move from using cash to electronic methods.

That’s the background. Global Cement is interested in cement markets. Although its early days yet some reactions and data are starting to emerge. Ambuja Cement launched a marketing campaign in December 2016 to help its customers cope with a cashless business environment. The initiative has included working with a bank to operate a helpline assisting people in opening bank accounts as well as putting out the message in various media including sending one million text messages. Clearly, at least one of India’s major cement producers is taking the problems caused by demonetisation seriously.

Alongside this, various reports have trickled out since November 2016 trying to work out the effects of the financial transition on the cement industry. Firstly, the India Cements reported in mid-November 2016 in a financial report that demonetisation had not impacted its cement sales. Deutsche Bank Markets Research then predicted that the policy would reduce cement demand by up to 20% for the last few months of 2016 and then reduce growth by 3% in the first three months of 2017. Its analysts reckoned that the residential sector would suffer the most and that although infrastructure spending might offset this a little, reduced taxation from a punctured property market would also adversely affect infrastructure funding. A report in the Hindu newspaper in early December 2016 feared that cement demand might be reduced by up to 50% in November 2016. It also raised the concerns of the managing director of Shiva Cement who said that contractors were finding it difficult to buy raw materials and pay wages.

Now in early January 2017 the India Ratings and Research credit ratings agency released a research note predicting that cement production growth was likely to fall to 4% for the 2017 financial year ending on 31 March 2017 from a previous estimate of 6%. It reported that production growth rose by only 0.5% year-on-year in November 2016 following a growth rate of 4.3% from April to November 2016 and rates of 5.5% and 6.2% in September and November 2016 respectively. It added that the housing sector constitutes around 65% of cement demand and that this share is likely to fall.

After a strong start to the year the Indian cement industry was looking forward to a growth rate above 5% in its 2016 - 2017 financial year. The figures aren’t out yet and the year isn’t finished but it is looking likely that demonetisation, a direct government policy, has smashed demand for cement in India in the short term.

Global Cement would be interested to hear from any readers in India for their comments on demonetisation and its effect on the cement industry – This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Brazil: Eduardo Ferraz has been appointed as the chief financial officer and Investor Relations Officer of Magnesita with immediate effect. Ferraz is currently the finance director for South America, a role he will continue to hold. He replaces Eduardo Gotilla who has resigned from the roles following the on-going merger between Magnesita and RHI with the transfer of some executive officers of the company to the UK.

Gotilla will continue to be an officer for Magnesita International and lead finance and investor relations globally for the Magnesita Group, but will no longer hold an officer position in the company, principally due to Brazilian legislation requiring statutory officers to be residents in Brazil.

As a companion to the trends based article in the December 2016 issue of Global Cement Magazine, here are some of the major news stories from the industry in 2016. Remember this is just one view of the year's events. If you think we've missed anything important let us know via LinkedIn, Twitter or This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

HeidelbergCement buys Italcementi
Undeniably the big story of the year, HeidelbergCement has gradually acquired Italcementi throughout 2016. Notably, unlike the merger of Lafarge and Holcim, the cement producer has not held a party to mark the occasion. Instead each major step of the process has been reported upon incrementally in press releases and other sources throughout the year. The enlarged HeidelbergCement appears to be in a better market position than LafargeHolcim but it will be watched carefully in 2017 for signs of weakness.

LafargeHolcim faces accusations over conduct in Syria
The general theme for LafargeHolcim in 2016 has been one of divestments to shore up its balance sheet. However, one news story could potentially sum up its decline for the wider public. In June 2016 French newspaper Le Monde alleged that Lafarge had struck deals with armed groups in Syria, including so-called Islamic State (IS), to protect its assets in 2013 and 2014. LafargeHolcim didn’t deny the claims directly in June. Then in response to a legal challenge on the issue mounted in November 2016 its language tightened to statements condoning terrorism whilst still allowing some wriggle room. As almost all of the international groups in Syria are opposed to IS, should these allegations prove to be true it will not look good for the world’s largest cement producer.

China and India balance sector restructuring with production growth
Both China and India seem to have turned a corner in 2016 with growing cement production and a generally more upbeat feeling for the industries. Both have also seen some high profile consolidations or mergers underway which will hopefully cut inefficiencies. China’s focus on its ‘One Belt, One Road’ appears to be delivering foreign contracts as CBMI’s recent flurry of orders in Africa attests although Sinoma’s equipment arm was losing money in the first half of 2016. Meanwhile, India may have damaged its own growth in the short term through its demonetisation policy to take high value Indian rupee currency notes out of circulation. In November 2016 cement demand was believed to have dropped by up to half as the real estate sector struggled to adapt. The pain is anticipated to carry on until the end of March 2017.

US industry growth stuck in the slow lane
The US cement industry has failed to take off yet again in 2016 with growth lagging below 5%. The United States Geological Survey (USGS) has reported that clinker production has risen by 1% in the first ten months of 2016 and that it fell in the third quarter of the year. In response, the Portland Cement Association (PCA) lowered its forecasts for both 2016 and 2017. One unknown here has been the election of President-elect Donald Trump and the uncertainty over what his policies might bring. If he ‘goes large,’ as he said he wants to, on infrastructure then the cement industry will benefit. Yet, knock-on effects from other potential policies like restricting migrant labour might have unpredictable consequences upon the general construction industry.

African expansion follows the money
International cement producers have prospered at the expense of local ones in 2016. The big shock this year was when Nigeria’s Dangote announced that it was scaling back its expansion plans in response to problems in Nigeria principally with the devaluation of the Naira. Since then it has also faced local problems in Ghana, Ethiopia and Tanzania. Its sub-Saharan competitor PPC has also had problems too. By contrast, foreign investors from outside the continent, led by China, have scented opportunity and opened their wallets.

Changes in store for the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme
A late entry to this roundup is the proposed amendment to the European Union (EU) Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS). This may entail the introduction of a Border Adjustment Measure (BAM) with the loss of free allowances for the cement sector in Phase IV. Cembureau, the European Cement Association, has slammed the changes as ‘discriminatory’ and raised concerns over how this would affect competitiveness. In opposition the environmental campaign group Sandbag has defended the changes as ones that could put a stop to the ‘cement sector’s windfall profits from the ETS.’

High growth shifts to Philippines and other territories
Indonesia may be lurching towards production overcapacity, but fear not, the Philippines have arrived on the scene to provide high double-digit growth on the back of the Duterte Infrastructure Plan. The Cement Manufacturers Association of the Philippines (CEMAP) has said that cement sales have risen by 10.1% year-on-year to 20.1Mt in the first three quarters of 2016 and lots of new plants and upgrade projects are underway. The other place drawing attention in the second half of the year has been Pakistan with cement sales jumping in response to projects being built by the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.

Global Cement Weekly will return on 4 January 2016